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We propose a novel approach for causal mediation analysis based on changes-in-changes assumptions restricting unobserved heterogeneity over time. This allows disentangling the causal effect of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome into…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-13 Martin Huber , Mark Schelker , Anthony Strittmatter

Experimental studies of microbial communities routinely reveal that they have multiple stable states. While each of these states is generally resilient, certain perturbations such as antibiotics, probiotics and diet shifts, result in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-15 Akshit Goyal , Veronika Dubinkina , Sergei Maslov

Understanding how microbes interact with each other is key to revealing the underlying role that microorganisms play in the host or environment and to identifying microorganisms as an agent that can potentially alter the host or…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-05 Chuan Tian , Duo Jiang , Austin Hammer , Thomas Sharpton , Yuan Jiang

Urban areas with larger and more connected populations offer an auspicious environment for contagion processes such as the spread of pathogens. Empirical evidence reveals a systematic increase in the rates of certain sexually transmitted…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-18 Oscar Patterson-Lomba , Andres Gomez-Lievano

Analysis of the cell population generally provides average information about viral infection in a host whereas the intracellular model captures the individual cellular responses. The primary goal of this study is to comprehensively analyze…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Rupchand Sutradhar , D C Dalal

In causal inference, and specifically in the \textit{Causes of Effects} problem, one is interested in how to use statistical evidence to understand causation in an individual case, and so how to assess the so-called {\em probability of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-23 Fabio Corradi , Monica Musio

Tuberculosis (TB) is an airborne disease caused by the pathogen Mycobacterium tuberculosis. In 2023, according to the World Health Organization, it ''probably'' replaced COVID-19 as the leading cause of death from an infectious agent…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-29 James W. G. Doran , Cameron A. Smith , Christian A. Yates , Ruth Bowness

Causal mediation analysis decomposes the total treatment effect into a portion operating through a hypothesized mediator and a residual direct portion. Identification of natural direct and indirect effects typically rests on the mediator…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Yuki Ohnishi , Fan Li

Mediation analysis is becoming an increasingly important tool in scientific studies. A central question in high-dimensional mediation analysis is to infer the significance of individual mediators. The main challenge is the sheer number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Chengchun Shi , Lexin Li

This tutorial provides a concise introduction to modern causal modeling by integrating potential outcomes and graphical methods. We motivate causal questions such as counterfactual reasoning under interventions and define binary treatments…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-27 Gauranga Kumar Baishya

The advent of high-throughput sequencing technologies has made data from DNA material readily available, leading to a surge of microbiome-related research establishing links between markers of microbiome health and specific outcomes.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Susheela P. Singh , Ana-Maria Staicu , Robert R. Dunn , Noah Fierer , Brian J. Reich

Co-infecting parasites and pathogens remain a leading challenge for global public health due to their consequences for individual-level infection risk and disease progression. However, a clear understanding of the population-level…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-05 Erin E. Gorsich , Rampal S. Etienne , Jan Medlock , Brianna R. Beechler , Johannie M. Spaan , Robert S. Spaan , Vanessa O. Ezenwa , Anna E. Jolles

Mediation analysis is widely used in health science research to evaluate the extent to which an intermediate variable explains an observed exposure-outcome relationship. However, the validity of analysis can be compromised when the exposure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-06 Chao Cheng , Donna Spiegelman , Fan Li

In the statistical literature, a number of methods have been proposed to ensure valid inference about marginal effects of variables on a longitudinal outcome in settings with irregular monitoring times. However, the potential biases due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Janie Coulombe , Erica E M Moodie , Robert W Platt

Mediation analysis in causal inference typically concentrates on one binary exposure, using deterministic interventions to split the average treatment effect into direct and indirect effects through a single mediator. Yet, real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 David B. McCoy , Alan E. Hubbard , Mark van der Laan , Alejandro Schuler

The activity of growing living bacteria was investigated using real-time and in situ rheology -- in stationary and oscillatory shear. Two different strains of the human pathogen Staphylococcus aureus -- strain COL and its isogenic cell wall…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-06-19 P. Patricio , P. L. Almeida , R. Portela , R. G. Sobral , I. R. Grilo , T. Cidade , C. R. Leal

The emergence of the phenomenon known as ABR (anti-bacterial resistance), is the result of the gradual decrease in the efficacy of antibiotics and the increase in the cost of producing new antibiotics. Hence, alternative solutions to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-08 Nouf Alghamdi , Mal Horsburgh , Bakhtier Vasiev

Many open problems in machine learning are intrinsically related to causality, however, the use of causal analysis in machine learning is still in its early stage. Within a general reinforcement learning setting, we consider the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-18 Tue Herlau , Rasmus Larsen

The large reservoir of antibiotic resistant bacteria in raw and treated water supplies is a matter of public health concern. Currently, the National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring Systems, a collaborative effort of the Centers for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-07-09 Bonita Lawrence , Anna Mummert , Charles Somerville

Biofilms are communities of bacteria that exhibit a multitude of multiscale biomechanical behaviors. Recent experimental advances have lead to characterizations of these behaviors in terms of measurements of the viscoelastic moduli of…

Cell Behavior · Quantitative Biology 2017-07-19 Jay A. Stotsky , Vanja Dukic , David M. Bortz