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We develop methodology for valid inference after variable selection in logistic regression when the responses are partially observed, that is, when one observes a set of error-prone testing outcomes instead of the true values of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-17 Qinyan Shen , Karl Gregory , Xianzheng Huang

We consider a stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) epidemiological model with a contact rate that fluctuates seasonally. Through the use of a nonlinear, stochastic projection, we are able to analytically determine the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-09-11 Eric Forgoston , Ira B. Schwartz

We propose a novel molecular computing scheme for statistical inference. We focus on the much-studied statistical inference problem of computing maximum likelihood estimators for log-linear models. Our scheme takes log-linear models to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-13 Manoj Gopalkrishnan

In this paper, we outline the theory of epidemic percolation networks and their use in the analysis of stochastic SIR epidemic models on undirected contact networks. We then show how the same theory can be used to analyze stochastic SIR…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , James M. Robins

An efficient structural identifiability analysis algorithm is developed in this study for a broad range of network structures. The proposed method adopts the Wright's path coefficient method to generate identifiability equations in forms of…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2017-08-25 Yulin Wang , Na Lu , Hongyu Miao

System identification in scenarios where the observed number of variables is less than the degrees of freedom in the dynamics is an important challenge. In this work we tackle this problem by using a recognition network to increase the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Constantino A. Garcia , Paulo Felix , Jesus M. Presedo , Abraham Otero

Reaction networks are mainly used to model the time-evolution of molecules of interacting chemical species. Stochastic models are typically used when the counts of the molecules are low, whereas deterministic models are used when the counts…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-04 David Anderson , Daniele Cappelletti , Jinsu Kim , Tung Nguyen

Network estimation and variable selection have been extensively studied in the statistical literature, but only recently have those two challenges been addressed simultaneously. In this paper, we seek to develop a novel method to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Nathan Osborne , Christine B. Peterson , Marina Vannucci

Motivation: Spontaneous adverse event reports have a high potential for detecting adverse drug reactions. However, due to their dimension, exploring such databases requires statistical methods. In this context, disproportionality measures…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-19 Matthieu Marbac , Pascale Tubert-Bitter , Mohammed Sedki

We consider state and parameter estimation for compartmental models having both time-varying and time-invariant parameters. Though the described Bayesian computational framework is general, we look at a specific application to the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Brandon Robinson , Philippe Bisaillon , Jodi D. Edwards , Tetyana Kendzerska , Mohammad Khalil , Dominique Poirel , Abhijit Sarkar

Methodological development for the inference of gene regulatory networks from transcriptomic data is an active and important research area. Several approaches have been proposed to infer relationships among genes from observational…

Applications · Statistics 2013-06-28 Grégory Nuel , Andrea Rau , Florence Jaffrézic

Linear causal models are important tools for modeling causal dependencies and yet in practice, only a subset of the variables can be observed. In this paper, we examine the parameter identifiability of these models by investigating whether…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Xinshuai Dong , Ignavier Ng , Biwei Huang , Yuewen Sun , Songyao Jin , Roberto Legaspi , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

We develop a data-driven method to learn chemical reaction networks from trajectory data. Modeling the reaction system as a continuous-time Markov chain and assuming the system is fully observed, our method learns the propensity functions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-11-25 Wei Zhang , Stefan Klus , Tim Conrad , Christof Schütte

We present a systematic mathematical analysis of the qualitative steady-state response to rate perturbations in large classes of reaction networks. This includes multimolecular reactions and allows for catalysis, enzymatic reactions,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Bernhard Brehm , Bernold Fiedler

We consider the important problem of estimating parameter sensitivities for stochastic models of reaction networks that describe the dynamics as a continuous-time Markov process over a discrete lattice. These sensitivity values are useful…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Ankit Gupta , Muruhan Rathinam , Mustafa Khammash

This paper presents the application of a new semi-analytical method of linear regression for Poisson count data to COVID-19 events. The regression is based on the Bonamente and Spence (2022) maximum-likelihood solution for the best-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 M. Bonamente

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

Traditionally, the identification of parameters in the formulation and solution of inverse problems considers that models, variables and mathematical parameters are free of uncertainties. This aspect simplifies the estimation process, but…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-02 Gustavo Barbosa Libotte , Fran Sérgio Lobato , Gustavo Mendes Platt

We present a method for estimating parameters in stochastic models of biochemical reaction networks by fitting steady-state distributions using Wasserstein distances. We simulate a reaction network at different parameter settings and train…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-01-29 Kaan Öcal , Ramon Grima , Guido Sanguinetti

The stochastic kinetics of BRN are described by a chemical master equation (CME) and the underlying laws of mass action. The CME must be usually solved numerically by generating enough traces of random reaction events. The resulting…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-21 Pavel Loskot
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