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The dominant approaches to text representation in natural language rely on learning embeddings on massive corpora which have convenient properties such as compositionality and distance preservation. In this paper, we develop a novel method…

Many modern products exhibit high reliability under normal operating conditions. Conducting life tests under these conditions may result in very few observed failures, insufficient for accurate inferences. Instead, accelerated life tests…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-25 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , María Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

In this work, we propose a class of importance sampling (IS) estimators for estimating the right tail probability of a sum of continuous random variables based on a change of variables to $L^1$ polar coordinates in which the radial and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 Thomas Taimre , Patrick J. Laub

Adversarial robustness has attracted extensive studies recently by revealing the vulnerability and intrinsic characteristics of deep networks. However, existing works on adversarial robustness mainly focus on balanced datasets, while…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Tong Wu , Ziwei Liu , Qingqiu Huang , Yu Wang , Dahua Lin

In this paper, a novel approach to the problem of estimating the heavy-tail exponent alpha>0 of a distribution is proposed. It is based on the fact that block-maxima of size m of the independent and identically distributed data scale at a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis , Murad S. Taqqu

Large-scale multiple testing with correlated and heavy-tailed data arises in a wide range of research areas from genomics, medical imaging to finance. Conventional methods for estimating the false discovery proportion (FDP) often ignore the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Ke , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

We propose a minimum distance estimation method for robust regression in sparse high-dimensional settings. The traditional likelihood-based estimators lack resilience against outliers, a critical issue when dealing with high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-12 Aurélie C. Lozano , Nicolai Meinshausen

In this paper, we consider the problem of linear regression with heavy-tailed distributions. Different from previous studies that use the squared loss to measure the performance, we choose the absolute loss, which is capable of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

This paper investigates model robustness in reinforcement learning (RL) to reduce the sim-to-real gap in practice. We adopt the framework of distributionally robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs), aimed at learning a policy that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Laixi Shi , Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen , Matthieu Geist , Yuejie Chi

It has repeatedly been observed that loss minimization by stochastic gradient descent (SGD) leads to heavy-tailed distributions of neural network parameters. Here, we analyze a continuous diffusion approximation of SGD, called homogenized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-05 Zhe Jiao , Martin Keller-Ressel

We construct and analyze an estimator of association between random variables based on their similarity in both direction and magnitude. Under special conditions, the proposed measure becomes a robust and consistent estimator of the linear…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Ilya Archakov

Accelerated life-tests (ALTs) are used for inferring lifetime characteristics of highly reliable products. In particular, step-stress ALTs increase the stress level at which units under test are subject at certain pre-fixed times, thus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-12 Narayanaswamy Balakrishnan , Maria Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

We develop an unsupervised mixture model for non-negative, skewed and heavy-tailed data, such as losses in actuarial and risk management applications. The mixture has a lognormal component, which is usually appropriate for the body of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-29 Marco Bee , Flavio Santi

This paper proposes minimum distance inference for a structural parameter of interest, which is robust to the lack of identification of other structural nuisance parameters. Some choices of the weighting matrix lead to asymptotic…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-10 Joan Alegre , Juan Carlos Escanciano

In this work, we provide robust bounds on the tail probabilities and the tail index of heavy-tailed distributions in the context of model misspecification. They are defined as the optimal value when computing the worst-case tail behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Corina Birghila , Maximilian Aigner , Sebastian Engelke

The statistical censoring setup is extended to the situation when random measures can be assigned to the realization of datapoints, leading to a new way of incorporating expert information into the usual parametric estimation procedures.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-05 Hansjörg Albrecher , Martin Bladt

A robust and sparse estimator for multinomial regression is proposed for high dimensional data. Robustness of the estimator is achieved by trimming the observations, and sparsity of the estimator is obtained by the elastic net penalty,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-25 Fatma Sevinç Kurnaz , Peter Filzmoser

Modelling excesses over a high threshold using the Pareto or generalized Pareto distribution (PD/GPD) is the most popular approach in extreme value statistics. This method typically requires high thresholds in order for the (G)PD to fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-13 Jan Beirlant , Elisabeth Joossens , Johan Segers

Estimation of tail quantities, such as expected shortfall or Value at Risk, is a difficult problem. We show how the theory of nonlinear expectations, in particular the Data-robust expectation introduced in [5], can assist in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Samuel N. Cohen

Several novel statistical methods have been developed to estimate large integrated volatility matrices based on high-frequency financial data. To investigate their asymptotic behaviors, they require a sub-Gaussian or finite high-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-15 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Jianqing Fan