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Many modern time-series datasets contain large numbers of output response variables sampled for prolonged periods of time. For example, in neuroscience, the activities of 100s-1000's of neurons are recorded during behaviors and in response…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Rui Meng , Kristofer Bouchard

This paper proposes methods for likelihood-based inference in multivariate linear regressions when the correlation matrix of the responses is separable; that is, it has a Kronecker product structure, but the variances are unrestricted. The…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-16 Karl Oskar Ekvall

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

Calibrating mathematical models of biological processes is essential for achieving predictive accuracy and gaining mechanistic insight. However, this task remains challenging due to limited and noisy data, significant biological…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-04 Piotr Gwiazda , Alexey Kazarnikov , Anna Marciniak-Czochra , Zuzanna Szymańska

We consider the problem of efficiently performing simulation and inference for stochastic kinetic models. Whilst it is possible to work directly with the resulting Markov jump process, computational cost can be prohibitive for networks of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-18 Chris Sherlock , Andrew Golightly , Colin Gillespie

Causal machine learning (ML) recovers graphical structures that inform us about potential cause-and-effect relationships. Most progress has focused on cross-sectional data with no explicit time order, whereas recovering causal structures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Bruno Petrungaro , Anthony C. Constantinou

In this paper we apply a methodology introduced in Navarro Jimenez et al (2016) in the framework of chemical reaction networks to perform a global sensitivity analysis on simulations of a continuous-time Markov chain model motivated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Henri Mermoz Kouye , Gildas Mazo , Clémentine Prieur , Elisabeta Vergu

Stereoselective reactions (both chemical and enzymatic reactions) have been essential for origin of life, evolution, human biology and medicine. Since late 1960s, there have been numerous successes in the exciting new frontier of asymmetric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-13 Justin Li , Dakang Zhang , Yifei Wang , Christopher Ye , Hao Xu , Pengyu Hong

This paper studies identification and estimation in semiparametric logit models when social networks are endogenous. In many applications, unobserved individual traits shape both the outcome of interest and the formation of social ties, so…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-13 Brice Romuald Gueyap Kounga

The notion of entropy is shared between statistics and thermodynamics, and is fundamental to both disciplines. This makes statistical problems particularly suitable for reaction network implementations. In this paper we show how to perform…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-07 Muppirala Viswa Virinchi , Abhishek Behera , Manoj Gopalkrishnan

In recent times we hear increasingly often about cyber attacks on various commercial and strategic sites that manage to escape any defense. In this article, we model such attacks on networks via stochastic processes and predict the time of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 Jewgeni H. Dshalalow , Ryan T. White

A stochastic epidemic model is defined in which each individual belongs to a household, a secondary grouping (typically school or workplace) and also the community as a whole. Moreover, infectious contacts take place in these three settings…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-17 Tom Britton , Theodore Kypraios , Philip O'Neill

We study a class of Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) with jumps modeling multistage Michaelis--Menten enzyme kinetics, in which a substrate is sequentially transformed into a product via a cascade of intermediate complexes. These…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Arnab Ganguly , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh

In supervised machine learning, feature selection plays a very important role by potentially enhancing explainability and performance as measured by computing time and accuracy-related metrics. In this paper, we investigate a method for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-02 Raisa Islam , Subhasish Mazumdar , Rakibul Islam

With the prevailing efforts to combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, there are still uncertainties that are yet to be discovered about its spread, future impact, and resurgence. In this paper, we present a three-stage…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-19 Oluwaseun T. Ajayi , Yu Cheng

Group testing was conceived during World War II to identify soldiers infected with syphilis using as few tests as possible, and it has attracted renewed interest during the COVID-19 pandemic. A long-standing assumption in the probabilistic…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-18 Surin Ahn , Wei-Ning Chen , Ayfer Ozgur

Continuous-time Markov chains are frequently used as stochastic models for chemical reaction networks, especially in the growing field of systems biology. A fundamental problem for these Stochastic Chemical Reaction Networks (SCRNs) is to…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-12 Felipe A. Campos , Simone Bruno , Yi Fu , Domitilla Del Vecchio , Ruth J. Williams

The integration of various types of genomic data into predictive models of biological networks is one of the main challenges currently faced by computational biology. Constraint-based models in particular play a key role in the attempt to…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2012-06-25 Daniele De Martino , Matteo Figliuzzi , Andrea De Martino , Enzo Marinari

We consider stochastic systems of interacting particles or agents, with dynamics determined by an interaction kernel which only depends on pairwise distances. We study the problem of inferring this interaction kernel from observations of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-31 Fei Lu , Mauro Maggioni , Sui Tang

In this paper we propose a novel SEIR stochastic epidemic model. A distinguishing feature of this new model is that it allows us to consider a set up under general latency and infectious period distributions. To some extent, queuing systems…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-29 Edilson F. Arruda , Rodrigo e Alvim Alexandre , Marcelo D. Fragoso , João B. R. do val , Sinnu S. Thomas