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Due to spurious correlations, machine learning systems often fail to generalize to environments whose distributions differ from the ones used at training time. Prior work addressing this, either explicitly or implicitly, attempted to find a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Chaochao Lu , Yuhuai Wu , Jośe Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Bernhard Schölkopf

Often machine learning and statistical models will attempt to describe the majority of the data. However, there may be situations where only a fraction of the data can be fit well by a linear regression model. Here, we are interested in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Brendan Juba , Leda Liang

We consider the problem of mixed linear regression (MLR), where each observed sample belongs to one of $K$ unknown linear models. In practical applications, the proportions of the $K$ components are often imbalanced. Unfortunately, most MLR…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-31 Pini Zilber , Boaz Nadler

The parameters of a linear compartment model are usually estimated from experimental input-output data. A problem arises when infinitely many parameter values can yield the same result; such a model is called unidentifiable. In this case,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-03-08 Jasmijn A. Baaijens , Jan Draisma

Nonresponse is present in almost all surveys and can severely bias estimates. It is usually distinguished between unit and item nonresponse: in the former, we completely fail to have information from a unit selected in the sample, while in…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-25 Alina Matei , M. Giovanna Ranalli

Model diagnostics and forecast evaluation are two sides of the same coin. A common principle is that fitted or predicted distributions ought to be calibrated or reliable, ideally in the sense of auto-calibration, where the outcome is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Tilmann Gneiting , Johannes Resin

Linear regression is perhaps one of the most popular statistical concepts, which permeates almost every scientific field of study. Due to the technical simplicity and wide applicability of linear regression, attention is almost always…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Yu-Lin Chou

This paper studies the high-dimensional mixed linear regression (MLR) where the output variable comes from one of the two linear regression models with an unknown mixing proportion and an unknown covariance structure of the random…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-10 Linjun Zhang , Rong Ma , T. Tony Cai , Hongzhe Li

Distributed learning facilitates the scaling-up of data processing by distributing the computational burden over several nodes. Despite the vast interest in distributed learning, generalization performance of such approaches is not well…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-05 Martin Hellkvist , Ayça Özçelikkale , Anders Ahlén

We prove the weak consistency of the posterior distribution and that of the Bayes estimator for a two-phase piecewise linear regression mdoel where the break-point is unknown. The non-differentiability of the likelihood of the model with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-22 Tristan Launay , Anne Philippe , Sophie Lamarche

We provide identification results for a broad class of learning models in which continuous outcomes depend on three types of unobservables: known heterogeneity, initially unknown heterogeneity that may be revealed over time, and transitory…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-25 Jackson Bunting , Paul Diegert , Arnaud Maurel

By taking into account the nonlinear effect of the cause, the inner noise effect, and the measurement distortion effect in the observed variables, the post-nonlinear (PNL) causal model has demonstrated its excellent performance in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-05-14 Kun Zhang , Aapo Hyvarinen

In this paper, we introduce a new identifiability criteria for linear structural equation models, which we call regression identifiability. We provide necessary and sufficient graphical conditions for a directed edge to be regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-27 Bohao Yao , Robin J. Evans

We consider the problem of estimating how well a model class is capable of fitting a distribution of labeled data. We show that it is often possible to accurately estimate this "learnability" even when given an amount of data that is too…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Weihao Kong , Gregory Valiant

Partial label learning (PLL) is a typical weakly supervised learning problem in which each instance is associated with a candidate label set, and among which only one is true. However, the assumption that the ground-truth label is always…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Yu Shi , Ning Xu , Hua Yuan , Xin Geng

We propose a semiparametric model for dyadic link formations in directed networks. The model contains a set of degree parameters that measure different effects of popularity or outgoingness across nodes, a regression parameter vector that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Lianqiang Qu , Lu Chen , Ting Yan , Yuguo Chen

The predominant way of modelling mortality rates is the Lee-Carter model and its many extensions. The Lee-Carter model and its many extensions use a latent process to forecast. These models are estimated using a two-step procedure that…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-14 Eric Beutner , Simon Reese , Jean-Pierre Urbain

We study the problem of unsupervised representation learning in slightly misspecified settings, and thus formalize the study of robustness of nonlinear representation learning. We focus on the case where the mixing is close to a local…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-20 Simon Buchholz , Bernhard Schölkopf

We propose an approach to estimate the effect of multiple simultaneous interventions in the presence of hidden confounders. To overcome the problem of hidden confounding, we consider the setting where we have access to not only the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-17 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Ricardo Silva

Inferring the effect of interventions within complex systems is a fundamental problem of statistics. A widely studied approach employs structural causal models that postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 David Strieder , Mathias Drton
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