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Length scales probed by large scale structure surveys are becoming closer to the horizon scale. Further, it has been recently understood that non-Gaussianity in the initial conditions could show up in a scale dependence of the bias of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-28 Tobias Baldauf , Uros Seljak , Leonardo Senatore , Matias Zaldarriaga

We forecast the future constraints on scale-dependent parametrizations of galaxy bias and their impact on the estimate of cosmological parameters from the power spectrum of galaxies measured in a spectroscopic redshift survey. For the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-18 L. Amendola , E. Menegoni , C. Di Porto , M. Corsi , E. Branchini

Unexpected structure in images of astronomical sources often presents itself upon visual inspection of the image, but such apparent structure may either correspond to true features in the source or be due to noise in the data. This paper…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2016-02-19 Nathan M. Stein , David A. van Dyk , Vinay L. Kashyap , Aneta Siemiginowska

Giant arcs in strong lensing galaxy clusters can provide a purely geometric determination of cosmological parameters, such as the dark energy density and equation of state. We investigate sources of noise in cosmography with giant arcs,…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Neal Dalal , Joseph Hennawi , Paul Bode

We revise the Bayesian inference steps required to analyse the cosmological large-scale structure. Here we make special emphasis in the complications which arise due to the non-Gaussian character of the galaxy and matter distribution. In…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Francisco-Shu Kitaura

Diffusion models often degrade when trained in latent spaces (e.g., VAEs), yet the formal causes remain poorly understood. We quantify latent-space diffusability through the rate of change of the Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) along the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Jing Gu , Morteza Mardani , Wonjun Lee , Dongmian Zou , Gilad Lerman

Bayesian predictive densities when the observed data $x$ and the target variable $y$ to be predicted have different distributions are investigated by using the framework of information geometry. The performance of predictive densities is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-27 Fumiyasu Komaki

In this paper, we establish the large deviation principles for stochastic porous media equations driven by time-dependent multiplicative noise on $\sigma$-finite measure space $(E,\mathcal{B}(E),\mu)$, and the Laplacian replaced by a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Weina Wu , Jianliang Zhai

Many problems of low-level computer vision and image processing, such as denoising, deconvolution, tomographic reconstruction or super-resolution, can be addressed by maximizing the posterior distribution of a sparse linear model (SLM). We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-08-16 Matthias W. Seeger , Hannes Nickisch

We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

Inference in semi-supervised (SS) settings has gained substantial attention in recent years due to increased relevance in modern big-data problems. In a typical SS setting, there is a much larger-sized unlabeled data, containing only…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Gözde Sert , Abhishek Chakrabortty , Anirban Bhattacharya

Spatial confounding is how is called the confounding between fixed and spatial random effects. It has been widely studied and it gained attention in the past years in the spatial statistics literature, as it may generate unexpected results…

Variational Bayesian posterior inference often requires simplifying approximations such as mean-field parametrisation to ensure tractability. However, prior work has associated the variational mean-field approximation for Bayesian neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Richard Kurle , Ralf Herbrich , Tim Januschowski , Yuyang Wang , Jan Gasthaus

Many statistical models in cosmology can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihood functions. Likelihood-free inference methods allow us to perform Bayesian inference from these models using only forward simulations, free from…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-11 Justin Alsing , Benjamin Wandelt , Stephen Feeney

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

Inferring causal relationships or related associations from observational data can be invalidated by the existence of hidden confounding. We focus on a high-dimensional linear regression setting, where the measured covariates are affected…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-22 Zijian Guo , Domagoj Ćevid , Peter Bühlmann

In order to reach the required performance of Stage-III and IV weak lensing surveys, cosmic shear measurements have to rely on external simulations to calibrate residual biases. Over the years, several techniques have been developed to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-11 G. Congedo , A. N. Taylor

We study the lensing magnification effect on background galaxies. Differential magnification due to different magnifications of different source regions of a galaxy will change the lensed composite spectra. The derived properties of the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Xinzhong Er , Junqiang Ge , Shude Mao

The standard margin-based structured prediction commonly uses a maximum loss over all possible structured outputs. The large-margin formulation including latent variables not only results in a non-convex formulation but also increases the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Kevin Bello , Jean Honorio

Given a reference model that includes all the available variables, projection predictive inference replaces its posterior with a constrained projection including only a subset of all variables. We extend projection predictive inference to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-13 Alejandro Catalina , Paul Bürkner , Aki Vehtari
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