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Adaptive experiment designs can dramatically improve statistical efficiency in randomized trials, but they also complicate statistical inference. For example, it is now well known that the sample mean is biased in adaptive trials.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Vitor Hadad , David A. Hirshberg , Ruohan Zhan , Stefan Wager , Susan Athey

In all applications in digital communications, it is crucial for an estimator to be unbiased. Although so-called soft feedback is widely employed in many different fields of engineering, typically the biased estimate is used. In this paper,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Susanne Sparrer , Robert F. H. Fischer

Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-08 Keisuke Yamazaki

Latent or unobserved phenomena pose a significant difficulty in data analysis as they induce complicated and confounding dependencies among a collection of observed variables. Factor analysis is a prominent multivariate statistical modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Armeen Taeb , Venkat Chandrasekaran

Experimental datasets are growing rapidly in size, scope, and detail, but the value of these datasets is limited by unwanted measurement noise. It is therefore tempting to apply analysis techniques that attempt to reduce noise and enhance…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-12 Kendrick Kay

Artificial intelligence is applied in a range of sectors, and is relied upon for decisions requiring a high level of trust. For regression methods, trust is increased if they approximate the true input-output relationships and perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-05 A. I. Parkes , A. J. Sobey , D. A. Hudson

Researchers have devised numerous ways to quantify social biases vested in pretrained language models. As some language models are capable of generating coherent completions given a set of textual prompts, several prompting datasets have…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Afra Feyza Akyürek , Muhammed Yusuf Kocyigit , Sejin Paik , Derry Wijaya

Online data has the potential to transform how researchers and companies produce election forecasts. Social media surveys, online panels and even comments scraped from the internet can offer valuable insights into political preferences.…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-20 Alberto Arletti , Maria Letizia Tanturri , Omar Paccagnella

Causal inference relies on the untestable assumption of no unmeasured confounding. Sensitivity analysis can be used to quantify the impact of unmeasured confounding on causal estimates. Among sensitivity analysis methods proposed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Yushu Zou , Liangyuan Hu , Amanda Ricciuto , Mark Deneau , Kuan Liu

Noise in data appears to be inevitable in most real-world machine learning applications and would cause severe overfitting problems. Not only can data features contain noise, but labels are also prone to be noisy due to human input. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Weipeng Huang , Qin Li , Yang Xiao , Cheng Qiao , Tie Cai , Junwei Liang , Neil J. Hurley , Guangyuan Piao

The crosswise model is an increasingly popular survey technique to elicit candid answers from respondents on sensitive questions. Recent studies, however, point out that in the presence of inattentive respondents, the conventional estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-21 Yuki Atsusaka , Randolph T. Stevenson

Many panel studies collect refreshment samples---new, randomly sampled respondents who complete the questionnaire at the same time as a subsequent wave of the panel. With appropriate modeling, these samples can be leveraged to correct…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-08 Yajuan Si , Jerome P. Reiter , D. Sunshine Hillygus

A bias-reduced estimator is proposed for the mean absolute deviation parameter of a median regression model. A workaround is devised for the lack of smoothness in the sense conventionally required in general bias-reduced estimation. A local…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-04 Michele Lambardi di San Miniato

Perceptual metrics are traditionally used to evaluate the quality of natural signals, such as images and audio. They are designed to mimic the perceptual behaviour of human observers and usually reflect structures found in natural signals.…

Sound · Computer Science 2023-12-07 Tashi Namgyal , Alexander Hepburn , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Valero Laparra , Jesus Malo

We propose the use of a simple intuitive principle for measuring algorithmic classification bias: the significance of the differences in a classifier's error rates across the various demographics is inversely commensurate with the sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-08 Ioannis Ivrissimtzis , Shauna Concannon , Matthew Houliston , Graham Roberts

Measurement error arises through a variety of mechanisms. A rich literature exists on the bias introduced by covariate measurement error and on methods of analysis to address this bias. By comparison, less attention has been given to errors…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-27 Pamela Shaw , Jiwei He , Bryan Shepherd

The bias of an estimator is defined as the difference of its expected value from the parameter to be estimated, where the expectation is with respect to the model. Loosely speaking, small bias reflects the desire that if an experiment is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Ioannis Kosmidis

We analyze transformers from the perspective of iterative inference, seeking to understand how model predictions are refined layer by layer. To do so, we train an affine probe for each block in a frozen pretrained model, making it possible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Nora Belrose , Igor Ostrovsky , Lev McKinney , Zach Furman , Logan Smith , Danny Halawi , Stella Biderman , Jacob Steinhardt

Motivated by the prevalence of environments in which data is abundant while resources for storage and/or transmission might be scarce, we study linear regression when predictors, their squares, and responses are subject to single-bit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Daniel Hill , Martin Slawski

Linear least squares regression is subject to bias due to an omitted variable, a mismeasured regressor, or simultaneity. A simple test to detect the bias is proposed and explored in simulation and in real data sets.

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-25 Eric Blankmeyer