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When evaluating the impact of a policy on a metric of interest, it may not be possible to conduct a randomized control trial. In settings where only observational data is available, Synthetic Control (SC) methods provide a popular…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Muhummad Amjad , Vishal Misra , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen

Model predictive control (MPC) has proven useful in enabling safe and optimal motion planning for autonomous vehicles. In this paper, we investigate how to achieve MPC-based motion planning when a neural state-space model represents the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Iman Askari , Ali Vaziri , Xuemin Tu , Shen Zeng , Huazhen Fang

This paper develops a distributed model predictive control (DMPC) strategy for a class of discrete-time linear systems with consideration of globally coupled constraints. The DMPC under study is based on the dual problem concerning all…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Yanxu Su , Yang Shi , Changyin Sun

The biochemical reaction networks that regulate living systems are all stochastic to varying degrees. The resulting randomness affects biological outcomes at multiple scales, from the functional states of single proteins in a cell to the…

In this paper, we present a distributed model predictive control (DMPC) scheme for dynamically decoupled systems which are subject to state constraints, coupling state constraints and input constraints. In the proposed control scheme,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-17 Adrian Wiltz , Fei Chen , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

We approach the development of models and control strategies of susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic processes from the perspective of marked temporal point processes and stochastic optimal control of stochastic differential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-04 Lars Lorch , Abir De , Samir Bhatt , William Trouleau , Utkarsh Upadhyay , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

The synthetic control (SC) framework is widely used for observational causal inference with time-series panel data. SC has been successful in diverse applications, but existing methods typically treat the ordering of pre-intervention time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Saeyoung Rho , Cyrus Illick , Samhitha Narasipura , Alberto Abadie , Daniel Hsu , Vishal Misra

Model predictive control (MPC) is an optimal control method that predicts the future states of the system being controlled and estimates the optimal control inputs that drive the predicted states to the required reference. The computations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-05 Eslam Mostafa , Hussein A. Aly , Ahmed Elliethy

Recent works in Learning-Based Model Predictive Control of dynamical systems show impressive sample complexity performances using criteria from Information Theory to accelerate the learning procedure. However, the sequential exploration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Rémy Hosseinkhan-Boucher , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin

Mean-field models are a popular tool in a variety of fields. They provide an understanding of the impact of interactions among a large number of particles or people or other "self-interested agents", and are an increasingly popular tool in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-18 Ana Bušić , Sean Meyn

This paper proposes a novel robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems affected by model uncertainty described by interval matrices. The key feature of the proposed method is a bound on the uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

Many epidemic processes in networks spread by stochastic contacts among their connected vertices. There are two limiting cases widely analyzed in the physics literature, the so-called contact process (CP) where the contagion is expanded at…

Computational Physics · Physics 2010-02-19 S. Gomez , A. Arenas , J. Borge-Holthoefer , S. Meloni , Y. Moreno

Decision making under uncertainty is critical to real-world, autonomous systems. Model Predictive Control (MPC) methods have demonstrated favorable performance in practice, but remain limited when dealing with complex probability…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Alexander Lambert , Adam Fishman , Dieter Fox , Byron Boots , Fabio Ramos

Predicting relative risk (RR) of spatial clusters is a complex task in public health that can be achieved through various statistical and machine-learning methods for different time intervals. However, high-resolution longitudinal data is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Lyza Iamrache , Kamel Rekab , Majid Bani-Yagoub , Julia Pluta , Abdelghani Mehailia

Recently there have been exciting developments in Monte Carlo methods, with the development of new MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms which are based on continuous-time, rather than discrete-time, Markov processes. This has…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-29 Paul Fearnhead , Joris Bierkens , Murray Pollock , Gareth O Roberts

The paper proposes a new stochastic intervention control model conducted in various commodity and stock markets. The essence of the phenomenon of intervention is described in accordance with current economic theory. A review of papers on…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-28 Peter Shnurkov , Daniil Novikov

We present a novel control policy, called Predictive Network Control (PNC) to control wireless communication networks (on packet level), based on paradigms of Model Predictive Control (MPC). In contrast to common myopic policies, who use…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-03 Richard Schoeffauer , Gerhard Wunder

Sequential Monte Carlo methods are a powerful framework for approximating the posterior distribution of a state variable in a sequential manner. They provide an attractive way of analyzing dynamic systems in real-time, taking into account…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Dhorasso Temfack , Jason Wyse

This paper considers a distributed decision-making approach for manufacturing task assignment and condition-based machine health maintenance. Our approach considers information sharing between the task assignment and health management…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Ali Nasir , Samir Mekid , Zaid Sawlan , Omar Alsawafy

Continuous-time Markov chains are mathematical models that are used to describe the state-evolution of dynamical systems under stochastic uncertainty, and have found widespread applications in various fields. In order to make these models…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-22 Thomas Krak , Jasper De Bock , Arno Siebes