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In this paper, a dual estimation methodology is developed for both time-varying parameters and states of a nonlinear stochastic system based on the Particle Filtering (PF) scheme. Our developed methodology is based on a concurrent…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-06-29 Najmeh Daroogheh , Nader Meskin , Khashayar Khorasani

Safe and accurate control of unmanned aerial vehicles in the presence of winds is a challenging control problem due to the hard-to-model and highly stochastic nature of the disturbance forces acting upon the vehicle. To meet performance…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 George Rapakoulias , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Motion planning is a fundamental problem and focuses on finding control inputs that enable a robot to reach a goal region while safely avoiding obstacles. However, in many situations, the state of the system may not be known but only…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Lars Lindemann , Matthew Cleaveland , Yiannis Kantaros , George J. Pappas

We consider the problem of optimal control for partially observed dynamical systems. Despite its prevalence in practical applications, there are still very few algorithms available, which take uncertainties in the current state estimates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-18 Sebastian Reich

This paper is concerned with a characterization of the observability for a continuous-time hidden Markov model where the state evolves as a general continuous-time Markov process and the observation process is modeled as nonlinear function…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Jin W. Kim , Prashant G. Mehta

We propose a provably stabilizing and tractable approach for control of constrained linear systems under intermittent observations and unreliable transmissions of control commands. A smart sensor equipped with a Kalman filter is employed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Prabhat K. Mishra , Debasish Chatterjee , Daniel E. Quevedo

In this paper, stochastic optimal control problems in continuous time and space are considered. In recent years, such problems have received renewed attention from the lens of reinforcement learning (RL) which is also one of our motivation.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Anant A. Joshi , Amirhossein Taghvaei , Prashant G. Mehta , Sean P. Meyn

This paper studies the problem of developing computationally efficient solutions for steering the distribution of the state of a stochastic, linear dynamical system between two boundary Gaussian distributions in the presence of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-25 Joshua Pilipovsky , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Estimating lifetime probabilities of default (PDs) under IFRS~9 and CECL requires projecting point--in--time transition matrices over multiple years. A persistent weakness is that macroeconomic forecast errors compound across horizons,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-23 Vahab Rostampour

This paper proposes control approaches for discrete-time linear systems subject to stochastic disturbances. It employs Kalman filter to estimate the mean and covariance of the state propagation, and the worst-case conditional value-at-risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Masako Kishida

Effective management and just-in-time maintenance of lithium-ion batteries require the knowledge of unmeasured (internal) variables that need to be estimated. Observers are thus designed for this purpose using a mathematical model of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-20 E. Petri , T. Reynaudo , R. Postoyan , D. Astolfi , D. Nesic , S. Rael

A recursive state estimation procedure is derived for a linear time varying system with both parametric uncertainties and stochastic measurement droppings. This estimator has a similar form as that of the Kalman filter with intermittent…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Tong Zhou

We present an output feedback stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach for linear systems subject to Gaussian disturbances and measurement noise and probabilistic constraints on system states and inputs. The presented approach…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-20 Simon Muntwiler , Kim P. Wabersich , Robert Miklos , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Accurate estimation of the state of charge (SOC) and state of health (SOH) is crucial for the safe and reliable operation of batteries. Voltage measurement bias highly affects state estimation accuracy, especially in Lithium Iron Phosphate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-13 Baozhao Yi , Xinhao Du , Jiawei Zhang , Xiaogang Wu , Qiuhao Hu , Weiran Jiang , Xiaosong Hu , Ziyou Song

We consider a continuous time stochastic optimal control problem under both equality and inequality constraints on the expectation of some functionals of the controlled process. Under a qualification condition, we show that the problem is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Laurent Pfeiffer , Xiaolu Tan , Yulong Zhou

Partially-observable problems pose a trade-off between reducing costs and gathering information. They can be solved optimally by planning in belief space, but that is often prohibitively expensive. Model-predictive control (MPC) takes the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Baris Kayalibay , Atanas Mirchev , Ahmed Agha , Patrick van der Smagt , Justin Bayer

This paper discusses the application of condition monitoring to a battery system used in a hybrid electric vehicle (HEV). Battery condition management systems (BCMSs) are employed to ensure the safe, efficient, and reliable operation of a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-21 Stephen Andrew Gadsden , Mohammad Al-Shabi , Saeid Reza Habibi

Dual control explicitly addresses the problem of trading off active exploration and exploitation in the optimal control of partially unknown systems. While the problem can be cast in the framework of stochastic dynamic programming, exact…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-11-12 Elena Arcari , Lukas Hewing , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Power systems with high penetration of variable renewable generation are vulnerable to periods with low generation. An alternative to retain high dispatchable generation capacity is electric energy storage that enables utilization of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-29 Per Aaslid , Magnus Korpås , Michael M Belsnes , Olav B Fosso

Electricity price forecasting supports decision-making in energy markets and asset operation. Probabilistic forecasts are increasingly adopted to explicitly quantify uncertainty, typically issued as quantile predictions or ensembles of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel