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Traditional linear methods for forecasting multivariate time series are not able to satisfactorily model the non-linear dependencies that may exist in non-Gaussian series. We build on the theory of learning vector-valued functions in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-28 Magda Gregorová , Alexandros Kalousis , Stéphane Marchand-Maillet

We study the problem of learning the Markov order in categorical sequences that represent paths in a network, i.e. sequences of variable lengths where transitions between states are constrained to a known graph. Such data pose challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-07 Luka V. Petrović , Ingo Scholtes

Nonlinear causal discovery from observational data imposes strict identifiability assumptions on the formulation of structural equations utilized in the data generating process. The evaluation of structure learning methods under assumption…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Georg Velev , Stefan Lessmann

The problem of inferring pair-wise and higher-order interactions in complex systems involving large numbers of interacting variables, from observational data, is fundamental to many fields. Known to the statistical physics community as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-01 Sjoerd Viktor Beentjes , Ava Khamseh

We consider three extensions of the standard 2D Ising model with Glauber dynamics on a finite torus at low temperature. The first model is an anisotropic version, where the interaction energy takes different values on vertical and on…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Kaveh Bashiri

There have been two separate lines of work on estimating Ising models: (1) estimating them from multiple independent samples under minimal assumptions about the model's interaction matrix; and (2) estimating them from one sample in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-11 Yuval Dagan , Constantinos Daskalakis , Nishanth Dikkala , Anthimos Vardis Kandiros

We consider the stabilization of Vlasov--Poisson plasma dynamics, a central control problem in nuclear fusion. Our focus is the gap between what an ideal controller would use and what experiments can actually observe: while optimal policy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Xiaofan Xia , Qin Li , Wenlong Mou

Statistical learning relies upon data sampled from a distribution, and we usually do not care what actually generated it in the first place. From the point of view of causal modeling, the structure of each distribution is induced by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Giambattista Parascandolo , Niki Kilbertus , Mateo Rojas-Carulla , Bernhard Schölkopf

Markov chains are simple yet powerful mathematical structures to model temporally dependent processes. They generally assume stationary data, i.e., fixed transition probabilities between observations/states. However, live, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-27 Kutalmış Coşkun , Borahan Tümer , Bjarne C. Hiller , Martin Becker

As powerful as machine learning (ML) techniques are in solving problems involving data with large dimensionality, explaining the results from the fitted parameters remains a challenging task of utmost importance, especially in physics…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-04-15 Roberto C. Alamino

The focus is on the statistical analysis of matrix-valued time series, where data is collected over a network of sensors, typically at spatial locations, over time. Each sensor records a vector of features at each time point, creating a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yiye Jiang , Jérémie Bigot , Sofian Maabout

We study the ferromagnetic random field Ising model (RFIM) on a graph $G=(V,E)$ having maximal degree $\Delta$, where the external field at each vertex is an i.i.d. random variable. When the random field distribution is sufficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Yi Han

We develop an algorithm for automatic differentiation of Metropolis-Hastings samplers, allowing us to differentiate through probabilistic inference, even if the model has discrete components within it. Our approach fuses recent advances in…

Causal discovery in time series is a rapidly evolving field with a wide variety of applications in other areas such as climate science and neuroscience. Traditional approaches assume a stationary causal graph, which can be adapted to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-26 Carles Balsells-Rodas , Yixin Wang , Pedro A. M. Mediano , Yingzhen Li

This paper studies distributed adaptive estimation over sensor networks with partially unknown source dynamics. We present parallel continuous-time and discrete-time designs in which each node runs a local adaptive observer and exchanges…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-18 Moh Kamalul Wafi , Hamidreza Montazeri Hedesh , Milad Siami

The short-time dynamic evolution of an Ising model embedded in an infinitely ramified fractal structure with noninteger Hausdorff dimension was studied using Monte Carlo simulations. Completely ordered and disordered spin configurations…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-11 M. A. Bab , G. Fabricius , E. V. Albano

We train a set of Restricted Boltzmann Machines (RBMs) on one- and two-dimensional Ising spin configurations at various values of temperature, generated using Monte Carlo simulations. We validate the training procedure by monitoring several…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-08-14 Guido Cossu , Luigi Del Debbio , Tommaso Giani , Ava Khamseh , Michael Wilson

Herein we suggest a mobile robot-training algorithm that is based on the preference approximation of the decision taker who controls the robot, which in its turn is managed by the Markov chain. Setup of the model parameters is made on the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-09-07 Valery Vilisov

Imitation learning, which learns agent policy by mimicking expert demonstration, has shown promising results in many applications such as medical treatment regimes and self-driving vehicles. However, it remains a difficult task to interpret…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-31 Tianxiang Zhao , Wenchao Yu , Suhang Wang , Lu Wang , Xiang Zhang , Yuncong Chen , Yanchi Liu , Wei Cheng , Haifeng Chen

We present an approach to modifying Transformer architectures by integrating graph-aware relational reasoning into the attention mechanism, merging concepts from graph neural networks and language modeling. Building on the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-06 Markus J. Buehler
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