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Systematic uncertainties that have been subdominant in past large-scale structure (LSS) surveys are likely to exceed statistical uncertainties of current and future LSS data sets, potentially limiting the extraction of cosmological…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-21 Tim Eifler , Elisabeth Krause , Scott Dodelson , Andrew Zentner , Andrew Hearin , Nickolay Gnedin

Upcoming cosmological surveys will achieve increasingly precise constraints in cosmological parameter estimation. To guarantee the robustness of cosmological analyses, it is essential to account for and model systematic effects that can…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-20 Biancamaria Sersante , Christos Georgiou , Nora Elisa Chisari

Massive elliptical galaxies can display structures that deviate from a pure elliptical shape, such as a twist of the principal axis or variations in the axis ratio with galactocentric distance. Although satisfactory lens modeling is…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-03 Lyne Van de Vyvere , Dominique Sluse , Matthew R. Gomer , Sampath Mukherjee

Some aspects of gravitational lensing by large scale structure (LSS) are investigated. We show that lensing causes the damping tail of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) power spectrum to fall less rapidly with decreasing angular scale…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 R. Benton Metcalf , Joseph Silk

The next generation of galaxy surveys has the potential to substantially deepen our understanding of the Universe. This potential hinges on our ability to rigorously address systematic uncertainties. Until now, diagnosing systematic effects…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-07-18 Tristan Hoellinger , Florent Leclercq

Penalized regression methods, such as $L_1$ regularization, are routinely used in high-dimensional applications, and there is a rich literature on optimality properties under sparsity assumptions. In the Bayesian paradigm, sparsity is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-27 Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati , Natesh S. Pillai , David B. Dunson

Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

Many Bayesian inference problems involve high dimensional models for which only a subset of the model variables are of actual interest. All other variables are just nuisance parameters that one would ideally like to integrate out…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-13 Fabián González , Víctor Elvira , Joaquín Miguez

We study the effect of primordial non-Gaussianity on the development of large-scale cosmic structure using high-resolution N-body simulations. In particular, we focus on the topological properties of the "cosmic web", quantitatively…

In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating a conditional density in moderately large dimensions. Much more informative than regression functions, conditional densities are of main interest in recent methods, particularly in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-22 Minh-Lien Jeanne Nguyen

It is now practically the norm for data to be very high dimensional in areas such as genetics, machine vision, image analysis and many others. When analyzing such data, parametric models are often too inflexible while nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-31 Abhishek Bhattacharya , Garritt Page , David Dunson

A novel data-driven methodology is presented for the joint selection of prior parameters for both fixed and random effects in Linear Mixed Models (LMMs). This approach facilitates the estimation of complex random-effects structures, as well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Matteo Amestoy , R. Vermeulen , Mark A. van de Wiel , Wessel N. van Wieringen

Suppose that two large, multi-dimensional data sets are each noisy measurements of the same underlying random process, and principle components analysis is performed separately on the data sets to reduce their dimensionality. In some…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-27 Donniell E. Fishkind , Cencheng Shen , Youngser Park , Carey E. Priebe

In many data analyses, each measurement may come with a simple yes/no correction; for example, belonging to one of two populations or being contaminated or not. Ignoring such binary effects may bias the results, while accounting for them…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-13 Marcus Högås , Edvard Mörtsell

We show that in cases of marginal detections (~ 3\sigma), such as that of Baryonic Acoustic Oscillations (BAO) in cosmology, the often-used Gaussian approximation to the full likelihood is very poor, especially beyond ~3\sigma. This can…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2012-03-20 Bruce A. Bassett , Niayesh Afshordi

Bayesian hierarchical models can provide efficient algorithms for finding sparse solutions to ill-posed inverse problems. The models typically comprise a conditionally Gaussian prior model for the unknown which is augmented by a generalized…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Jonathan Lindbloom , Jan Glaubitz , Anne Gelb

The methodology developed in this article is motivated by a wide range of prediction and uncertainty quantification problems that arise in Statistics, Machine Learning and Applied Mathematics, such as non-parametric regression, multi-class…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-26 Victor Chen , Matthew M. Dunlop , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Andrew M. Stuart

We develop a novel statistical strong lensing approach to probe the cosmological parameters by exploiting multiple redshift image systems behind galaxies or galaxy clusters. The method relies on free-form mass inversion of strong lenses and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-17 M. Lubini , M. Sereno , J. Coles , Ph. Jetzer , P. Saha

The empirical Bayes $g$-modeling approach via the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE) is widely used for large-scale estimation and inference in the normal means problem, yet theoretical guarantees for uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Taehyun Kim , Bodhisattva Sen

An important challenge in statistical analysis concerns the control of the finite sample bias of estimators. For example, the maximum likelihood estimator has a bias that can result in a significant inferential loss. This problem is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser