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This paper presents state estimation and stochastic optimal control gathered in one global optimization problem generating dual effect i.e. the control can improve the future estimation. As the optimal policy is impossible to compute, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Emilien Flayac , Karim Dahia , Bruno Hérissé , Frédéric Jean

The Gray--Scott model governs the interaction of two chemical species via a system of reaction-diffusion equations. Despite its simple form, it produces extremely rich patterns such as spots, stripes, waves, and labyrinths. That makes it…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Tsiry Avisoa Randrianasolo

Data assimilation provides algorithms for widespread applications in various fields. It is of practical use to deal with a large amount of information in the complex system that is hard to estimate. Weather forecasting is one of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Yihua Yang

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

We propose an algorithm to approximate solutions of global optimization problems in Sobolev spaces that follows the spirit of Consensus-based algorithms in finite dimensions. The main ingredient are Gaussian processes. In fact, we exploit…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Mahmoud Khatab , Claudia Totzeck

We propose a novel method for maximum likelihood-based parameter inference in nonlinear and/or non-Gaussian state space models. The method is an iterative procedure with three steps. At each iteration a particle filter is used to estimate…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-22 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten

State estimation in non-linear models is performed by tracking the posterior distribution recursively. A plethora of algorithms have been proposed for this task. Among them, the Gaussian particle filter uses a weighted set of particles to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-05 Karthik Comandur , Yunpeng Li , Santosh Nannuru

Data assimilation (DA) provides a general framework for estimation in dynamical systems based on the concepts of Bayesian inference. This constitutes a common basis for the different linear and nonlinear filtering and smoothing techniques…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Tarek Diaa-Eldeen , Marcus Krogh Nielsen , Carl Fredrik Berg , Morten Hovd , John Bagterp Jørgensen

We consider the problem of approximating optimal in the Minimum Mean Squared Error (MMSE) sense nonlinear filters in a discrete time setting, exploiting properties of stochastically convergent state process approximations. More…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Athina P. Petropulu

Density tempering (also called density annealing) is a sequential Monte Carlo approach to Bayesian inference for general state models; it is an alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo. When applied to state space models, it moves a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-05 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , Minh Ngoc Tran

We present a data-driven algorithm for efficiently computing stochastic control policies for general joint chance constrained optimal control problems. Our approach leverages the theory of kernel distribution embeddings, which allows…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-10 Adam J. Thorpe , Thomas Lew , Meeko M. K. Oishi , Marco Pavone

Data assimilation algorithms are used to estimate the states of a dynamical system using partial and noisy observations. The ensemble Kalman filter has become a popular data assimilation scheme due to its simplicity and robustness for a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Gottfried Hastermann , Maria Reinhardt , Rupert Klein , Sebastian Reich

Particle-optimization-based sampling (POS) is a recently developed effective sampling technique that interactively updates a set of particles. A representative algorithm is the Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD). We prove, under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Jianyi Zhang , Ruiyi Zhang , Lawrence Carin , Changyou Chen

Sequential filtering and spatial inverse problems assimilate data points distributed either temporally (in the case of filtering) or spatially (in the case of spatial inverse problems). Sometimes it is possible to choose the position of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Sahani Pathiraja , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker

This work establishes a general stochastic maximum principle for partially observed optimal control of semi-linear stochastic partial differential equations in a nonconvex control domain. The state evolves in a Hilbert space driven by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Yanzhao Cao , Hongjiang Qian , George Yin

For many expensive deterministic computer simulators, the outputs do not have replication error and the desired metamodel (or statistical emulator) is an interpolator of the observed data. Realizations of Gaussian spatial processes (GP) are…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-07 Pritam Ranjan , Ronald Haynes , Richard Karsten

Data assimilation is a technique for increasing the accuracy of simulations of solutions to partial differential equations by incorporating observable data into the solution as time evolves. Recently, a promising new algorithm for data…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Adam Larios , Collin Victor

In Data Assimilation, observations are fused with simulations to obtain an accurate estimate of the state and parameters for a given physical system. Combining data with a model, however, while accurately estimating uncertainty, is…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Nikolaj T. Mücke , Sander M. Bohté , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

Non-invasive flow measurement techniques, such as particle tracking velocimetry, resolve 3D velocity fields by pairing tracer particle positions in successive time steps. These trajectories are crucial for evaluating physical quantities…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-07-08 Kairui Hao , Atharva Hans , Pavlos Vlachos , Ilias Bilionis

A Bayesian filtering algorithm is developed for a class of state-space systems that can be modelled via Gaussian mixtures. In general, the exact solution to this filtering problem involves an exponential growth in the number of mixture…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-03 Adrian G. Wills , Johannes Hendriks , Christopher Renton , Brett Ninness