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We propose a technique for the design and analysis of adaptation algorithms in dynamical systems. The technique applies both to systems with conventional Lyapunov-stable target dynamics and to ones of which the desired dynamics around the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Tyukin Ivan , Danil Prokhorov , Cees van Leeuwen

Parameter estimation is a growing area of interest in statistical signal processing. Some parameters in real-life applications vary in space as opposed to those that are static. Most common methods in estimating parameters involve solving…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-02 David Angwenyi

As robots perform manipulation tasks and interact with objects, it is probable that they accidentally drop objects (e.g., due to an inadequate grasp of an unfamiliar object) that subsequently bounce out of their visual fields. To enable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Fanjun Bu , Chien-Ming Huang

Spatio-temporal patterns emerging from an initial quiescent, uniform state is a phenomenon observed in many dynamical systems sustained far from thermodynamic equilibrium, the practical application of which has only recently begun to be…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2026-02-05 Vinod Ramakrishnan , Michael J. Frazier

As robotic systems move from highly structured environments to open worlds, incorporating uncertainty from dynamics learning or state estimation into the control pipeline is essential for robust performance. In this paper we present a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-14 Robert Dyro , James Harrison , Apoorva Sharma , Marco Pavone

Visual repetition is ubiquitous in our world. It appears in human activity (sports, cooking), animal behavior (a bee's waggle dance), natural phenomena (leaves in the wind) and in urban environments (flashing lights). Estimating visual…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-20 Tom F. H. Runia , Cees G. M. Snoek , Arnold W. M. Smeulders

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Learning a sequence of tasks without access to i.i.d. observations is a widely studied form of continual learning (CL) that remains challenging. In principle, Bayesian learning directly applies to this setting, since recursive and one-off…

The vast majority of the literature on learning dynamical systems or stochastic processes from time series has focused on stable or ergodic systems, for both Bayesian and frequentist inference procedures. However, most real-world systems…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-02 Zachary P Adams , Sayan Mukherjee

We study the problem of selecting limited features to observe such that models trained on them can perform well simultaneously across multiple subpopulations. This problem has applications in settings where collecting each feature is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Maitreyi Swaroop , Tamar Krishnamurti , Bryan Wilder

Temporal set prediction involves forecasting the elements that will appear in the next set, given a sequence of prior sets, each containing a variable number of elements. Existing methods often rely on intricate architectures with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Ashish Ranjan , Ayush Agarwal , Shalin Barot , Sushant Kumar

Physics-based and first-principles models pervade the engineering and physical sciences, allowing for the ability to model the dynamics of complex systems with a prescribed accuracy. The approximations used in deriving governing equations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-03 Megan R. Ebers , Katherine M. Steele , J. Nathan Kutz

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian approach for multiscale problems with the availability of dynamic observational data. Our method selects important degrees of freedom probabilistically in a Generalized multiscale finite element method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Siu Wun Cheung , Nilabja Guha

Spatial classification with limited feature observations has been a challenging problem in machine learning. The problem exists in applications where only a subset of sensors are deployed at certain spots or partial responses are collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-03 Arpan Man Sainju , Wenchong He , Zhe Jiang , Da Yan , Haiquan Chen

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

Precise identification of dynamic models in robotics is essential to support control design, friction compensation, output torque estimation, etc. A longstanding challenge remains in the identification of friction models for robotic joints,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Victor Vantilborgh , Sander De Witte , Frederik Ostyn , Tom Lefebvre , Guillaume Crevecoeur

While diffusion models can successfully generate data and make predictions, they are predominantly designed for static images. We propose an approach for efficiently training diffusion models for probabilistic spatiotemporal forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-12 Salva Rühling Cachay , Bo Zhao , Hailey Joren , Rose Yu

For autonomous vehicles to operate persistently in a typical urban environment, it is essential to have high accuracy position information. This requires a mapping and localisation system that can adapt to changes over time. A localisation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Julie Stephany Berrio , Stewart Worrall , Mao Shan , Eduardo Nebot

Reliable perception is essential for robots that interact with the world. But sensors alone are often insufficient to provide this capability, and they are prone to errors due to various conditions in the environment. Furthermore, there is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Ying Siu Liang , Dongkyu Choi , Kenneth Kwok

Hierarchical learning models, such as mixture models and Bayesian networks, are widely employed for unsupervised learning tasks, such as clustering analysis. They consist of observable and hidden variables, which represent the given data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-08 Keisuke Yamazaki