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Common methods for interpreting neural models in natural language processing typically examine either their structure or their behavior, but not both. We propose a methodology grounded in the theory of causal mediation analysis for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Jesse Vig , Sebastian Gehrmann , Yonatan Belinkov , Sharon Qian , Daniel Nevo , Simas Sakenis , Jason Huang , Yaron Singer , Stuart Shieber

Causal mediation analysis decomposes the total effect of a treatment on an outcome into the indirect effect, operating through the mediator, and the direct effect, operating through other pathways. One can estimate only the pure indirect…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-16 Vindyani Herath , Ronald J. Bosch , Judith J. Lok

The human microbiome can contribute to pathogeneses of many complex diseases by mediating disease-leading causal pathways. However, standard mediation analysis methods are not adequate to analyze the microbiome as a mediator due to the…

Gut microbial composition has been linked to multiple health outcomes. Yet, temporal analysis of this composition had been limited to deterministic models. In this paper, we introduce a probabilistic model for the dynamics of intestinal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-03 Ruiqi Zhong , Tyler Joseph , Joao B Xavier , Itsik Pe'er

The goal of causal mediation analysis, often described within the potential outcomes framework, is to decompose the effect of an exposure on an outcome of interest along different causal pathways. Using the assumption of sequential…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-09 Lexi Rene , Antonio R. Linero , Elizabeth Slate

Given empirical evidence for the dependence of an outcome variable on an exposure variable, we can typically only provide bounds for the "probability of causation" in the case of an individual who has developed the outcome after being…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 A. P. Dawid , R. Murtas , M. Musio

The role of the microbiome in disease pathogenesis is an emerging field with strong evidence suggesting that dysbiosis is associated with precancerous and cancerous states. Microbiome data present substantial challenges for causal mediation…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Seungjun Ahn , Quran Wu , Alicia Yang , Zhigang Li

Suppose X and Y are binary exposure and outcome variables, and we have full knowledge of the distribution of Y, given application of X. From this we know the average causal effect of X on Y. We are now interested in assessing, for a case…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Philip Dawid , Macartan Humphreys , Monica Musio

With advances in high-resolution mass spectrometry technologies, metabolomics data are increasingly used to investigate biological mechanisms underlying associations between exposures and health outcomes in clinical and epidemiological…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-19 Yuzi Zhang , Donghai Liang , Youran Tan , Anne L. Dunlop , Howard H. Chang

Mediation analysis is a strategy for understanding the mechanisms by which treatments or interventions affect later outcomes. Mediation analysis is frequently applied in randomized trial settings, but typically assumes: a) that randomized…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-30 Kara E. Rudolph , Nicholas Williams , Ivan Diaz

Diabetes is a global health burden, and early detection is critical for timely intervention. This study explores a non-invasive, data-driven framework to identify individuals at risk of diabetes using Volatile Organic Compounds (VOCs) and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Varsha Sharma , Prasanta K. Guha , Avik Ghose

Causal mediation analysis examines causal pathways linking exposures to disease. The estimation of interventional effects, which are mediation estimands that overcome certain identifiability problems of natural effects, has been advanced…

Mediation analysis seeks to identify and quantify the paths by which an exposure affects an outcome. Intermediate variables which are effected by the exposure and which effect the outcome are known as mediators. There exists extensive work…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-13 James P. Long , Ehsan Irajizad , James D. Doecke , Kim-Anh Do , Min Jin Ha

An individual has been subjected to some exposure and has developed some outcome. Using data on similar individuals, we wish to evaluate, for this case, the probability that the outcome was in fact caused by the exposure. Even with the best…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-16 Rossella Murtas , Alexander Philip Dawid , Monica Musio

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to identify the important determinants responsible for the variation in women's attitude towards intimate partner violence (IPV). Methods: A nationally representative Bangladesh Demographic and Health…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-10 Md Tareq Ferdous Khan , Lianfen Qian

Microbiota contribute to many dimensions of host phenotype, including disease. To link specific microbes to specific phenotypes, microbiome-wide association studies compare microbial abundances between two groups of samples. Abundance…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-31 Rajita Menon , Vivek Ramanan , Kirill S. Korolev

Causal mediation analysis is used to evaluate direct and indirect causal effects of a treatment on an outcome of interest through an intermediate variable or a mediator.It is difficult to identify the direct and indirect causal effects…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-14 Wei Li , Chunchen Liu , Zhi Geng , John Murray

We empirically demonstrate that graphical models can be a valuable tool in the identification of mediating variables in causal pathways. We make use of graphical models to elucidate the causal pathway through which the treatment influences…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-11 Adrian Dobra , Katherine Buhikire , Joachim G. Voss

Microbes are everywhere, including in and on our bodies, and have been shown to play key roles in a variety of prevalent human diseases. Consequently, there has been intense interest in the design of bacteriotherapies or "bugs as drugs,"…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-13 Travis E. Gibson , Georg K. Gerber

One of the major research questions regarding human microbiome studies is the feasibility of designing interventions that modulate the composition of the microbiome to promote health and cure disease. This requires extensive understanding…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-18 Matthew D. Koslovsky , Kristi L. Hoffman , Carrie R. Daniel , Marina Vannucci