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Overfitting, which happens when the number of parameters in a model is too large compared to the number of data points available for determining these parameters, is a serious and growing problem in survival analysis. While modern medicine…

Applications · Statistics 2017-09-13 ACC Coolen , JE Barrett , P Paga , CJ Perez-Vicente

Within-individual variability of health indicators measured over time is becoming commonly used to inform about disease progression. Simple summary statistics (e.g. the standard deviation for each individual) are often used but they are not…

Discrete-time hazard models are widely used when event times are measured in intervals or are not precisely observed. While these models can be estimated using standard generalized linear model techniques, they rely on extensive data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Benjamin Müller , Nikolaus Umlauf , Johannes Seiler , Kenneth Harttgen , Stefan Lang

Time-to-event endpoints are frequently used as outcomes in oncology and other disease areas where the outcome of interest may not be observed within a predetermined period. Although many analytical methods address the challenges of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Chen-Yen Lin , Susan Halabi , Taehwa Choi

We apply Gaussian process (GP) regression, which provides a powerful non-parametric probabilistic method of relating inputs to outputs, to survival data consisting of time-to-event and covariate measurements. In this context, the covariates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-08 James E. Barrett , Anthony C. C. Coolen

Analyses of time to event datasets have been invariably based on the Cox proportional hazards model (PHM). Reformulations of the PHM as a Poisson Generalized Additive Model (GAM) or as a Generalized Linear Mixed Model (GLMM) have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-17 Christos Argyropoulos , Hamza Mir , Maria-Eleni Roumelioti , Pablo Garcia

Statistical estimation and inference for marginal hazard models with varying coefficients for multivariate failure time data are important subjects in survival analysis. A local pseudo-partial likelihood procedure is proposed for estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jianwen Cai , Jianqing Fan , Haibo Zhou , Yong Zhou

Personalized health analytics increasingly rely on population benchmarks to provide contextual insights such as ''How do I compare to others like me?'' However, cohort-based aggregation of health data introduces nontrivial privacy risks,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Richik Chakraborty , Lawrence Liu , Syed Hasnain

Federated Learning (FL) has recently made significant progress as a new machine learning paradigm for privacy protection. Due to the high communication cost of traditional FL, one-shot federated learning is gaining popularity as a way to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Shangchao Su , Bin Li , Xiangyang Xue

In biomedical studies it is common to collect data on multiple biomarkers during study follow-up for dynamic prediction of a time-to-event clinical outcome. The biomarkers are typically intermittently measured, missing at some event times,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-05 Ning Li , Yi Liu , Shanpeng Li , Robert M. Elashoff , Gang Li

This paper addresses the challenge of preserving privacy in Federated Learning (FL) within centralized systems, focusing on both trusted and untrusted server scenarios. We analyze this setting within the Stochastic Convex Optimization (SCO)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Roie Reshef , Kfir Y. Levy

We use statistical mechanics techniques, viz. the replica method, to model the effect of censoring on overfitting in Cox's proportional hazards model, the dominant regression method for time-to-event data. In the overfitting regime, Maximum…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Emanuele Massa , Alexander Mozeika , Anthony Coolen

Calibrating machine learning models so that predicted probabilities better reflect the true outcome frequencies is crucial for reliable decision-making across many applications. In Federated Learning (FL), the goal is to train a global…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Samuel Maddock , Graham Cormode , Carsten Maple

Developing accurate and generalizable epileptic seizure prediction models from electroencephalography (EEG) data across multiple clinical sites is hindered by patient privacy regulations and significant data heterogeneity (non-IID…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Cem Ata Baykara , Saurav Raj Pandey , Ali Burak Ünal , Harlin Lee , Mete Akgün

Models for predicting the risk of cardiovascular events based on individual patient characteristics are important tools for managing patient care. Most current and commonly used risk prediction models have been built from carefully selected…

Spatial data are central to applications such as environmental monitoring and urban planning, but are often distributed across devices where privacy and communication constraints limit direct sharing. Federated modeling offers a practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Jianwei Shi , Sameh Abdulah , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton

Optimization-based techniques for federated learning (FL) often come with prohibitive communication cost, as high dimensional model parameters need to be communicated repeatedly between server and clients. In this paper, we follow a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Tim d'Hondt , Mykola Pechenizkiy , Robert Peharz

Bayesian inference for survival regression modeling offers numerous advantages, especially for decision-making and external data borrowing, but demands the specification of the baseline hazard function, which may be a challenging task. We…

In the era of big data, leveraging information from multiple clients while preserving data privacy has emerged as a critical challenge in modern statistical modeling and forecasting. This paper introduces a privacy-preserving federated…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-09 Kejun Chen , Qianqian Zhu

Federated or multi-site studies have distinct advantages over single-site studies, including increased generalizability, the ability to study underrepresented populations, and the opportunity to study rare exposures and outcomes. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-25 Larry Han , Zhu Shen , Jose Zubizarreta