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Estimating treatment effects from observational data is challenging due to two main reasons: (a) hidden confounding, and (b) covariate mismatch (control and treatment groups not having identical distributions). Long lines of works exist…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-30 Praharsh Nanavati , Ranjitha Prasad , Karthikeyan Shanmugam

Interactive constraint systems often suffer from infeasibility (no solution) due to conflicting user constraints. A common approach to recover infeasibility is to eliminate the constraints that cause the conflicts in the system. This…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Sharmi Dev Gupta , Begum Genc , Barry O'Sullivan

Knowledge about existence, strength, and dominant direction of causal influences is of paramount importance for understanding complex systems. With limited amounts of realistic data, however, current methods for investigating causal links…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-20 Erik Laminski , Klaus R. Pawelzik

In this expository paper we discuss a relatively new counterfeit coin problem with an unusual goal: maintaining the privacy of, rather than revealing, counterfeit coins in a set of both fake and real coins. We introduce two classes of…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2015-08-21 Nicholas Diaco , Tanya Khovanova

In experiments, the dynamical behavior of systems is reflected in time series. Due to the finiteness of the observational data set it is not possible to reconstruct the invariant measure up to arbitrary fine resolution and arbitrary high…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. Cencini , M. Falcioni , H. Kantz , E. Olbrich , A. Vulpiani

We investigate the emergence of periodic behavior in opinion dynamics and its underlying geometry. For this, we use a bounded-confidence model with contrarian agents in a convolution social network. This means that agents adapt their…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Bernard Chazelle , Kritkorn Karntikoon , Jakob Nogler

Emotional disorders and psychological flourishing are the result of complex interactions between positive and negative affects that depend on external events and the subject's internal representations. Based on psychological data, we…

Applications · Statistics 2015-05-19 Jonathan Touboul , Alberto Romagnoni , Robert Schwartz

This paper studies if and to which extent COVID-19 epidemics can be controlled by authorities taking decisions on public health measures on the basis of daily reports of swab test results, active cases and total cases. A suitably simplified…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-22 Francesco Casella

In real-world studies, the collected confounders may suffer from measurement error. Although mismeasurement of confounders is typically unintentional -- originating from sources such as human oversight or imprecise machinery -- deliberate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Jeffrey Zhang , Junu Lee

The problem of multi-hypothesis testing with controlled sensing of observations is considered. The distribution of observations collected under each control is assumed to follow a single-parameter exponential family distribution. The goal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-29 Aditya Deshmukh , Srikrishna Bhashyam , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We show that model compression can improve the population risk of a pre-trained model, by studying the tradeoff between the decrease in the generalization error and the increase in the empirical risk with model compression. We first prove…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-29 Yuheng Bu , Weihao Gao , Shaofeng Zou , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Inspired by privacy problems where the behavior of a system should not be revealed to an external curious observer, we investigate event concealment and concealability enforcement in discrete event systems modeled as non-deterministic…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Wei Duan , Christoforos N. Hadjicostis , Zhiwu Li

Risk measures like Marginal Expected Shortfall and Marginal Mean Excess quantify conditional risk and in particular, aid in the understanding of systemic risk. In many such scenarios, models exhibiting heavy tails in the margins and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-07 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann

We introduce the broad subclass of algebraic compressed sensing problems, where structured signals are modeled either explicitly or implicitly via polynomials. This includes, for instance, low-rank matrix and tensor recovery. We employ…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-02 Paul Breiding , Fulvio Gesmundo , Mateusz Michałek , Nick Vannieuwenhoven

Monitoring means to observe a system for any changes which may occur over time, using a monitor or measuring device of some sort. In this paper we formulate a problem of monitoring dates of maximal risk of a financial position. Thus, the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-02-17 Erick Trevino Aguilar

Lately, concepts such as lockdown, quarantine, and social distancing have become very relevant since they have been associated with essential measures in the prevention and mitigation of COVID-19. While some conclusions about the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-04 Eric Rozan , Sebastian Bouzat , Marcelo N Kuperman

Federated data analytics is a framework for distributed data analysis where a server compiles noisy responses from a group of distributed low-bandwidth user devices to estimate aggregate statistics. Two major challenges in this framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Kamalika Chaudhuri , Chuan Guo , Mike Rabbat

This paper introduces a new approach for estimating core inflation indicators based on common factors across a broad range of price indices. Specifically, by utilizing procedures for detecting multiple regimes in high-dimensional factor…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-21 Gabriel Rodriguez-Rondon

A new method is presented, that can help a person become aware of his or her unconscious preferences, and convey them to others in the form of verbal explanation. The method combines the concepts of reflection, visualization, and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2010-09-28 Yoshiharu Maeno , Yukio Ohsawa

Combining measurements which have "theoretical uncertainties" is a delicate matter, due to an unclear statistical basis. We present an algorithm based on the notion that a theoretical uncertainty represents an estimate of bias.

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-08-05 F. C. Porter