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Accurate day-ahead forecasts of solar irradiance are required for the large-scale integration of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems into the power grid. However, current forecasting solutions lack the temporal and spatial resolution required…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Baptiste Schubnel , Jelena Simeunović , Corentin Tissier , Pierre-Jean Alet , Rafael E. Carrillo

The precise physical process that triggers solar flares is not currently understood. Here we attempt to capture the signature of this mechanism in solar image data of various wavelengths and use these signatures to predict flaring activity.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-14 Eric Jonas , Monica G. Bobra , Vaishaal Shankar , J. Todd Hoeksema , Benjamin Recht

We present a scalable machine learning framework for analyzing Parker Solar Probe (PSP) solar wind data using distributed processing and the quantum-inspired Kernel Density Matrices (KDM) method. The PSP dataset (2018--2024) exceeds 150 GB,…

We study three CME/ICME events (2008 June 1-6, 2009 February 13-18, 2010 April 3-5) tracked from Sun to 1 AU in remote-sensing observations of STEREO Heliospheric Imagers and in situ plasma and magnetic field measurements. We focus on the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 Manuela Temmer , Tanja Rollett , Christian Möstl , Astrid M. Veronig , Bojan Vrsnak , Dusan Odstrcil

Solar radio flux along with geomagnetic indices are important indicators of solar activity and its effects. Extreme solar events such as flares and geomagnetic storms can negatively affect the space environment including satellites in…

In the era of space exploration, the implications of space weather have become increasingly evident. Central to this is the phenomenon of coronal holes, which can significantly influence the functioning of satellites and aircraft. These…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-06-24 Juyoung Yun

As the peak of the solar cycle approaches in 2025 and the ability of a single geomagnetic storm to significantly alter the orbit of Resident Space Objects (RSOs), techniques for atmospheric density forecasting are vital for space…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-27 Julia Briden , Peng Mun Siew , Victor Rodriguez-Fernandez , Richard Linares

Solar wind conditions are predominantly predicted via three-dimensional numerical magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) models. Despite their ability to produce highly accurate predictions, MHD models require computationally intensive high-dimensional…

Computational Physics · Physics 2022-11-30 Opal Issan , Boris Kramer

We utilize observations from the Parker Solar Probe (PSP) to study the radial evolution of the solar wind in the inner heliosphere. We analyze electron velocity distribution functions observed by the Solar Wind Electrons, Alphas, and…

We calculate accurate solar models and report the detailed time dependences of important solar quantities. We use helioseismology to constrain the luminosity evolution of the sun and report the discovery of semi-convection in evolved solar…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 John N. Bahcall , M. H. Pinsonneault , Sarbani Basu

Compared to quasi-steady-state corona models that are constrained by a time-invariant magnetogram over a CR period, time-evolving corona models driven by time-varying photospheric magnetograms are more realistic and can maintain more useful…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-19 Haopeng Wang , Stefaan Poedts , Andrea Lani , Michaela Brchnelová , Tinatin Baratashvili , Luis Linan , Fan Zhang , Dawei Hou , Yuhao Zhou

We developed a reliable probabilistic solar flare forecasting model using a deep neural network, named Deep Flare Net-Reliable (DeFN-R). The model can predict the maximum classes of flares that occur in the following 24 h after observing…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-02 Naoto Nishizuka , Yûki Kubo , Komei Sugiura , Mitsue Den , Mamoru Ishii

Ahead-of-time forecasting of incident solar-irradiance on a panel is indicative of expected energy yield and is essential for efficient grid distribution and planning. Traditionally, these forecasts are based on meteorological physics…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-01-16 Talha A. Siddiqui , Samarth Bharadwaj , Shivkumar Kalyanaraman

Integration of intermittent renewable energy sources into electric grids in large proportions is challenging. A well-established approach aimed at addressing this difficulty involves the anticipation of the upcoming energy supply…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Quentin Paletta , Guillaume Arbod , Joan Lasenby

Empirical solar wind speed models play an important role in enabling space weather forecasting with low computational cost. Among these, one model called WS model is based on the asymptotic expansion factor. However, it is known that it…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-30 Kyogo Tokoro , Munehito Shoda , Shinsuke Imada

Predictions of the solar wind at Earth are a central aspect of space weather prediction. The outcome of such a prediction, however, is highly sensitive to the method used for computing the magnetic field in the corona. We analyze the impact…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-09-07 Marion Weinzierl , Francois-X. Bocquet , Anthony R. Yeates

We describe, test, and apply a technique to incorporate full-sun, surface flux evolution into an MHD model of the global solar corona. Requiring only maps of the evolving surface flux, our method is similar to that of Lionello et al.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-12 Roberto Lionello , Cooper Downs , Emily I. Mason , Jon A. Linker , Ronald M. Caplan , Pete Riley , Viacheslav S. Titov , Marc L. DeRosa

Solar radiation prediction is an important challenge for the electrical engineer because it is used to estimate the power developed by commercial photovoltaic modules. This paper deals with the problem of solar radiation prediction based on…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-08-19 Giacomo Capizzi , Christian Napoli , Francesco Bonanno

The Sun continuously affects the interplanetary environment through a host of interconnected and dynamic physical processes. Solar flares, Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), and Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) are among the key drivers of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-27 Subhamoy Chatterjee , Maher Dayeh , Andrés Muñoz-Jaramillo , Hazel M. Bain , Kimberly Moreland , Samuel Hart

The daily measurements of the disc-integrated solar radio flux, observed by the Radio Solar Telescope Network (RSTN), at 245, 410, 610, 1415, 2695, 4995, and 8800 MHz during the time interval of 1989 January 1 to 2019 December 17, are used…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-28 N. B. Xiang , X. H. Zhao , L. H. Deng , F. Y. Li , Y. J. Wang , X. W. Tan
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