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In this set of notes, a complete, pedagogical tutorial for applying mean field theory to the two-dimensional Ising model is presented. Beginning with the motivation and basis for mean field theory, we formally derive the Bogoliubov…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-04-24 Dalton A R Sakthivadivel

Random forests have become an established tool for classification and regression, in particular in high-dimensional settings and in the presence of complex predictor-response relationships. For bounded outcome variables restricted to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-21 Leonie Weinhold , Matthias Schmid , Marvin N. Wright , Moritz Berger

This paper motivates the use of random-bridges -- stochastic processes conditioned to take target distributions at fixed timepoints -- in the realm of generative modelling. Herein, random-bridges can act as stochastic transports between two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Stefano Goria , Levent A. Mengütürk , Murat C. Mengütürk , Berkan Sesen

Positive dependencies have been compared in the literature under rather strong assumptions such as equality of conditional distributions, exchangeability, or stationarity. We establish supermodular ordering results for distributions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Jonathan Ansari , Moritz Ritter

Rooted, weighted continuum random trees are used to describe limits of sequences of random discrete trees. Formally, they are random quadruples $(\mathcal{T},d,r,p)$, where $(\mathcal{T},d)$ is a tree-like metric space, $r\in\mathcal{T}$ is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-29 Noah Forman

In many situations we are interested in modeling real data where the response distribution, even conditionally on the covariates, presents asymmetry and/or heavy/light tails. In these situations, it is more suitable to consider models based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-06 João Victor B. de Freitas , Caio L. N. Azevedo

Daily internet communication relies heavily on tree-structured graphs, embodied by popular data formats such as XML and JSON. However, many recent generative (probabilistic) models utilize neural networks to learn a probability distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Milan Papež , Martin Rektoris , Tomáš Pevný , Václav Šmídl

This paper formulates a penalized empirical likelihood (PEL) method for inference on the population mean when the dimension of the observations may grow faster than the sample size. Asymptotic distributions of the PEL ratio statistic is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Soumendra N. Lahiri , Subhodeep Mukhopadhyay

A multiplicative cascade can be thought of as a randomization of a measure on the boundary of a tree, constructed from an iid collection of random variables attached to the tree vertices. Given an initial measure with certain regularity…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-28 Tom Alberts , Ben Rifkind

This work studies the statistical implications of using features comprised of general linear combinations of covariates to partition the data in randomized decision tree and forest regression algorithms. Using random tessellation theory in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Eliza O'Reilly

We present a graph theoretical approach to the configurational statistics of random tree-like objects, such as randomly branching polymers. In particular, for ideal trees we show that Pr\"ufer labelling provides: (i) direct access to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-02 Pieter H. W. van der Hoek , Angelo Rosa , Ralf Everaers

We present a resummed mean-field approximation for inferring the parameters of an Ising or a Potts model from empirical, noisy, one- and two-point correlation functions. Based on a resummation of a class of diagrams of the small correlation…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-10-19 Hugo Jacquin , A. Rancon

Due to their power and ease of use, tree-based machine learning models, such as random forests and gradient-boosted tree ensembles, have become very popular. To interpret them, local feature attributions based on marginal expectations, e.g.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Khashayar Filom , Alexey Miroshnikov , Konstandinos Kotsiopoulos , Arjun Ravi Kannan

We solve the growing asymmetric Ising model [Phys. Rev. E 89, 012105 (2014)] in the topologies of deterministic and stochastic (random) scale-free trees predicting its non-monotonous behavior for external fields smaller than the coupling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-10-14 Julian Sienkiewicz

A Profile Mixture Model is a model of protein evolution, describing sequence data in which sites are assumed to follow many related substitution processes on a single evolutionary tree. The processes depend in part on different amino acid…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-07 Samaneh Yourdkhani , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

A new two-parameter discrete distribution, namely the PoiG distribution is derived by the convolution of a Poisson variate and an independently distributed geometric random variable. This distribution generalizes both the Poisson and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-11 Anupama Nandi , Subrata Chakraborty , Aniket Biswas

We tackle the problem of conditioning probabilistic programs on distributions of observable variables. Probabilistic programs are usually conditioned on samples from the joint data distribution, which we refer to as deterministic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 David Tolpin , Yuan Zhou , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang

In this work, we consider an extension of graphical models to random graphs, trees, and other objects. To do this, many fundamental concepts for multivariate random variables (e.g., marginal variables, Gibbs distribution, Markov properties)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-08 Neil Hallonquist

We introduce tree linear cascades, a class of linear structural equation models for which the error variables are uncorrelated but need not be Gaussian nor independent. We show that, in spite of this weak assumption, the tree structure of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Nicholas C. Landolfi , Sanjay Lall

We propose and analyze a regularization approach for structured prediction problems. We characterize a large class of loss functions that allows to naturally embed structured outputs in a linear space. We exploit this fact to design…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-31 Carlo Ciliberto , Alessandro Rudi , Lorenzo Rosasco
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