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This paper presents a data-driven method for producing annual continuous dynamic rating of power transformers to serve the long-term planning purpose. Historically, research works on dynamic rating have been focused on real-time/near-future…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Ming Dong

In this paper, we compare the effectiveness of a two-stage control strategy for the energy management system (EMS) of a grid-connected microgrid under uncertain solar irradiance and load demand using a real-world dataset from an island in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-01 Subrat Prasad Panda , Blaise Genest , Arvind Easwaran , Rémy Rigo-Mariani , PengFeng Lin

The scheduling and operation of power system becomes prominently complex and uncertain, especially with the penetration of distributed power. Load forecasting matters to the effective operation of power system. This paper proposes a novel…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-05-10 Tinghui Ouyang , Yusen He , Huajin Li , Zhiyu Sun , Stephen Baek

Timely assessment of current conditions is essential especially for small, open economies such as Singapore, where external shocks transmit rapidly to domestic activity. We develop a real-time nowcasting framework for quarterly GDP growth…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-03 Luca Attolico

Forecasting load in power transmission networks is essential across various hierarchical levels, from the system level down to individual points of delivery (PoD). While intuitive and locally accurate, traditional local forecasting models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Amirhossein Ahmadi , Hamidreza Zareipour , Henry Leung

Currently the UK Electric market is guided by load (demand) forecasts published every thirty minutes by the regulator. A key factor in predicting demand is weather conditions, with forecasts published every hour. We present HYENA: a hybrid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Maria Eleni Athanasopoulou , Justina Deveikyte , Alan Mosca , Ilaria Peri , Alessandro Provetti

Accurate forecasting of the electrical load, such as the magnitude and the timing of peak power, is crucial to successful power system management and implementation of smart grid strategies like demand response and peak shaving. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Dafang Zhao , Xihao Piao , Zheng Chen , Zhengmao Li , Ittetsu Taniguchi

Ensuring the frequency stability of electric grids with increasing renewable resources is a key problem in power system operations. In recent years, a number of advanced controllers have been designed to optimize frequency control. These…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-23 Wenqi Cui , Guanya Shi , Yuanyuan Shi , Baosen Zhang

Scheduling a residential building short-term to optimize the electricity bill can be difficult with the inclusion of capacity-based grid tariffs. Scheduling the building based on a proposed measured-peak (MP) grid tariff, which is a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-25 Kasper Emil Thorvaldsen , Sigurd Bjarghov , Hossein Farahmand

Space-Time Projection (STP) is introduced as a data-driven forecasting approach for high-dimensional and time-resolved data. The method computes extended space-time proper orthogonal modes from training data spanning a prediction horizon…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Oliver T. Schmidt

Adaptive time series forecasting is essential for prediction under regime changes. Several classical methods assume linear Gaussian state space model (LGSSM) with variances constant in time. However, there are many real-world processes that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-23 Baptiste Abélès , Joseph de Vilmarest , Olivier Wintemberger

Electric vehicles can offer a low carbon emission solution to reverse rising emission trends. However, this requires that the energy used to meet the demand is green. To meet this requirement, accurate forecasting of the charging demand is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 Frederik Boe Hüttel , Inon Peled , Filipe Rodrigues , Francisco C. Pereira

The accuracy of the household electricity consumption forecast is vital in taking better cost effective and energy efficient decisions. In order to design accurate, proper and efficient forecasting model, characteristics of the series have…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-20 T. O. Benli

Accurate forecasting is one of the fundamental focus in the literature of econometric time-series. Often practitioners and policy makers want to predict outcomes of an entire time horizon in the future instead of just a single $k$-step…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-04 Sayar Karmakar , Marek Chudy , Wei Biao Wu

This study presents the development and optimization of a deep learning model based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks to predict short-term hourly electricity demand in C\'ordoba, Argentina. Integrating historical consumption data…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-25 Oscar A. Oviedo

This paper presents an online energy management system for an energy hub where electric vehicles are charged combining on-site photovoltaic generation and battery energy storage with the power grid, with the objective to decide on the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-01 Diego Fernández-Zapico , Theo Hofman , Mauro Salazar

The precise forecasting of electricity demand also referred to as load forecasting, is essential for both planning and managing a power system. It is crucial for many tasks, including choosing which power units to commit to, making plans…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Kazi Fuad Bin Akhter , Sadia Mobasshira , Saief Nowaz Haque , Mahjub Alam Khan Hesham , Tanvir Ahmed

The strong growth of renewable energy sources and the high volatility in power generation of these sources, as well as the increasing amount of volatile energy consumption is leading to major challenges in the electrical grid. In order to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-28 Katharina Brauns , Christoph Scholz , Andre Baier , Dominik Jost

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

Spatial-temporal forecasting plays an important role in many real-world applications, such as traffic forecasting, air pollutant forecasting, crowd-flow forecasting, and so on. State-of-the-art spatial-temporal forecasting models take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Xinyu Su , Jianzhong Qi , Egemen Tanin , Yanchuan Chang , Majid Sarvi