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In this paper, we present a new approach to time series forecasting. Time series data are prevalent in many scientific and engineering disciplines. Time series forecasting is a crucial task in modeling time series data, and is an important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-24 Neo Wu , Bradley Green , Xue Ben , Shawn O'Banion

The Influenza type A virus can be considered as one of the most severe viruses that can infect multiple species with often fatal consequences to the hosts. The Haemagglutinin (HA) gene of the virus has the potential to be a target for…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-16 Charalambos Chrysostomou , Harris Partaourides , Huseyin Seker

Influenza viruses mutate rapidly and can pose a threat to public health, especially to those in vulnerable groups. Throughout history, influenza A viruses have caused pandemics between different species. It is important to identify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Yanhua Xu , Dominik Wojtczak

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Predicting cross-immunity between viral strains is vital for public health surveillance and vaccine development. Traditional neural network methods, such as BiLSTM, could be ineffective due to the lack of lab data for model training and the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-18 Yiming Du , Zhuotian Li , Qian He , Thomas Wetere Tulu , Kei Hang Katie Chan , Lin Wang , Sen Pei , Zhanwei Du , Xiao-Ke Xu , Xiao Fan Liu

Pediatric asthma is the most prevalent chronic childhood illness, afflicting about 6.2 million children in the United States. However, asthma could be better managed by identifying and avoiding triggers, educating about medications and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-26 Xiao Wang , Zhijie Wang , Yolande M. Pengetnze , Barry S. Lachman , Vikas Chowdhry

Infectious diseases pose significant human and economic burdens. Accurately forecasting disease incidence can enable public health agencies to respond effectively to existing or emerging diseases. Despite progress in the field, developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Michael Morris

Epidemics of infectious diseases are an important threat to public health and global economies. Yet, the development of prevention strategies remains a challenging process, as epidemics are non-linear and complex processes. For this reason,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Pieter Libin , Arno Moonens , Timothy Verstraeten , Fabian Perez-Sanjines , Niel Hens , Philippe Lemey , Ann Nowé

Avian Influenza breakouts cause millions of dollars in damage each year globally, especially in Asian countries such as China and South Korea. The impact magnitude of a breakout directly correlates to time required to fully understand the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-02-27 Woo Yong Choi , Kyu Ye Song , Chan Woo Lee

Weather forecasting benefits us in various ways from farmers in cultivation and harvesting their crops to airlines to schedule their flights. Weather forecasting is a challenging task due to the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. Therefore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Eranga De Saa , Lochandaka Ranathunga

Accurate epidemic forecasting is critical for informing public health decisions and timely interventions. While Physics-Informed Neural Networks have shown promise in various scientific domains, their potential application to real-time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-20 Martina Rama , Gabriele Santin , Giulia Cencetti , Michele Tizzoni , Bruno Lepri

Forecasting the hospitalizations caused by the Influenza virus is vital for public health planning so that hospitals can be better prepared for an influx of patients. Many forecasting methods have been used in real-time during the Influenza…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Majd Al Aawar , Ajitesh Srivastava

Accurate and reliable predictions of infectious disease dynamics can be valuable to public health organizations that plan interventions to decrease or prevent disease transmission. A great variety of models have been developed for this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-04 Evan L. Ray , Nicholas G. Reich

In this paper, five different deep learning models are being compared for predicting travel time. These models are autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, recurrent neural network (RNN) model, autoregressive (AR) model,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-17 Armstrong Aboah , Elizabeth Arthur

Background: Seasonal influenza causes a substantial burden on healthcare services over the winter period when these systems are already under pressure. Policies during the COVID-19 pandemic supressed the transmission of season influenza,…

An estimated 300 million people worldwide suffer from asthma, and this number is expected to increase to 400 million by 2025. Approximately 250,000 people die prematurely each year from asthma out of which, almost all deaths are avoidable.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-13 Saksham Kukreja

Influenza remains a significant burden on health systems. Effective responses rely on the timely understanding of the magnitude and the evolution of an outbreak. For monitoring purposes, data on severe cases of influenza in England are…

Influenza is an infectious disease with the potential to become a pandemic, and hence, forecasting its prevalence is an important undertaking for planning an effective response. Research has found that web search activity can be used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-27 Michael Morris , Peter Hayes , Ingemar J. Cox , Vasileios Lampos

A central challenge in every field of biology is to use existing measurements to predict the outcomes of future experiments. In this work, we consider the wealth of antibody inhibition data against variants of the influenza virus. Due to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-27 Tal Einav , Rong Ma

Forecasting time series data is an important subject in economics, business, and finance. Traditionally, there are several techniques to effectively forecast the next lag of time series data such as univariate Autoregressive (AR),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-05 Sima Siami-Namini , Akbar Siami Namin
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