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Related papers: Robust Tail Index Estimation under Random Censorin…

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In this paper, we prove $L_p,\ p\geq 2$ and almost sure convergence of tail index estimator mentioned in \cite{grama2008} under random censoring and several assumptions. $p$th moment of the error of the estimator is proved to be of order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Yunyi Zhang , Jiazheng Liu , Zexin Pan , Dimitris N. Politis

We introduce a trimmed version of the Hill estimator for the index of a heavy-tailed distribution, which is robust to perturbations in the extreme order statistics. In the ideal Pareto setting, the estimator is essentially finite-sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Shrijita Bhattacharya , Michael Kallitsis , Stilian Stoev

We present a conformal inference method for constructing lower prediction bounds for survival times from right-censored data, extending recent approaches designed for more restrictive type-I censoring scenarios. The proposed method imputes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Matteo Sesia , Vladimir Svetnik

We analyze the \textit{Large Deviation Probability (LDP)} of linear factor models generated from non-identically distributed components with \textit{regularly-varying} tails, a large subclass of heavy tailed distributions. An efficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Farzad Pourbabaee , Omid Shams Solari

We consider the problem of learning the interaction strength between the nodes of a network based on dependent binary observations residing on these nodes, generated from a Markov Random Field (MRF). Since these observations can possibly be…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-02 Tianyu Liu , Somabha Mukherjee , Abhik Ghosh

Heavy-tailed errors impair the accuracy of the least squares estimate, which can be spoiled by a single grossly outlying observation. As argued in the seminal work of Peter Huber in 1973 [{\it Ann. Statist.} {\bf 1} (1973) 799--821], robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Wen-Xin Zhou , Koushiki Bose , Jianqing Fan , Han Liu

Bias reduction in tail estimation has received considerable interest in extreme value analysis. Estimation methods that minimize the bias while keeping the mean squared error (MSE) under control, are especially useful when applying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Gaonyalelwe Maribe , Andréhette Verster , Jan Beirlant

This paper develops robust confidence intervals in high-dimensional and left-censored regression. Type-I censored regression models are extremely common in practice, where a competing event makes the variable of interest unobservable.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-16 Jelena Bradic , Jiaqi Guo

We consider the problem of sparsity-constrained $M$-estimation when both explanatory and response variables have heavy tails (bounded 4-th moments), or a fraction of arbitrary corruptions. We focus on the $k$-sparse, high-dimensional regime…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-31 Liu Liu , Tianyang Li , Constantine Caramanis

This paper proposes a Mixture Density Network specifically designed for forecasting time series that exhibit locally explosive behavior. By incorporating skewed t-distributions as mixture components, our approach offers enhanced flexibility…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Elena Dumitrescu , Julien Peignon , Arthur Thomas

In this paper, we define a kernel estimator for the tail index of a Pareto-type distribution under random right-truncation and establish its asymptotic normality. A simulation study shows that, compared to the estimators recently proposed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-02 Souad Benchaira , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a distribution in high dimensions when either the samples are adversarially corrupted or the distribution is heavy-tailed. Recent developments in robust statistics have established efficient…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Samuel B. Hopkins , Jerry Li , Fred Zhang

This paper establishes the functional convergence of the Extreme Nelson--Aalen and Extreme Kaplan--Meier estimators, which are designed to capture the heavy-tailed behaviour of censored losses. The resulting limit representations can be…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Martin Bladt , Christoffer Øhlenschlæger

We study tail estimation in Pareto-like settings for datasets with a high percentage of randomly right-censored data, and where some expert information on the tail index is available for the censored observations. This setting arises for…

Applications · Statistics 2019-11-13 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

Conformal prediction provides finite-sample, distribution-free coverage under exchangeability, but standard constructions may lack robustness in the presence of outliers or heavy tails. We propose a robust conformal method based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Emilien Joly , Leonardo Moreno

We introduce a method to estimate simultaneously the tail and the threshold parameters of an extreme value regression model. This standard model finds its use in finance to assess the effect of market variables on extreme loss distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Julien Hambuckers , Marie Kratz , Antoine Usseglio-Carleve

This paper considers the problem of robust hypothesis testing under non-identically distributed data. We propose Wald-type tests for both simple and composite hypothesis for independent but non-homogeneous observations based on the robust…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-09 Ayanendranath Basu , Abhik Ghosh , Nirian Martin , Leandro Pardo

Reduced rank regression (RRR) is a fundamental tool for modeling multiple responses through low-dimensional latent structures, offering both interpretability and strong predictive performance in high-dimensional settings. Classical RRR…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 The Tien Mai

This paper derives a new family of estimators, namely the minimum density power divergence estimators, as a robust generalization of the maximum likelihood estimator for the polytomous logistic regression model. Based on these estimators, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-27 E. Castilla , A. Ghosh , N. Martín , L. Pardo

Tensor regression is an important tool for tensor data analysis, but existing works have not considered the impact of outliers, making them potentially sensitive to such data points. This paper proposes a low tubal rank robust regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Zihao Song , Jicai Liu , Heng Lian , Weihua Zhao