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The nonlinear matter power spectrum in cosmology describes how matter density fluctuations vary with scale in the universe, providing critical insights into large-scale structure formation. The matter power spectrum includes both smooth…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-25 Kelly R. Moran , Richard Payne , Earl Lawrence , David Higdon , Stephen A. Walsh , Annie S. Booth , Juliana Kwan , Amber Day , Salman Habib , Katrin Heitmann

We present methods for emulating the matter power spectrum by combining information from cosmological $N$-body simulations at different resolutions. An emulator allows estimation of simulation output by interpolating across the parameter…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-17 Ming-Feng Ho , Simeon Bird , Christian R. Shelton

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are popular surrogate models for complex nonstationary computer experiments. DGPs use one or more latent Gaussian processes (GPs) to warp the input space into a plausibly stationary regime, then use typical GP…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Annie S. Booth

Fitting a theoretical model to experimental data in a Bayesian manner using Markov chain Monte Carlo typically requires one to evaluate the model thousands (or millions) of times. When the model is a slow-to-compute physics simulation,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-25 Steven Stetzler , Michael Grosskopf , Earl Lawrence

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a Bayesian non-parametric alternative to standard parametric deep learning models. A DGP is formed by stacking multiple GPs resulting in a well-regularized composition of functions. The Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-06 Vinayak Kumar , Vaibhav Singh , P. K. Srijith , Andreas Damianou

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGP) are hierarchical generalizations of Gaussian Processes (GP) that have proven to work effectively on a multiple supervised regression tasks. They combine the well calibrated uncertainty estimates of GPs with the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-10 Marton Havasi , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Juan José Murillo-Fuentes

Computer models are used as a way to explore complex physical systems. Stationary Gaussian process emulators, with their accompanying uncertainty quantification, are popular surrogates for computer models. However, many computer models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-25 Faezeh Yazdi , Derek Bingham , Daniel Williamson

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) provide a rich class of models that can better represent functions with varying regimes or sharp changes, compared to conventional GPs. In this work, we propose a novel inference method for DGPs for computer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-18 Deyu Ming , Daniel Williamson , Serge Guillas

Analysis of cosmic shear is an integral part of understanding structure growth across cosmic time, which in-turn provides us with information about the nature of dark energy. Conventional methods generate \emph{shear maps} from which we can…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-02 Gregory Sallaberry , Benjamin W. Priest , Robert Armstrong , Michael D. Schneider , Amanda Muyskens , Trevor Steil , Keita Iwabuchi

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are increasingly popular as predictive models in machine learning (ML) for their non-stationary flexibility and ability to cope with abrupt regime changes in training data. Here we explore DGPs as surrogates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-27 Annie Sauer , Robert B. Gramacy , David Higdon

New manufacturing techniques such as 3D printing have recently enabled the creation of previously infeasible chemical reactor designs. Optimizing the geometry of the next generation of chemical reactors is important to understand the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Tom Savage , Nausheen Basha , Omar Matar , Ehecatl Antonio Del-Rio Chanona

We present a Bayesian hierarchical modelling approach to infer the cosmic matter density field, and the lensing and the matter power spectra, from cosmic shear data. This method uses a physical model of cosmic structure formation to infer…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-03 Natalia Porqueres , Alan Heavens , Daniel Mortlock , Guilhem Lavaux

In this study, we introduce a novel analytical Gaussian Process (GP) cosmography methodology, leveraging the differentiable properties of GPs to derive key cosmological quantities analytically. Our approach combines cosmic chronometer (CC)…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-19 Bikash R. Dinda

This paper is concerned with a state-space approach to deep Gaussian process (DGP) regression. We construct the DGP by hierarchically putting transformed Gaussian process (GP) priors on the length scales and magnitudes of the next level of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-24 Zheng Zhao , Muhammad Emzir , Simo Särkkä

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) upgrade ordinary GPs through functional composition, in which intermediate GP layers warp the original inputs, providing flexibility to model non-stationary dynamics. Two DGP regimes have emerged in recent…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-16 Annie Sauer , Andrew Cooper , Robert B. Gramacy

We undertake Bayesian learning of the high-dimensional functional relationship between a system parameter vector and an observable, that is in general tensor-valued. The ultimate aim is Bayesian inverse prediction of the system parameters,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-17 Kangrui Wang , Dalia Chakrabarty

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer hierarchical generalisations of Gaussian processes (GPs) and are formally equivalent to neural networks with multiple, infinitely wide hidden layers. DGPs are probabilistic and non-parametric…

We introduce a new cosmic emulator for the matter power spectrum covering eight cosmological parameters. Targeted at optical surveys, the emulator provides accurate predictions out to a wavenumber k~5/Mpc and redshift z<=2. Besides covering…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-04 Earl Lawrence , Katrin Heitmann , Juliana Kwan , Amol Upadhye , Derek Bingham , Salman Habib , David Higdon , Adrian Pope , Hal Finkel , Nicholas Frontiere

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multi-layer hierarchical generalisations of Gaussian processes (GPs) and are formally equivalent to neural networks with multiple, infinitely wide hidden layers. DGPs are nonparametric probabilistic models…

Deep Gaussian Processes (DGPs) were proposed as an expressive Bayesian model capable of a mathematically grounded estimation of uncertainty. The expressivity of DPGs results from not only the compositional character but the distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-23 Chi-Ken Lu , Patrick Shafto
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