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In classical density (or density-functional) estimation, it is standard to assume that the underlying distribution has a density with respect to the Lebesgue measure. However, when the data distribution is a mixture of continuous and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Aytijhya Saha , Aaditya Ramdas

Functional data that are nonnegative and have a constrained integral can be considered as samples of one-dimensional density functions. Such data are ubiquitous. Due to the inherent constraints, densities do not live in a vector space and,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Alexander Petersen , Hans-Georg Müller

Smooth Estimation of probability density and distribution functions from its sample is an attractive and an important problem that has applications in several fields such as, business, medicine, and environment. This article introduces a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-02 Elsayed A. H. Elamir

Reliable density estimation is fundamental for numerous applications in statistics and machine learning. In many practical scenarios, data are best modeled as mixtures of component densities that capture complex and multimodal patterns.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Mustafa Musab , Joseph K. Chege , Arie Yeredor , Martin Haardt

Future prediction is a fundamental principle of intelligence that helps plan actions and avoid possible dangers. As the future is uncertain to a large extent, modeling the uncertainty and multimodality of the future states is of great…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Osama Makansi , Eddy Ilg , Özgün Cicek , Thomas Brox

A new ensemble forecast algorithm, named as the physics-informed data-driven algorithm with conditional Gaussian statistics (PIDD-CG), is developed to predict the time evolution of the probability density functions (PDFs) of complex…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-04-20 Nan Chen , Di Qi

In this paper, a Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) model is studied when both low and high frequency variables are contaminated with measurement error. It is shown that the profile likelihood estimator becomes inconsistent in the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Sukhbir Kaur , Sukhbir Singh , Kanchan Jain , Pooja Soni

Functional mixed models are widely useful for regression analysis with dependent functional data, including longitudinal functional data with scalar predictors. However, existing algorithms for Bayesian inference with these models only…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Thomas Y. Sun , Daniel R. Kowal

Estimation and inference with modern longitudinal data from wearable devices, which consist of biological signals at high-frequency time points, is burdened by massive computational costs. We propose a distributed estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-13 Cole Manschot , Emily C. Hector

This paper addresses the density based multi-sensor cooperative fusion using random finite set (RFS) type multi-object densities (MODs). Existing fusion methods use scalar weights to characterize the relative information confidence among…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Wei Yi , Lei Chai

In the time of Big Data, training complex models on large-scale data sets is challenging, making it appealing to reduce data volume for saving computation resources by subsampling. Most previous works in subsampling are weighted methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Zifeng Wang , Hong Zhu , Zhenhua Dong , Xiuqiang He , Shao-Lun Huang

A number of fundamental quantities in statistical signal processing and information theory can be expressed as integral functions of two probability density functions. Such quantities are called density functionals as they map density…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-02-14 Alan Wisler , Visar Berisha , Andreas Spanias , Alfred O. Hero

Conditional density estimation (CDE) is a fundamental task in machine learning that aims to model the full conditional law $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y} \mid \mathbf{x})$, beyond mere point prediction (e.g., mean, mode). A core challenge is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Chenglong Song , Mazharul Islam , Lin Wang , Bing Chen , Bo Yang

This PhD Thesis presents an investigation into the analysis of financial returns using mixture models, focusing on mixtures of generalized normal distributions (MGND) and their extensions. The study addresses several critical issues…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-20 Pierdomenico Duttilo

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across various industries, where accurate extraction of complex periodic and trend components can significantly enhance prediction performance. However, existing models often struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Yulong Wang , Yushuo Liu , Xiaoyi Duan , Kai Wang

Distributed Lag Models (DLMs) and similar regression approaches such as MIDAS have been used for many decades in econometrics and more recently to investigate how poor air quality adversely affects human health. In this paper we describe…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-30 Daniel Dempsey , Jason Wyse

In this work, we study non-parametric estimation of joint probabilities of a given set of discrete and continuous random variables from their (empirically estimated) 2D marginals, under the assumption that the joint probability could be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 Shaan ul Haque , Ajit Rajwade , Karthik S. Gurumoorthy

Dynamic prediction, which typically refers to the prediction of future outcomes using historical records, is often of interest in biomedical research. For datasets with large sample sizes, high measurement density, and complex correlation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-04 Ying Jin , Andrew Leroux

Probabilistic inference in graphical models is the task of computing marginal and conditional densities of interest from a factorized representation of a joint probability distribution. Inference algorithms such as variable elimination and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-20 Ilya Shpitser , Thomas S. Richardson , James M. Robins

In the big data era, integrating diverse data modalities poses significant challenges, particularly in complex fields like healthcare. This paper introduces a new process model for multimodal Data Fusion for Data Mining, integrating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-04 David Restrepo , Chenwei Wu , Constanza Vásquez-Venegas , Luis Filipe Nakayama , Leo Anthony Celi , Diego M López