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Estimation of solution norms and stability for time-dependent nonlinear systems is ubiquitous in numerous applied and control problems. Yet, practically valuable results are rare in this area. This paper develops a novel approach, which…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-08-29 Mark A. Pinsky , Steve Koblik

This paper develops a finite-sample statistical theory for in-context learning (ICL), analyzed within a meta-learning framework that accommodates mixtures of diverse task types. We introduce a principled risk decomposition that separates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-09 Tomoya Wakayama , Taiji Suzuki

Bayesian statistics is concerned with conducting posterior inference for the unknown quantities in a given statistical model. Conventional Bayesian inference requires the specification of a probabilistic model for the observed data, and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-11 David T. Frazier , Christopher Drovandi , David J. Nott

Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Tim Pearce , Felix Leibfried , Alexandra Brintrup , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is a popular method for estimating the parameter posterior distribution for complex statistical models and stochastic processes that possess a computationally intractable likelihood function. Instead of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-07-26 Ziwen An , Leah F South , Christopher Drovandi

Traditional supervised learning aims to train a classifier in the closed-set world, where training and test samples share the same label space. In this paper, we target a more challenging and realistic setting: open-set learning (OSL),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Zhen Fang , Jie Lu , Anjin Liu , Feng Liu , Guangquan Zhang

Time-dependent data-generating distributions have proven to be difficult for gradient-based training of neural networks, as the greedy updates result in catastrophic forgetting of previously learned knowledge. Despite the progress in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-03 Matthias De Lange , Gido van de Ven , Tinne Tuytelaars

We study the reknown deconvolution problem of recovering a distribution function from independent replicates (signal) additively contaminated with random errors (noise), whose distribution is known. We investigate whether a Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-15 Judith Rousseau , Catia Scricciolo

We propose the first Bayesian encoder for metric learning. Rather than relying on neural amortization as done in prior works, we learn a distribution over the network weights with the Laplace Approximation. We actualize this by first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Frederik Warburg , Marco Miani , Silas Brack , Soren Hauberg

We propose a model-based lifelong reinforcement-learning approach that estimates a hierarchical Bayesian posterior distilling the common structure shared across different tasks. The learned posterior combined with a sample-based Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-24 Haotian Fu , Shangqun Yu , Michael Littman , George Konidaris

Sequential Bayesian inference can be used for continual learning to prevent catastrophic forgetting of past tasks and provide an informative prior when learning new tasks. We revisit sequential Bayesian inference and test whether having…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Samuel Kessler , Adam Cobb , Tim G. J. Rudner , Stefan Zohren , Stephen J. Roberts

Data-driven methods for the solution of inverse problems have become widely popular in recent years thanks to the rise of machine learning techniques. A popular approach concerns the training of a generative model on additional data to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-12 Bamdad Hosseini , Ziqi Huang

Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) is widely used in machine learning research. Previous convergence analyses of SGD under the vanishing step-size setting typically require Robbins-Monro conditions. However, in practice, a wider variety of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Ruinan Jin , Difei Cheng , Hong Qiao , Xin Shi , Shaodong Liu , Bo Zhang

This chapter will appear in the forthcoming Handbook of Approximate Bayesian Computation (2018). The conceptual and methodological framework that underpins approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is targetted primarily towards problems in…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-20 Christopher C Drovandi , Clara Grazian , Kerrie Mengersen , Christian Robert

Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) offers a principled and flexible framework for conducting Bayesian inference in any situation where forward simulations are feasible. However, validating the accuracy and reliability of the inferred…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-21 James Alvey , Carlo R. Contaldi , Mauro Pieroni

Statistical Relational Learning (SRL) methods for anomaly detection are introduced via a security-related application. Operational requirements for online learning stability are outlined and compared to mathematical definitions as applied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-19 Magnus Jändel , Pontus Svenson , Niclas Wadströmer

In binary classification and regression problems, it is well understood that Lipschitz continuity and smoothness of the loss function play key roles in governing generalization error bounds for empirical risk minimization algorithms. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-09-14 Ambuj Tewari , Sougata Chaudhuri

We provide a solution to the heretofore open problem of stabilization of systems with arbitrarily long delays at the input and output of a nonlinear system using output feedback only. The solution is global, employs the predictor approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-08-15 Iasson Karafyllis , Miroslav Krstic

We propose a new reachability learning framework for high-dimensional nonlinear systems, focusing on reach-avoid problems. These problems require computing the reach-avoid set, which ensures that all its elements can safely reach a target…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-18 Jingqi Li , Donggun Lee , Jaewon Lee , Kris Shengjun Dong , Somayeh Sojoudi , Claire Tomlin

This work performs a non-asymptotic analysis of the generalized Lasso under the assumption of sub-exponential data. Our main results continue recent research on the benchmark case of (sub-)Gaussian sample distributions and thereby explore…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Martin Genzel , Christian Kipp