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Stock market forecasting has been a challenging part for many analysts and researchers. Trend analysis, statistical techniques, and movement indicators have traditionally been used to predict stock price movements, but text extraction has…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Faraz Sasani , Ramin Mousa , Ali Karkehabadi , Samin Dehbashi , Ali Mohammadi

LLMs have demonstrated significant potential in quantitative finance by processing vast unstructured data to emulate human-like analytical workflows. However, current LLM-based methods primarily follow either an Asset-Centric paradigm…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Taian Guo , Haiyang Shen , Junyu Luo , Zhongshi Xing , Hanchun Lian , Jinsheng Huang , Binqi Chen , Luchen Liu , Yun Ma , Ming Zhang

The immense success of the Transformer architecture in Natural Language Processing has led to its adoption in Time Se ries Forecasting (TSF), where superior performance has been shown. However, a recent important paper questioned their…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Musleh Alharthi , Kaleel Mahmood , Sarosh Patel , Ausif Mahmood

This study develops and empirically validates a Mixture of Experts (MoE) framework for stock price prediction across heterogeneous volatility regimes using real market data. The proposed model combines a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN)…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-06 Diego Vallarino

The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is widely accepted to hold true under certain assumptions. One of its implications is that the prediction of stock prices at least in the short run cannot outperform the random walk model. Yet, recently…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Panagiotis Papaioannnou , Lucia Russo , George Papaioannou , Constantinos Siettos

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in the financial domain has opened new avenues for quantitative trading, particularly through the use of Large Language Models (LLMs). However, the challenge of effectively synthesizing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Qianggang Ding , Haochen Shi , Jiadong Guo , Bang Liu

The stock market is a fundamental component of financial systems, reflecting economic health, providing investment opportunities, and influencing global dynamics. Accurate stock market predictions can lead to significant gains and promote…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Gonzalo Lopez Gil , Paul Duhamel-Sebline , Andrew McCarren

Emerging interest of trading companies and hedge funds in mining social web has created new avenues for intelligent systems that make use of public opinion in driving investment decisions. It is well accepted that at high frequency trading,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-12-06 Tushar Rao , Saket Srivastava

Analyzing stocks and making higher accurate predictions on where the price is heading continues to become more and more challenging therefore, we designed a new financial algorithm that leverages social media sentiment analysis to enhance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 SriVarsha Mulakala , Umesh Vangapally , Benjamin Larkey , Aidan Henrichs , Corey Wojslaw

Recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have the potential to transform financial analytics by integrating numerical and textual data. However, challenges such as insufficient context when fusing multimodal information and the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-14 Hoyoung Lee , Youngsoo Choi , Yuhee Kwon

Financial news plays a crucial role in decision-making processes across the financial sector, yet the efficient processing of this information into a structured format remains challenging. This paper presents a novel approach to financial…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Rian Dolphin , Joe Dursun , Jonathan Chow , Jarrett Blankenship , Katie Adams , Quinton Pike

Navigating the intricate landscape of financial markets requires adept forecasting of stock price movements. This paper delves into the potential of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for predicting stock dynamics, with a focus on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-29 Nisarg Patel , Harmit Shah , Kishan Mewada

In this study, we predict next-day movements of stock end-of-day implied volatility using random forests. Through an ablation study, we examine the usefulness of different sources of predictors and expose the value of attention and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-03 Thomas Dierckx , Jesse Davis , Wim Schoutens

Predicting stock market movements is a well-known problem of interest. Now-a-days social media is perfectly representing the public sentiment and opinion about current events. Especially, twitter has attracted a lot of attention from…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-10-31 Venkata Sasank Pagolu , Kamal Nayan Reddy Challa , Ganapati Panda , Babita Majhi

Accurate stock market prediction provides great opportunities for informed decision-making, yet existing methods struggle with financial data's non-linear, high-dimensional, and volatile characteristics. Advanced predictive models are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-20 Yuxi Hong

This study introduces a novel approach for EUR/USD exchange rate forecasting that integrates deep learning, textual analysis, and particle swarm optimization (PSO). By incorporating online news and analysis texts as qualitative data, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Hongcheng Ding , Xiangyu Shi , Ruiting Deng , Salaar Faroog , Deshinta Arrova Dewi , Shamsul Nahar Abdullah , Bahiah A Malek

Financial markets change rapidly due to news, economic shifts, and geopolitical events. Quick reactions are vital for investors to avoid losses or capture short-term gains. As a result, concise financial news summaries are critical for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Nicolas Reche , Elvys Linhares-Pontes , Juan-Manuel Torres-Moreno

This study empirically tests the $\textit{Narrative Economics}$ hypothesis, which posits that narratives (ideas that are spread virally and affect public beliefs) can influence economic fluctuations. We introduce two curated datasets…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Almog Gueta , Amir Feder , Zorik Gekhman , Ariel Goldstein , Roi Reichart

Recent advancements in large language models (LLMs) have opened new pathways for many domains. However, the full potential of LLMs in financial investments remains largely untapped. There are two main challenges for typical deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Hanshuang Tong , Jun Li , Ning Wu , Ming Gong , Dongmei Zhang , Qi Zhang

The increasing availability of "big" (large volume) social media data has motivated a great deal of research in applying sentiment analysis to predict the movement of prices within financial markets. Previous work in this field investigates…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Ellie Birbeck , Dave Cliff