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Stock market volatility forecasting is a task relevant to assessing market risk. We investigate the interaction between news and prices for the one-day-ahead volatility prediction using state-of-the-art deep learning approaches. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-12-31 Marcelo Sardelich , Suresh Manandhar

With the advent of fast-paced information dissemination and retrieval, it has become inherently important to resort to automated means of predicting stock market prices. In this paper, we propose Taureau, a framework that leverages Twitter…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Nicholas Milikich , Joshua Johnson

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) aims to predict future values of a time series given the past values. The current state-of-the-art (SOTA) on this problem is attained in some cases by linear-centric models, which primarily feature a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Ronghao Ni , Zinan Lin , Shuaiqi Wang , Giulia Fanti

Human-interaction-involved applications underscore the need for Multi-modal Sentiment Analysis (MSA). Although many approaches have been proposed to address the subtle emotions in different modalities, the power of explanations and temporal…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Dongning Rao , Yunbiao Zeng , Zhihua Jiang , Jujian Lv

Tracking the volume of keywords in Internet searches, message boards, or Tweets has provided an alternative for following or predicting associations between popular interest or disease incidences. Here, we extend that research by examining…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2011-10-28 Serguei Saavedra , Jordi Duch , Brian Uzzi

Stock price forecasting is an important issue for investors since extreme accuracy in forecasting can bring about high profits. Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) and Longest Common/Repeated Sub-sequence (LCS/LRS) are two important issues for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-23 He-Wen Chen , Zih-Ci Wang , Shu-Yu Kuo , Yao-Hsin Chou

Modeling topics effectively in short texts, such as tweets and news snippets, is crucial to capturing rapidly evolving social trends. Existing topic models often struggle to accurately capture the underlying semantic patterns of short…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Shuyu Chang , Rui Wang , Peng Ren , Qi Wang , Haiping Huang

In quantitative investing, return prediction supports various tasks, including stock selection, portfolio optimization, and risk management. Quantitative factors, such as valuation, quality, and growth, capture various characteristics of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-26 Tian Guo , Emmanuel Hauptmann

We examine the incremental value of news-based data relative to the FRED-MD economic indicators for quantile predictions of employment, output, inflation and consumer sentiment in a high-dimensional setting. Our results suggest that news…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-15 Philipp Adämmer , Jan Prüser , Rainer Schüssler

The endeavor of stock trend forecasting is principally focused on predicting the future trajectory of the stock market, utilizing either manual or technical methodologies to optimize profitability. Recent advancements in machine learning…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Mingjie Wang , Juanxi Tian , Mingze Zhang , Jianxiong Guo , Weijia Jia

Prediction of future movement of stock prices has been a subject matter of many research work. There is a gamut of literature of technical analysis of stock prices where the objective is to identify patterns in stock price movements and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-07 Sidra Mehtab , Jaydip Sen

Extreme pricing anomalies may occur unexpectedly without a trivial cause, and equity traders typically experience a meticulous process to source disparate information and analyze its reliability before integrating it into the trusted…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-17 Pok Wah Chan

Considering event structure information has proven helpful in text-based stock movement prediction. However, existing works mainly adopt the coarse-grained events, which loses the specific semantic information of diverse event types. In…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Deli Chen , Yanyan Zou , Keiko Harimoto , Ruihan Bao , Xuancheng Ren , Xu Sun

The application of Machine learning to finance has become a familiar approach, even more so in stock market forecasting. The stock market is highly volatile, and huge amounts of data are generated every minute globally. The extraction of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-03 Sai Akash Bathini , Dagli Cihan

Predicting stock market movements remains a persistent challenge due to the inherently volatile, non-linear, and stochastic nature of financial time series data. This paper introduces a deep learning-based framework employing Long…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-09 Rajneesh Chaudhary

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures have become the key to scaling modern LLMs, yet little is understood about how their sparse routing dynamics respond to multilingual data. In this work, we analyze expert routing patterns using…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-19 Lucas Bandarkar , Chenyuan Yang , Mohsen Fayyaz , Junlin Hu , Nanyun Peng

We show how text from news articles can be used to predict intraday price movements of financial assets using support vector machines. Multiple kernel learning is used to combine equity returns with text as predictive features to increase…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-06-24 Ronny Luss , Alexandre d'Aspremont

Financial Sentiment Analysis (FSA) traditionally relies on human-annotated sentiment labels to infer investor sentiment and forecast market movements. However, inferring the potential market impact of words based on their human-perceived…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Hamid Moradi-Kamali , Mohammad-Hossein Rajabi-Ghozlou , Mahdi Ghazavi , Ali Soltani , Amirreza Sattarzadeh , Reza Entezari-Maleki

The study of how social media affects the formation of public opinion and its influence on political results has been a popular field of inquiry. However, current approaches frequently offer a limited comprehension of the complex political…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Pratik Gujral , Kshitij Awaldhi , Navya Jain , Bhavuk Bhandula , Abhijnan Chakraborty

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques, particularly large language models (LLMs), in finance has garnered increasing academic attention. Despite progress, existing studies predominantly focus on tasks like financial…