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This paper introduces a novel approach for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects of binary treatment in panel data, particularly focusing on short panel data with large cross-sectional data and observed confoundings. In contrast to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-05 Meijia Wang , Ignacio Martinez , P. Richard Hahn

Effect size estimates are thought to capture the collective, two-way response to an intervention or exposure in a three-way problem among the intervention/exposure, various confounders and the outcome. For meaningful causal inference from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-08 Orestis Loukas , Ho Ryun Chung

I study peer effects that arise from irreversible decisions in the absence of a standard social equilibrium. I model a latent sequence of decisions in continuous time and obtain a closed-form expression for the likelihood, which allows to…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-18 Vincent Starck

The paper proposes an estimator to make inference of heterogeneous treatment effects sorted by impact groups (GATES) for non-randomised experiments. The groups can be understood as a broader aggregation of the conditional average treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-03-30 Daniel Jacob

Understanding treatment effect heterogeneity is vital for scientific and policy research. However, identifying and evaluating heterogeneous treatment effects pose significant challenges due to the typically unknown subgroup structure.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Kwangho Kim , Jisu Kim , Larry A. Wasserman , Edward H. Kennedy

The selection of the assumed effect size (AES) critically determines the duration of an experiment, and hence its accuracy and efficiency. Traditionally, experimenters determine AES based on domain knowledge. However, this method becomes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Yu Liu , Runzhe Wan , James McQueen , Doug Hains , Jinxiang Gu , Rui Song

Ratings of teachers' instructional practices using standardized classroom observation instruments are increasingly being used for both research and teacher accountability. There are multiple instruments in use, each attempting to evaluate…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-18 J. R. Lockwood , Terrance D. Savitsky , Daniel F. McCaffrey

Peer grading systems aggregate noisy reports from multiple students to approximate a true grade as closely as possible. Most current systems either take the mean or median of reported grades; others aim to estimate students' grading…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-05 Hedayat Zarkoob , Greg d'Eon , Lena Podina , Kevin Leyton-Brown

We study an abstract framework for interactive learning called interactive estimation in which the goal is to estimate a target from its "similarity'' to points queried by the learner. We introduce a combinatorial measure called…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Nataly Brukhim , Miroslav Dudik , Aldo Pacchiano , Robert Schapire

To answer the call of introducing more Bayesian techniques to organizational research (e.g., Kruschke, Aguinis, & Joo, 2012; Zyphur & Oswald, 2013), we propose a Bayesian approach for meta-analysis with power prior in this article. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-30 Zhiyong Zhang , Kaifeng Jiang , Haiyan Liu , In-Sue Oh

In this paper, we analyse how learning is measured and optimized in Educational Recommender Systems (ERS). In particular, we examine the target metrics and evaluation methods used in the existing ERS research, with a particular focus on the…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Nursultan Askarbekuly , Ivan Luković

This paper introduces an innovative Bayesian machine learning algorithm to draw interpretable inference on heterogeneous causal effects in the presence of imperfect compliance (e.g., under an irregular assignment mechanism). We show,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-02 Falco J. Bargagli-Stoffi , Kristof De-Witte , Giorgio Gnecco

With limited resources, scientific inquiries must be prioritized for further study, funding, and translation based on their practical significance: whether the effect size is large enough to be meaningful in the real world. Doing so must…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-27 Bruce A. Corliss , Yaotian Wang , Heman Shakeri , Philip E. Bourne

Evaluating the effects of time-varying exposures is essential for longitudinal studies. The effect estimation becomes increasingly challenging when dealing with hundreds of time-dependent confounders. We propose a Marginal Structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Zhiwei Zhao , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

When the individual studies assembled for a meta-analysis report means ($\mu_C$, $\mu_T$) for their treatment (T) and control (C) arms, but those data are on different scales or come from different instruments, the customary measure of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-18 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin

Linear mixed models are widely used for analyzing hierarchically structured data involving missingness and unbalanced study designs. We consider a Bayesian clustering method that combines linear mixed models and predictive projections. For…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Yinan Mao , David J. Nott

One of the most challenging tasks when adopting Bayesian Networks (BNs) is the one of learning their structure from data. This task is complicated by the huge search space of possible solutions, and by the fact that the problem is NP-hard.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-07 Stefano Beretta , Mauro Castelli , Ivo Goncalves , Roberto Henriques , Daniele Ramazzotti

Bayesian optimization has attracted huge attention from diverse research areas in science and engineering, since it is capable of efficiently finding a global optimum of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box function. In general, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Jungtaek Kim

Testing differences between a treatment and control group is common practice in biomedical research like randomized controlled trials (RCT). The standard two-sample t-test relies on null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) via p-values,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-18 Riko Kelter

Quantifying the heterogeneity is an important issue in meta-analysis, and among the existing measures, the $I^2$ statistic is most commonly used. In this paper, we first illustrate with a simple example that the $I^2$ statistic is heavily…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-10 Ke Yang , Enxuan Lin , Wangli Xu , Liping Zhu , Tiejun Tong
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