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Climate predictions are only meaningful if the associated uncertainty is reliably estimated. A standard practice for providing climate projections is to use an ensemble of projections. The ensemble mean serves as the projection while the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-04-16 Ehud Strobach , Golan Bel

In this work we describe a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) to accurately predict the scene illumination. Taking image patches as input, the CNN works in the spatial domain without using hand-crafted features that are employed by most…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-04-20 Simone Bianco , Claudio Cusano , Raimondo Schettini

When electrons with energies of $O(100)$ MeV pass through a liquid argon time projection chamber (LArTPC), they deposit energy in the form of electromagnetic showers. Methods to reconstruct the energy of these showers in LArTPCs often rely…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2022-02-23 Kiara Carloni , Nicholas W. Kamp , Austin Schneider , Janet M. Conrad

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) models require ever-growing computing time/resources, but still, have difficulties with predicting weather extremes. Here we introduce a data-driven framework that is based on analog forecasting…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Ebrahim Nabizadeh , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Precise crop yield prediction is essential for improving agricultural practices and ensuring crop resilience in varying climates. Integrating weather data across the growing season, especially for different crop varieties, is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Zahra Khalilzadeh , Motahareh Kashanian , Saeed Khaki , Lizhi Wang

We introduce Mosaic, a probabilistic weather forecasting model that addresses three failure modes of spectral degradation in ML-based weather prediction: spectral damping (statistical), high-frequency aliasing (architectural), and residual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Maksim Zhdanov , Ana Lucic , Max Welling , Jan-Willem van de Meent

Convolutional neural network (CNN) have proven its success for semantic segmentation, which is a core task of emerging industrial applications such as autonomous driving. However, most progress in semantic segmentation of urban scenes is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Jiawei Chen , Yuexiang Li , Kai Ma , Yefeng Zheng

Effective decision making requires understanding the uncertainty inherent in a prediction. In regression, this uncertainty can be estimated by a variety of methods; however, many of these methods are laborious to tune, generate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-02 Tianhui Zhou , Yitong Li , Yuan Wu , David Carlson

There is growing interest in data-driven weather prediction (DDWP), for example using convolutional neural networks such as U-NETs that are trained on data from models or reanalysis. Here, we propose 3 components to integrate with commonly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-04 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Mustafa Mustafa , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Eviatar Bach , Karthik Kashinath

The accurate long-term forecasting of the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is still one of the biggest challenges in climate science. While it is true that short-to medium-range performance has been improved significantly using the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-09 Saghar Ganji , Mohammad Naisipour , Alireza Hassani , Arash Adib

Errors in the representation of clouds in convection-permitting numerical weather prediction models can be introduced by different sources. These can be the forcing and boundary conditions, the representation of orography, the accuracy of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-14 Stefanie Legler , Tijana Janjic

Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-based filters have achieved significant performance in video artifacts reduction. However, the high complexity of existing methods makes it difficult to be applied in real usage. In this paper, a CNN-based…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-08 Chao Liu , Heming Sun , Jiro Katto , Xiaoyang Zeng , Yibo Fan

Running high-resolution physical models is computationally expensive and essential for many disciplines. Agriculture, transportation, and energy are sectors that depend on high-resolution weather models, which typically consume many hours…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Eduardo R. Rodrigues , Igor Oliveira , Renato L. F. Cunha , Marco A. S. Netto

In this paper, we attempt to employ convolutional recurrent neural networks for weather temperature estimation using only image data. We study ambient temperature estimation based on deep neural networks in two scenarios a) estimating…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-01-26 Wei-Ta Chu , Kai-Chia Ho , Ali Borji

Crop yield forecasting depends on many interactive factors, including crop genotype, weather, soil, and management practices. This study analyzes the performance of machine learning and deep learning methods for winter wheat yield…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Amit Kumar Srivastava , Nima Safaei , Saeed Khaki , Gina Lopez , Wenzhi Zeng , Frank Ewert , Thomas Gaiser , Jaber Rahimi

Recently, outstanding identification rates in image classification tasks were achieved by convolutional neural networks (CNNs). to use such skills, selective CNNs trained on a dataset of well-known images of metal surface defects captured…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Nadeem Jabbar Chaudhry , M. Bilal Khan , M. Javaid Iqbal , Siddiqui Muhammad Yasir

Weather forecasting remains a crucial yet challenging domain, where recently developed models based on deep learning (DL) have approached the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. However, these DL models,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-13 Zhanxiang Hua , Yutong He , Chengqian Ma , Alexandra Anderson-Frey

In this paper, we present Pangu-Weather, a deep learning based system for fast and accurate global weather forecast. For this purpose, we establish a data-driven environment by downloading $43$ years of hourly global weather data from the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-07 Kaifeng Bi , Lingxi Xie , Hengheng Zhang , Xin Chen , Xiaotao Gu , Qi Tian

This paper studies pricing of weather-derivative (WD) contracts on temperature and precipitation. For temperature-linked strangles in Toronto and Chicago, we benchmark a harmonic-regression/ARMA model against a feed-forward neural network…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-06 Marco Hening Tallarico , Pablo Olivares

Operational weather forecasting models have advanced for decades on both the explicit numerical solvers and the empirical physical parameterization schemes. However, the involved high computational costs and uncertainties in these existing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-05-13 Mengxuan Chen , Ziqi Yuan , Jinxiao Zhang , Runmin Dong , Haohuan Fu