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Accurate risk assessment is essential for safety-critical autonomous and control systems under uncertainty. In many real-world settings, stochastic dynamics exhibit asymmetric jumps and long-range memory, making long-term risk probabilities…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-07 Yimeng Sun , Zhuoyuan Wang , Xiaole Zhang , Heng Ping , Jintang Xue , Paul Bogdan , Yorie Nakahira

In exponential semi-martingale setting for risky asset we estimate the difference of prices of options when initial physical measure $P$ and corresponding martingale measure $Q$ change to $\tilde{P}$ and $\tilde{Q}$ respectively. Then, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-14 L. Vostrikova

This paper investigates the pricing of European-style lookback options when the price dynamics of the underlying risky asset are assumed to follow a Markov-modulated Geo-metric Brownian motion; that is, the appreciation rate and the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-21 Leunglung Chan , Song-Ping Zhu

We describe the pricing and hedging of financial options without the use of probability using rough paths. By encoding the volatility of assets in an enhancement of the price trajectory, we give a pathwise presentation of the replication of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-09 John Armstrong , Claudio Bellani , Damiano Brigo , Thomas Cass

We consider an optimal liquidation problem with infinite horizon in the Almgren-Chriss framework, where the unaffected asset price follows a Levy process. The temporary price impact is described by a general function which satisfies some…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-16 Arne Lokka , Junwei Xu

We provide series expansions for the tempered stable densities and for the price of European-style contracts in the exponential L\'evy model driven by the tempered stable process. These formulas recover several popular option pricing…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-03 Gaetano Agazzotti , Jean-Philippe Aguilar

In the first part of this thesis, we focus on American options in the Heston model. We first give an analytical characterization of the value function of an American option as the unique solution of the associated (degenerate) parabolic…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Giulia Terenzi

We develop a finite-horizon model in which liquid-asset returns exhibit Levy-stable scaling on a data-driven window [tau_UV, tau_IR] and aggregate into a finite-variance regime outside. The window and the tail index alpha are identified…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-12 Dmitrii Vlasiuk

We propose a novel Black-Scholes model under which the stock price processes are modeled by stochastic differential equations driven by sub-diffusions. The new framework can capture the less financial activity phenomenon during the bear…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Shuaiqi Zhang , Zhen-Qing Chen

We study a Monte Carlo algorithm for simulation of probability distributions based on stochastic step functions, and compare to the traditional Metropolis/Hastings method. Unlike the latter, the step function algorithm can produce an…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-07 Torquil Macdonald Sørensen , Fred Espen Benth

In this study, we discuss a machine learning technique to price exotic options with two underlying assets based on a non-Gaussian Levy process model. We introduce a new multivariate Levy process model named the generalized normal tempered…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-27 Young Shin Kim , Hyun-Gyoon Kim

We test the hypothesis that consecutive intraday price changes in the most liquid U.S. equity ETF (SPY) are conditionally nonrandom. Using NBBO event-time data for about 1,500 regular trading days, we form for every lag L ordered pairs of a…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Dmitrii Vlasiuk , Mikhail Smirnov

This research addresses accurate option pricing by employing models beyond the traditional Black-Scholes framework. While Black-Scholes provides a closed-form solution, it is limited by assumptions of constant volatility, no dividends, and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Karmanpartap Singh Sidhu , Pranshi Saxena

L\'evy processes, known for their ability to model complex dynamics with skewness, heavy tails and discontinuities, play a critical role in stochastic modeling across various domains. However, inference for most L\'evy processes, whether in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Bill Z. Lin , Simon Godsill

Using key tools such as It\^o formula for general semi-martingales, moments estimates for L\'{e}vy-type stochastic integrals and properties of regular varying functions we find conditions under which solutions of stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-09 I. Orlovskyi , F. Proske , O. Tymoshenko

Motivated by the pricing of lookback options in exponential L\'evy models, we study the difference between the continuous and discrete supremum of L\'evy processes. In particular, we extend the results of Broadie et al. (1999) to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-10 El Hadj Aly Dia , Damien Lamberton

Generating synthetic financial time series that preserve the statistical properties of real market data is essential for stress testing, risk model validation, and scenario design. Existing approaches struggle to simultaneously reproduce…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Abdulrahman Alswaidan , Jeffrey D. Varner

This paper investigates an optimal integration of deep learning with financial models for robust asset price forecasting. Specifically, we developed a hybrid framework combining a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network with the Merton-L\'evy…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-10 Mohammed Alruqimi , Luca Di Persio

In this paper we study general nonlinear stochastic differential equations, where the usual Brownian motion is replaced by a L\'evy process. We also suppose that the coefficient multiplying the increments of this process is merely Lipschitz…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-07-19 Benjamin Jourdain , Sylvie Méléard , Wojbor Woyczynski

We study hedging and pricing of unattainable contingent claims in a non-Markovian regime-switching financial model. Our financial market consists of a bank account and a risky asset whose dynamics are driven by a Brownian motion and a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-03-19 Łukasz Delong , Antoon Pelsser