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We study learning of continuous-time inventory dynamics under stochastic demand and quantify when structure helps or hurts forecasting of the bullwhip effect. BULL-ODE compares a fully learned Neural ODE (NODE) that models the entire…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Nachiket N. Naik , Prathamesh Dinesh Joshi , Raj Abhijit Dandekar , Rajat Dandekar , Sreedath Panat

Motivated by how forecast errors exacerbate order fluctuations in supply chains, we leverage robust feedback controller synthesis to characterize, compute, and minimize the worst-case order fluctuation experienced by an individual supply…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Sarah H. Q. Li , Florian Dörfler

Supply networks require collaboration in a competitive environment. To achieve this, nodes in the network often form symbiotic relationships as they can be adversely effected by the closure of companies in the network, especially where…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Wan Wang , Haiyan Wang , Adam J. Sobey

Two major challenges in demand forecasting are product cannibalization and long term forecasting. Product cannibalization is a phenomenon in which high demand of some products leads to reduction in sales of other products. Long term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-25 Gautham Bekal , Mohammad Bari

Modeling and optimization of multi-echelon supply chain systems is challenging as it requires a holistic approach that exploits synergies and interactions between echelons while accurately accounting for variability observed by these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Anshul Agarwal

Optimization modeling stands as the engine of scientific decision-making in logistics and transportation, yet its adoption is hindered by a steep expertise threshold and the latency of manual workflows. Automating this process via Large…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Beinuo Yang , Qishen Zhou , Junyi Li , Chenxing Su , Panagiotis Angeloudis , Simon Hu

In this article we quantify the bullwhip effect (the variance amplification in replenishment orders) when demands and lead times are predicted in a simple two-stage supply chain with one supplier and one retailer. In recent research the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-30 Zbigniew Michna , Peter Nielsen

Today's global supply chains face growing challenges due to rapidly changing market conditions, increased network complexity and inter-dependency, and dynamic uncertainties in supply, demand, and other factors. To combat these challenges,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Zhaoyang Larry Jin , Mehdi Maasoumy , Yimin Liu , Zeshi Zheng , Zizhuo Ren

The rise of autonomous, AI-driven agents in economic settings raises critical questions about their emergent strategic behavior. This paper investigates these dynamics in the cooperative context of a multi-echelon supply chain, a system…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Soumyadeep Dhar

Supply chain disruptions and volatile demand pose significant challenges to the UK automotive industry, which relies heavily on Just-In-Time (JIT) manufacturing. While qualitative studies highlight the potential of integrating Artificial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-11 Muhammad Shahnawaz , Adeel Safder

Customer churn, the discontinuation of services by existing customers, poses a significant challenge to the telecommunications industry. This paper proposes a novel adaptive ensemble learning framework for highly accurate customer churn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Mohammed Affan Shaikhsurab , Pramod Magadum

Based on economic theories and integrated with machine learning technology, this study explores a collaborative Supply Chain Management and Financial Supply Chain Management (SCM - FSCM) model to solve issues like efficiency loss, financing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Hang Wang , Huijie Tang , Ningai Leng , Zhoufan Yu

The development of large language models (LLMs) has provided new tools for research in supply chain management (SCM). In this paper, we introduce a retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) framework that dynamically integrates external…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Haojie Wang , Jiuyun Jiang , L. Jeff Hong , Guangxin Jiang

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for brick-and-mortar retailers to optimize inventory management and minimize costs. This study evaluates statistical baselines, tree-based ensembles (XGBoost and LightGBM), and deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Luka Hobor , Mario Brcic , Lidija Polutnik , Ante Kapetanovic

Traditional bulk load flexibility options, such as load shifting and load curtailment, for managing uncertainty in power markets limit the diversity of options and ignore the preferences of the individual loads, thus reducing efficiency and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-20 Majid Majidi , Deepan Muthirayan , Masood Parvania , Pramod P. Khargonekar

To improve decision-making and planning efficiency in back-end centralized redundant supply chains, this paper proposes a decision model integrating deep learning with intelligent particle swarm optimization. A distributed node deployment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Shiman Zhang , Jinghan Zhou , Zhoufan Yu , Ningai Leng

In the seminal paper Information Distortion in a Supply Chain: The Bullwhip Effect (Lee, et al. 1997, hereafter referred to as LPW), order batching is regarded as one of the four sources of the bullwhip effect. LPW proved that, in all cases…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Hau Mike Ma , Jiazhen Huo

Physical concepts developed to describe instabilities in traffic flows can be generalized in a way that allows one to understand the well-known instability of supply chains (the so-called ``bullwhip effect''). That is, small variations in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Dirk Helbing

This paper proposes a novel reinforcement learning framework to address the Liner Shipping Network Design Problem (LSNDP), a challenging combinatorial optimization problem focused on designing cost-efficient maritime shipping routes.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Utsav Dutta , Yifan Lin , Zhaoyang Larry Jin

We consider a stochastic lost-sales inventory control system with a lead time $L$ over a planning horizon $T$. Supply is uncertain, and is a function of the order quantity (due to random yield/capacity, etc). We aim to minimize the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Boxiao Chen , Jiashuo Jiang , Jiawei Zhang , Zhengyuan Zhou