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Clinical predictive algorithms are increasingly being used to form the basis for optimal treatment policies--that is, to enable interventions to be targeted to the patients who will presumably benefit most. Despite taking advantage of…

Applications · Statistics 2020-07-21 Ben J. Marafino , Alejandro Schuler , Vincent X. Liu , Gabriel J. Escobar , Mike Baiocchi

We provide non-asymptotic excess risk guarantees for statistical learning in a setting where the population risk with respect to which we evaluate the target parameter depends on an unknown nuisance parameter that must be estimated from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-07 Dylan J. Foster , Vasilis Syrgkanis

The hazard function is a ratio of a density and survival function, and it is a basic tool of the survival analysis. In this paper we propose a kernel estimator of the hazard ratio function, which are based on a modification of \'{C}wik and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-19 Taku Moriyama , Yoshihiko Maesono

Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTEs) in time-varying settings is particularly challenging, as the probability of observing certain treatment sequences decreases exponentially with longer prediction horizons. Thus, the observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Konstantin Hess , Dennis Frauen , Mihaela van der Schaar , Stefan Feuerriegel

We propose a class of transformation hazard models for right-censored failure time data. It includes the proportional hazards model (Cox) and the additive hazards model (Lin and Ying) as special cases. Due to the requirement of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gousheng Yin , Joseph G. Ibrahim

The proportional hazards assumption in the commonly used Cox model for censored failure time data is often violated in scientific studies. Yang and Prentice (2005) proposed a novel semiparametric two-sample model that includes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-06 Guoqing Diao , Donglin Zeng , Song Yang

A variety of interesting parameters may depend on high dimensional regressions. Machine learning can be used to estimate such parameters. However estimators based on machine learners can be severely biased by regularization and/or model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Victor Chernozhukov , Whitney K. Newey , Victor Quintas-Martinez , Vasilis Syrgkanis

We study inference for censored survival data where some covariates are distorted by some unknown functions of an observable confounding variable in a multiplicative form. Example of this kind of data in medical studies is the common…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-03 Yanyan Liu , Yuanshan Wu , Jing Zhang , Haibo Zhou

In this paper, we introduce a general theoretical framework for nonparametric hazard rate estimation using associated kernels, whose shapes depend on the point of estimation. Within this framework, we establish rigorous asymptotic results,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Luce Breuil , Sarah Kaakaï

Latent class analysis (LCA) is a useful tool to investigate the heterogeneity of a disease population with time-to-event data. We propose a new method based on non-parametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE), which facilitates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Teng Fei , John Hanfelt , Limin Peng

Covariate balance is crucial in obtaining unbiased estimates of treatment effects in observational studies. Methods based on inverse probability weights have been widely used to estimate treatment effects with observational data. Machine…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Michele Santacatterina

In healthcare, the highest risk individuals for morbidity and mortality are rarely those with the greatest modifiable risk. By contrast, many machine learning formulations implicitly attend to the highest risk individuals. We focus on this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-15 Yoonjung Kim , Jeremy C. Weiss

In this paper we propose a Multiple kernel testing procedure to infer survival data when several factors (e.g. different treatment groups, gender, medical history) and their interaction are of interest simultaneously. Our method is able to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-16 Marc Ditzhaus , Tamara Fernández , Nicolás Rivera

Nonlinear Mixed effects models are hidden variables models that are widely used in many fields such as pharmacometrics. In such models, the distribution characteristics of hidden variables can be specified by including several parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-19 Edouard Ollier

We propose a novel deep learning approach to nonparametric statistical inference for the conditional hazard function of survival time with right-censored data. We use a deep neural network (DNN) to approximate the logarithm of a conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-24 Wen Su , Kin-Yat Liu , Guosheng Yin , Jian Huang , Xingqiu Zhao

Traditional survival models often rely on restrictive assumptions such as proportional hazards or instantaneous effects of time-varying covariates on the hazard function, which limit their applicability in real-world settings. We consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-30 Bingqing Hu , Bin Nan

The kernel-based method has been successfully applied in linear system identification using stable kernel designs. From a Gaussian process perspective, it automatically provides probabilistic error bounds for the identified models from the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Mingzhou Yin , Roy S. Smith

Predicting patient survival probabilities based on observed covariates is an important assessment in clinical practice. These patient-specific covariates are often measured over multiple follow-up appointments. It is then of interest to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Annabel L. Davies , Anthony C. C. Coolen , Tobias Galla

Gradient-based solvers risk convergence to local optima, leading to incorrect researcher inference. Heuristic-based algorithms are able to ``break free" of these local optima to eventually converge to the true global optimum. However, given…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-17 Zachary Porreca

For statistical inference on regression models with a diverging number of covariates, the existing literature typically makes sparsity assumptions on the inverse of the Fisher information matrix. Such assumptions, however, are often…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Lu Xia , Bin Nan , Yi Li