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The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

Total solar eclipses (TSEs) provide a unique opportunity to observe the large-scale solar corona. The solar wind plays an important role in forming the large-scale coronal structure and magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) simulations are used to…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-26 Yihua Li , Guoyin Chen , Jinhan Guo , Yang Guo , Hao Wu , Yuhao Huang , Xin Cheng , Mingde Ding , Rony Keppens

We present the first real-time predictions of coronal mass ejection (CME) magnetic structure and resulting geomagnetic impact at Earth for two events using far-upstream observations from Solar Orbiter during March 2024. While our approach…

Long-term sensor network deployments demand careful power management. While managing power requires understanding the amount of energy harvestable from the local environment, current solar prediction methods rely only on recent local…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Elizabeth Basha , Raja Jurdak , Daniela Rus

The solar wind, a continuous stream of charged particles from the Sun's corona, shapes the heliosphere and impacts space systems near Earth. Variations such as high-speed streams and coronal mass ejections can disrupt satellites, power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Reza Mansouri , Dustin Kempton , Pete Riley , Rafal Angryk

Accurate 24-hour solar irradiance forecasting is essential for the safe and economic operation of solar photovoltaic systems. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) models represent the state-of-the-art in forecasting performance…

Dispersive delays due to the Solar wind introduce excess noise in high-precision pulsar timing experiments, and must be removed in order to achieve the accuracy needed to detect, e.g., low-frequency gravitational waves. In current pulsar…

The uncertainty of the energy generated by photovoltaic systems incurs an additional cost for a guaranteed, reliable supply of energy (i.e., energy storage). This investigation aims to decrease the additional cost by introducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

We present a novel global 3-D coronal MHD model called COCONUT, polytropic in its first stage and based on a time-implicit backward Euler scheme. Our model boosts run-time performance in comparison with contemporary MHD-solvers based on…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-31 Barbara Perri , Peter Leitner , Michaela Brchnelova , Tinatin Baratashvili , Blazej Kuzma , Fan Zhang , Andrea Lani , Stefaan Poedts

Our current capability of space weather prediction in the Earth's radiation belts is limited to only an hour in advance using the real-time solar wind monitoring at the Lagrangian L1 point. To mitigate the impacts of space weather on…

The solar wind, a continuous outflow of charged particles from the Sun's corona, shapes the heliosphere and impacts space systems near Earth. Accurate prediction of features such as high-speed streams and coronal mass ejections is critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Reza Mansouri , Dustin Kempton , Pete Riley , Rafal Angryk

Using data collected by the Indian Mars Orbiter Mission in October 2021, we investigated coronal regions of the Sun by analyzing the Doppler spectral width of radio signals to estimate solar wind velocity. A simplified equation is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-04-02 Keshav Aggarwal , R. K. Choudhary , Abhirup Datta , Roopa M. V. , Bijoy K. Dai

We explore the capabilities of time-dependent (TD) magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) solar wind simulations with the coupled WSA model of the solar corona and GAMERA model of the inner heliosphere. We compare TD with steady state (SS) simulations…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-09-26 Evangelia Samara , Elena Provornikova , C. Nick Arge , Andrew McCubbin , Viacheslav G. Merkin

Smooth power generation from solar stations demand accurate, reliable and efficient forecast of solar energy for optimal integration to cater market demand; however, the implicit instability of solar energy production may cause serious…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Farah Shahid , Aneela Zameer , Mudasser Afzal , Muhammad Hassan

This paper reviews our growing understanding of the physics behind coronal heating (in open-field regions) and the acceleration of the solar wind. Many new insights have come from the last solar cycle's worth of observations and theoretical…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-02-02 Steven R. Cranmer , John L. Kohl , Mari Paz Miralles , Adriaan A. van Ballegooijen

Prediction of the Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events garner increasing interest as space missions extend beyond Earth's protective magnetosphere. These events, which are, in most cases, products of magnetic reconnection-driven processes…

An accurate and timely assessment of wind speed and energy output allows an efficient planning and management of this resource on the power grid. Wind energy, especially at high resolution, calls for the development of nonlinear statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-17 Matthew Bonas , Paolo Giani , Paola Crippa , Stefano Castruccio

The solar wind is a structured and complex system, in which the fields vary strongly over a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. As an example, the turbulent activity in the wind affects the evolution in the heliosphere of the…

Space Physics · Physics 2015-06-19 M. E. Ruiz , S. Dasso , W. H. Matthaeus , J. M. Weygand

The slow solar wind exhibits strong variability on timescales from minutes to days, likely related to magnetic reconnection processes in the extended solar corona. Higginson2017b presented a numerical magnetohydrodynamic simulation which…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 Aleida K. Higginson , Benjamin J. Lynch

The widespread utilisation of grid-integrated wind electricity necessitates accurate and reliable wind speed forecasting to ensure stable grid and quality power. Machine learning algorithm based wind speed forecasting models are getting…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-08-13 Valsaraj Perumpalot , G. V. Drisya , K. Satheesh Kumar