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Periodicity is a fundamental characteristic of time series data and has long played a central role in forecasting. Recent deep learning methods strengthen the exploitation of periodicity by treating patches as basic tokens, thereby…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Yiming Niu , Jinliang Deng , Yongxin Tong

In this paper, a Fourier series in fractional dimensional space is introduced for an arbitrarily periodic function $f(t;\alpha)$. We call it fractional Fourier series of the order $\alpha$. Extending the basis functions of the linear space…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2022-12-02 Ali Dorostkar , Ahmad Sabihi

In functional data analysis, replicate observations of a smooth functional process and its derivatives offer a unique opportunity to flexibly estimate continuous-time ordinary differential equation models. Ramsay (1996) first proposed to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-27 Edward Gunning , Giles Hooker

The paper proposes a formal estimation procedure for parameters of the fractional Poisson process (fPp). Such procedures are needed to make the fPp model usable in applied situations. The basic idea of fPp, motivated by experimental data…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-08 Dexter Cahoy , Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Wojbor A. Woyczynski

We present a method that allows to distinguish between nearly periodic and strictly periodic time series. To this purpose, we employ a conservative criterion for periodicity, namely that the time series can be interpolated by a periodic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-11-11 Gerrit Ansmann

This paper explores the identification and estimation of nonseparable panel data models. We show that the structural function is nonparametrically identified when it is strictly increasing in a scalar unobservable variable, the conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-09 Takuya Ishihara

We consider $\alpha$-mixing observations and deal with the estimation of the conditional mode of a scalar response variable $Y$ given a random variable $X$ taking values in a semi-metric space. We provide a convergence rate in $L^p$ norm of…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-31 Sophie Dabo-Niang , Ali Laksaci

Functional principal component analysis (FPCA) has played an important role in the development of functional time series analysis. This note investigates how FPCA can be used to analyze cointegrated functional time series and proposes a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Won-Ki Seo

We propose an extension of the zone-based algorithmics for analyzing timed automata to handle systems where timing uncertainty is considered as probabilistic rather than set-theoretic. We study duration probabilistic automata (DPA),…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2010-11-02 Oded Maler , Kim G. Larsen , Bruce H. Krogh

In this paper, we study the estimation and inference of change points under a functional linear regression model with changes in the slope function. We present a novel Functional Regression Binary Segmentation (FRBS) algorithm which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Shivam Kumar , Haotian Xu , Haeran Cho , Daren Wang

Many real-world systems modeled using differential equations involve unknown or uncertain parameters. Standard approaches to address parameter estimation inverse problems in this setting typically focus on estimating constants; yet some…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Anna Fitzpatrick , Molly Folino , Andrea Arnold

This paper is motivated by modeling the cycle-to-cycle variability associated with the resistive switching operation behind memristors. As the data are by nature curves, functional principal component analysis is a suitable candidate to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-20 C. Acal , A. M. Aguilera , F. J. Alonso , J. E. Ruiz-Castro , J. B. Roldán

In this paper, a new model-free anomaly detection framework is proposed for time-series induced by industrial dynamical systems.The framework lies in the category of conventional approaches which enable appealing features such as a learning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-13 Mazen Alamir , Raphaël Dion

In contrast to the fixed parameter analysis (FPA), in the variable parameter analysis (VPA) the value of the target problem parameter is not fixed, it rather depends on the structure of a given problem instance and tends to have a favorable…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-11-07 Nodari Vakhania

We propose an extensive framework for additive regression models for correlated functional responses, allowing for multiple partially nested or crossed functional random effects with flexible correlation structures for, e.g., spatial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-26 Fabian Scheipl , Ana-Maria Staicu , Sonja Greven

In recent times, functional data analysis (FDA) has been successfully applied in the field of high dimensional data classification. In this paper, we present a novel classification framework using functional data and classwise Principal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-29 Avishek Chatterjee , Satyaki Mazumder , Koel Das

This paper tackles one of the most fundamental goals in functional time series analysis which is to provide reliable predictions for future functions. Existing methods for predicting a complete future functional observation use only…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Alexander Aue , Hernando Ombao

An approach is presented for making predictions about functional time series. The method is applied to data coming from periodically correlated processes and electricity demand, obtaining accurate point forecasts and narrow prediction bands…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Antonio Elías , Raúl Jiménez

Many biomedical studies have identified important imaging biomarkers that are associated with both repeated clinical measures and a survival outcome. The functional joint model (FJM) framework, proposed in Li and Luo (2017), investigates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-24 Yue Wang , Joseph Ibrahim , Hongtu Zhu

There are non-Gaussian time series that admit a causal linear autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model when regressing the future on the past, but not when regressing the past on the future. The reason is that, in the latter case, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Dominik Janzing