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A broad class of stochastic volatility models are defined by systems of stochastic differential equations. While these models have seen widespread success in domains such as finance and statistical climatology, they typically lack an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Gregory Benton , Wesley J. Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Stochastic systems characterised by a random driving in a form of the general stable noise are considered. The particle experiences long rests due to the traps the density of which is position-dependent and obeys a power-law form attributed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-07-06 Tomasz Srokowski

Literature is full of inference techniques developed to estimate the parameters of stochastic dynamical systems driven by the well-known Brownian noise. Such diffusion models are often inappropriate models to properly describe the dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Babak M. S. Arani

We study the limit of the joint distribution of a multidimensional Generalized Tempered Stable (GTS) process and its quadratic covariation process when the stable index tends to two. Under a proper scaling, the GTS processes converges to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Masaaki Fukasawa , Mikio Hirokane

In this paper we consider a new mathematical extension of the Black-Scholes model in which the stochastic time and stock share price evolution is described by two independent random processes. The parent process is Brownian, and the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-15 Aleksander Stanislavsky

We analyze a specific class of random systems that are driven by a symmetric L\'{e}vy stable noise. In view of the L\'{e}vy noise sensitivity to the confining "potential landscape" where jumps take place (in other words, to environmental…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 M. Zaba , P. Garbaczewski , V. Stephanovich

We introduce a new class of continuous-time models of the stochastic volatility of asset prices. The models can simultaneously incorporate roughness and slowly decaying autocorrelations, including proper long memory, which are two stylized…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-06 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We analyze confining mechanisms for L\'{e}vy flights. When they evolve in suitable external potentials their variance may exist and show signatures of a superdiffusive transport. Two classes of stochastic jump - type processes are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Piotr Garbaczewski , Vladimir Stephanovich

Standard stochastic Loewner evolution (SLE) is driven by a continuous Brownian motion, which then produces a continuous fractal trace. If jumps are added to the driving function, the trace branches. We consider a generalized SLE driven by a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 I. Rushkin , P. Oikonomou , L. P. Kadanoff , I. A. Gruzberg

Modelling extreme events and heavy-tailed phenomena is central to building reliable predictive systems in domains such as finance, climate science, and safety-critical AI. While L\'evy processes provide a natural mathematical framework for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yaman Kindap , Manfred Opper , Benjamin Dupuis , Umut Simsekli , Tolga Birdal

This paper is devoted to the characterization of an extended family of CARMA (continuous-time autoregressive moving average) processes that are solutions of stochastic differential equations driven by white Levy innovations. These are…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Michael Unser , Pouya D. Tafti , Arash Amini , Hagai Kirshner

Pure-jump L\'evy processes are popular classes of stochastic processes which have found many applications in finance, statistics or machine learning. In this paper, we propose a novel family of self-decomposable L\'evy processes where one…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fadhel Ayed , Juho Lee , François Caron

We consider the problem of obtaining effective representations for the solutions of linear, vector-valued stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by non-Gaussian pure-jump L\'evy processes, and we show how such representations lead…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-09 Marcos Tapia Costa , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

We consider a pure-jump stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross ($\alpha$-stable CIR) process driven by a non-symmetric stable L{\'e}vy process with jump activity $\alpha$ $\in$ (1, 2) and we address the joint estimation of drift, scaling and jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-13 Elise Bayraktar , Emmanuelle Clément

Trust is the invisible glue that holds together the fabric of societies, economic systems, and political institutions. Yet, its dynamics-especially in real-world settings remain unpredictable and difficult to control. While classical trust…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-05 Mohamadali Berahman , Madjid Eshaghi Gordji

An approach to the modelling of volatile time series using a class of uniformity-preserving transforms for uniform random variables is proposed. V-transforms describe the relationship between quantiles of the stationary distribution of the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-13 Alexander J. McNeil

With the rapid development of computational techniques and scientific tools, great progress of data-driven analysis has been made to extract governing laws of dynamical systems from data. Despite the wide occurrences of non-Gaussian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Yubin Lu , Yang Li , Jinqiao Duan

This paper considers a general stochastic SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional Levy jump process with heavy tailed increments and possible correlation between noise components. In this framework, we derive new sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Nicolas Privault , Liang Wang

In this paper we introduce a new class of state space models based on shot-noise simulation representations of non-Gaussian L\'evy-driven linear systems, represented as stochastic differential equations. In particular a conditionally…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-09 Simon Godsill , Marina Riabiz , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

We start by defining a subordinator by means of the lower-incomplete gamma function. It can be considered as an approximation of the stable subordinator, easier to be handled thank to its finite activity. A tempered version is also…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-24 Luisa Beghin , Costantino Ricciuti