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High-precision measurements require optimal setups and analysis tools to achieve continuous improvements. Systematic corrections need to be modeled with high accuracy and known uncertainty to reconstruct underlying physical phenomena. To…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-31 Max Lamparth , Mattis Bestehorn , Bastian Märkisch

Bioprocesses are central to modern biotechnology, enabling sustainable production in pharmaceuticals, specialty chemicals, cosmetics, and food. However, developing high-performing processes is costly and complex, requiring iterative,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-18 Adrian Martens , Mathias Neufang , Alessandro Butté , Moritz von Stosch , Antonio del Rio Chanona , Laura Marie Helleckes

Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) provides a rigorous framework for decision-making tasks in which data acquisition is often the critical bottleneck, especially in resource-constrained settings. Traditionally, BOED typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Di Wu , Ling Liang , Haizhao Yang

It is commonly believed that Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithms are highly efficient for optimizing numerically costly functions. However, BO is not often compared to widely different alternatives, and is mostly tested on narrow sets of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Rodolphe Le Riche , Victor Picheny

Bayesian optimisation (BO) algorithms have shown remarkable success in applications involving expensive black-box functions. Traditionally BO has been set as a sequential decision-making process which estimates the utility of query points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Rafael Oliveira , Louis Tiao , Fabio Ramos

I describe a framework for adaptive scientific exploration based on iterating an Observation--Inference--Design cycle that allows adjustment of hypotheses and observing protocols in response to the results of observation on-the-fly, as data…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Thomas J. Loredo

Stochastic process models are now commonly used to analyse complex biological, ecological and industrial systems. Increasingly there is a need to deliver accurate estimates of model parameters and assess model fit by optimizing the timing…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-18 Colin S. Gillespie , Richard J. Boys

In many science and industry settings, a central challenge is designing experiments under time and budget constraints. Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) is a paradigm to pick maximally informative designs that has been widely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-02 Roubing Tang , Sabina J. Sloman , Samuel Kaski

Computer experiments can emulate the physical systems, help computational investigations, and yield analytic solutions. They have been widely employed with many engineering applications (e.g., aerospace, automotive, energy systems.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Yan Wang , Meng Wang , Areej AlBahar , Xiaowei Yue

In many high-throughput experimental design settings, such as those common in biochemical engineering, batched queries are more cost effective than one-by-one sequential queries. Furthermore, it is often not possible to directly choose…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-18 Kevin K. Yang , Yuxin Chen , Alycia Lee , Yisong Yue

Bayesian Optimization aims at optimizing an unknown non-convex/concave function that is costly to evaluate. We are interested in application scenarios where concurrent function evaluations are possible. Under such a setting, BO could choose…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Javad Azimi , Ali Jalali , Xiaoli Fern

Platform trials evaluate multiple experimental treatments against a common control group (and/or against each other), which often reduces the trial duration and sample size. Bayesian platform designs offer several practical advantages,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Luke Hagar , Lara Maleyeff , Shirin Golchi , Dick Menzies

We introduce a gradient-free framework for Bayesian Optimal Experimental Design (BOED) in sequential settings, aimed at complex systems where gradient information is unavailable. Our method combines Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-22 Robert Gruhlke , Matei Hanu , Claudia Schillings , Philipp Wacker

We develop a computational approach that significantly improves the efficiency of Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED) using local radial basis functions (RBFs). The presented RBF--BOED method uses the intrinsic ability of RBFs to…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-20 Tianyi Chu , Jonathan B. Estrada , Spencer H. Bryngelson

We develop a set of algorithms to solve a broad class of Design of Experiment (DoE) problems efficiently. Specifically, we consider problems in which one must choose a subset of polymers to test in experiments such that the learning of the…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-06 Swagatam Mukhopadhyay

Structural reliability analysis is concerned with estimation of the probability of a critical event taking place, described by $P(g(\textbf{X}) \leq 0)$ for some $n$-dimensional random variable $\textbf{X}$ and some real-valued function…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-13 Christian Agrell , Kristina Rognlien Dahl

We formalize the problem of contextual optimization through the lens of Bayesian experimental design and propose CO-BED -- a general, model-agnostic framework for designing contextual experiments using information-theoretic principles.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-20 Desi R. Ivanova , Joel Jennings , Tom Rainforth , Cheng Zhang , Adam Foster

Traditional accelerated life test plans are typically based on optimizing the C-optimality for minimizing the variance of an interested quantile of the lifetime distribution. The traditional methods rely on some specified planning values…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-04 Lu Lu , I-Chen Lee , Yili Hong

Computer experiments with both qualitative and quantitative factors are widely used in many applications. Motivated by the emerging need of optimal configuration in the high-performance computing (HPC) system, this work proposes a…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-01-08 Xia Cai , Li Xu , C. Devon Lin , Yili Hong , Xinwei Deng

Machine learning applications in materials science are often hampered by shortage of experimental data. Integration with legacy data from past experiments is a viable way to solve the problem, but complex calibration is often necessary to…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-06-16 Xiaolin Sun , Zhufeng Hou , Masato Sumita , Shinsuke Ishihara , Ryo Tamura , Koji Tsuda