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Financial markets, being spectacular examples of complex systems, display rich correlation structures among price returns of different assets. The correlation structures change drastically, akin to phase transitions in physical phenomena,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-23 Anirban Chakraborti , Hrishidev , Kiran Sharma , Hirdesh K. Pharasi

In this paper, we consider estimating spot/instantaneous volatility matrices of high-frequency data collected for a large number of assets. We first combine classic nonparametric kernel-based smoothing with a generalised shrinkage technique…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Ruijun Bu , Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Hanchao Wang

Multivariate Distributions are needed to capture the correlation structure of complex systems. In previous works, we developed a Random Matrix Model for such correlated multivariate joint probability density functions that accounts for the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Anton J. Heckens , Efstratios Manolakis , Cedric Schuhmann , Thomas Guhr

Free probability and random matrix theory has shown to be a fruitful combination in many fields of research, such as digital communications, nuclear physics and mathematical finance. The link between free probability and eigenvalue…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Øyvind Ryan , Mérouane Debbah

Motivated by the importance ascribed to correlations in random matrices used to model phenomena in various scientific disciplines, we report how algebraic correlations between matrix elements affect the eigenvalue statistics and spectral…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-27 Abbas Ali Saberi , Roderich Moessner

High-frequency data observed on the prices of financial assets are commonly modeled by diffusion processes with micro-structure noise, and realized volatility-based methods are often used to estimate integrated volatility. For problems…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-02-26 Yazhen Wang , Jian Zou

The dynamics of the equal-time cross-correlation matrix of multivariate financial time series is explored by examination of the eigenvalue spectrum over sliding time windows. Empirical results for the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones Euro Stoxx 50…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-02 Thomas Conlon , Heather J. Ruskin , Martin Crane

We introduce a covariance matrix estimator that both takes into account the heteroskedasticity of financial returns (by using an exponentially weighted moving average) and reduces the effective dimensionality of the estimation (and hence…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Szilard Pafka , Marc Potters , Imre Kondor

Correlation matrices inferred from stock return time series contain information on the behaviour of the market, especially on clusters of highly correlating stocks. Here we study a subset of New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) traded stocks and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Tapio Heimo , Jari Saramaki , Jukka-Pekka Onnela , Kimmo Kaski

For a large class of quantum systems the statistical properties of their spectrum show remarkable agreement with random matrix predictions. Recent advances show that the scope of random matrix theory is much wider. In this work, we show…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 M. S. Santhanam , Prabir K. Patra

Risk assessment for rare events is essential for understanding systemic stability in complex systems. As rare events are typically highly correlated, it is important to study heavy-tailed multivariate distributions of the relevant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-02 Efstratios Manolakis , Anton J. Heckens , Benjamin Köhler , Thomas Guhr

In this work, we study a class of random matrices which interpolate between the Wigner matrix model and various types of patterned random matrices such as random Toeplitz, Hankel, and circulant matrices. The interpolation mechanism is…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Frederick Rajasekaran

This paper summarizes some work I've been doing on eigenvalue correlators of Random Matrix Models which show some interesting behaviour. First we consider matrix models with gaps in there spectrum or density of eigenvalues. The…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 N. Deo

The basis of arbitrage methods depends on the circulation of information within the framework of the financial market. Following the work of Modigliani and Miller, it has become a vital part of discussions related to the study of financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-12 Kiran Sharma , Abhijit Dutta , Rupak Mukherjee

Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns is crucial to portfolio construction. As suggested by economic theories, the correlation structure among assets differs between emerging markets and developed countries. It is therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Xin Chen , Dan Yang , Yan Xu , Yin Xia , Dong Wang , Haipeng Shen

We propose a novel approach that allows to calculate Hilbert transform based complex correlation for unevenly spaced data. This method is especially suitable for high frequency trading data, which are of a particular interest in finance.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-14 Mateusz Wilinski , Yuichi Ikeda , Hideaki Aoyama

The non-fungible token (NFT) market emerges as a recent trading innovation leveraging blockchain technology, mirroring the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market. The current study is based on the capitalization changes and transaction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-09 Marcin Wątorek , Paweł Szydło , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

Through simple analytical calculations and numerical simulations, we demonstrate the generic existence of a self-organized macroscopic state in any large multivariate system possessing non-vanishing average correlations between a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-24 Y. Malevergne , D. Sornette

We develop a new stock market index that captures the chaos existing in the market by measuring the mutual changes of asset prices. This new index relies on a tensor-based embedding of the stock market information, which in turn frees it…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-09 Masoud Ataei , Shengyuan Chen , Zijiang Yang , M. Reza Peyghami

We discuss some methods to quantitatively investigate the properties of correlation matrices. Correlation matrices play an important role in portfolio optimization and in several other quantitative descriptions of asset price dynamics in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-25 M. Tumminello , F. Lillo , R. N. Mantegna