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We develop a general framework for state estimation in systems modeled with noise-polluted continuous time dynamics and discrete time noisy measurements. Our approach is based on maximum likelihood estimation and employs the calculus of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Makan Fardad

We introduce a nonparametric approach for estimating drift and diffusion functions in systems of stochastic differential equations from observations of the state vector. Gaussian processes are used as flexible models for these functions and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-08-15 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

The truncated plurigaussian model is often used to simulate the spatial distribution of random categorical variables such as geological facies. The problems addressed in this paper are the estimation of parameters of the truncation map for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-07 Alina Astrakova , Dean S. Oliver , Christian Lantuéjoul

Bayesian analysis is a framework for parameter estimation that applies even in uncertainty regimes where the commonly used local (frequentist) analysis based on the Cram\'er-Rao bound is not well defined. In particular, it applies when no…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Simon Morelli , Ayaka Usui , Elizabeth Agudelo , Nicolai Friis

Estimators of parameters of truncated distributions, namely the truncated normal distribution, have been widely studied for a known truncation region. There is also literature for estimating the unknown bounds for known parent…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-16 Dylan Borchert , Semhar Michael , Christopher Saunders

In many scenarios, the communication system suffers from both Gaussian white noise and non-Gaussian impulsive noise. In order to design optimal signal detection method, it is necessary to estimate the parameters of mixed Gaussian-impulsive…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-07 Tianfu Qi , Jun Wang , Xiaonan Chen , Wei Huang

Balanced truncation is a well-established model order reduction method which has been applied to a variety of problems. Recently, a connection between linear Gaussian Bayesian inference problems and the system-theoretic concept of balanced…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Josie König , Melina A. Freitag

The exploration of complex physical or technological processes usually requires exploiting available information from different sources: (i) physical laws often represented as a family of parameter dependent partial differential equations…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Albert Cohen , Wolfgang Dahmen , Ron DeVore

The effectiveness of non-parametric, kernel-based methods for function estimation comes at the price of high computational complexity, which hinders their applicability in adaptive, model-based control. Motivated by approximation techniques…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-17 Anna Scampicchio , Elena Arcari , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Diffusion models have become fundamental tools for modeling data distributions in machine learning. Despite their success, these models face challenges when generating data with extreme brightness values, as evidenced by limitations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-10 Takuro Kutsuna

We consider the estimation of a sparse parameter vector from measurements corrupted by white Gaussian noise. Our focus is on unbiased estimation as a setting under which the difficulty of the problem can be quantified analytically. We show…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-02-02 Alexander Jung , Zvika Ben-Haim , Franz Hlawatsch , Yonina C. Eldar

Multi-sensor state space models underpin fusion applications in networks of sensors. Estimation of latent parameters in these models has the potential to provide highly desirable capabilities such as network self-calibration. Conventional…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-01-04 Murat Uney , Bernard Mulgrew , Daniel E Clark

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

This technical note considers the identification of nonlinear discrete-time systems with additive process noise but without measurement noise. In particular, we propose a method and its associated algorithm to identify the system nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Wei Pan , Ye Yuan , Jorge Gonçalves , Guy-Bart Stan

We present a new algorithm, truncated variance reduction (TruVaR), that treats Bayesian optimization (BO) and level-set estimation (LSE) with Gaussian processes in a unified fashion. The algorithm greedily shrinks a sum of truncated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-25 Ilija Bogunovic , Jonathan Scarlett , Andreas Krause , Volkan Cevher

This paper focuses on the distributed static estimation problem and a Belief Propagation (BP) based estimation algorithm is proposed. We provide a complete analysis for convergence and accuracy of it. More precisely, we offer conditions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-07 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Minyue Fu , Ximing Sun

This work presents a data-driven method for learning low-dimensional time-dependent physics-based surrogate models whose predictions are endowed with uncertainty estimates. We use the operator inference approach to model reduction that…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Shane A. McQuarrie , Anirban Chaudhuri , Karen E. Willcox , Mengwu Guo

We investigated the use of the Bayesian inference to restore noise-degraded images under conditions of spatially correlated noise. The generative statistical models used for the original image and the noise were assumed to obey…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 Jun Tsuzurugi , Masato Okada

Gaussian mixtures are a common density representation in nonlinear, non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation. Selecting an appropriate number of Gaussian components, however, is difficult as one has to trade of computational complexity…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-04-02 Marco F. Huber

In a statistical analysis in Particle Physics, nuisance parameters can be introduced to take into account various types of systematic uncertainties. The best estimate of such a parameter is often modeled as a Gaussian distributed variable…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-02-25 Glen Cowan
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