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Missing data in time series is a challenging issue affecting time series analysis. Missing data occurs due to problems like data drops or sensor malfunctioning. Imputation methods are used to fill in these values, with quality of imputation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Karan Aggarwal , Jaideep Srivastava

We present a self-supervised, time-to-event (TTE) foundation model called MOTOR (Many Outcome Time Oriented Representations) which is pretrained on timestamped sequences of events in electronic health records (EHR) and health insurance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Ethan Steinberg , Jason Fries , Yizhe Xu , Nigam Shah

Generative models for sequential data often struggle with sparsely sampled and high-dimensional trajectories, typically reducing the learning of dynamics to pairwise transitions. We propose Interpolative Multi-Marginal Flow Matching…

Unsupervised fault detection in multivariate time series plays a vital role in ensuring the stable operation of complex systems. Traditional methods often assume that normal data follow a single Gaussian distribution and identify anomalies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Hong Liu , Xiuxiu Qiu , Yiming Shi , Miao Xu , Zelin Zang , Zhen Lei

Irregular multivariate time series (IMTS) is characterized by the lack of synchronized observations across its different channels. In this paper, we point out that this channel-wise asynchrony can lead to poor channel-wise modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Shuhan Zhong , Weipeng Zhuo , Sizhe Song , Guanyao Li , Zhongyi Yu , S. -H. Gary Chan

In many machine learning applications, we are faced with incomplete datasets. In the literature, missing data imputation techniques have been mostly concerned with filling missing values. However, the existence of missing values is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Mohammad Kachuee , Kimmo Karkkainen , Orpaz Goldstein , Sajad Darabi , Majid Sarrafzadeh

We develop an estimation methodology for a factor model for high-dimensional matrix-valued time series, where common stochastic trends and common stationary factors can be present. We study, in particular, the estimation of (row and column)…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-06 Rong Chen , Simone Giannerini , Greta Goracci , Lorenzo Trapani

In-context learning (ICL) enables task adaptation at inference time by conditioning on demonstrations rather than updating model parameters. Although recent time-series foundation models incorporate contextual conditioning, retrieval, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Anish Saha , Konstantin Shmakov

Motivated by applications in movement ecology, in this paper I propose a new class of integrated continuous-time hidden Markov models in which each observation depends on the underlying state of the process over the whole interval since the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Paul G Blackwell

Multivariate time series (MTS) data are becoming increasingly ubiquitous in diverse domains, e.g., IoT systems, health informatics, and 5G networks. To obtain an effective representation of MTS data, it is not only essential to consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Yang Jiao , Kai Yang , Shaoyu Dou , Pan Luo , Sijia Liu , Dongjin Song

Sparsity is a common issue in many trajectory datasets, including human mobility data. This issue frequently brings more difficulty to relevant learning tasks, such as trajectory imputation and prediction. Nowadays, little existing work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Kyle K. Qin , Yongli Ren , Wei Shao , Brennan Lake , Filippo Privitera , Flora D. Salim

Spatiotemporal data mining plays an important role in air quality monitoring, crowd flow modeling, and climate forecasting. However, the originally collected spatiotemporal data in real-world scenarios is usually incomplete due to sensor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Mingzhe Liu , Han Huang , Hao Feng , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Yanjie Fu

While existing time series foundation models primarily rely on large-scale unimodal pretraining, they lack complementary modalities to enhance time series understanding. Building multimodal foundation models is a natural next step, but it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Peng Chen , Siyuan Wang , Shiyan Hu , Xingjian Wu , Yang Shu , Zhongwen Rao , Meng Wang , Yijie Li , Bin Yang , Chenjuan Guo

Motivated by the recent success of time-series foundation models for zero-shot forecasting, we present a methodology for $\textit{in-context fine-tuning}$ of a time-series foundation model. In particular, we design a pretrained foundation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Abhimanyu Das , Matthew Faw , Rajat Sen , Yichen Zhou

Time-series foundation models (TSFMs) have demonstrated strong generalization capabilities across diverse datasets and tasks. However, existing foundation models are typically pre-trained to enhance performance on specific tasks and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Shangqing Xu , Harshavardhan Kamarthi , Haoxin Liu , B. Aditya Prakash

High-dimensional recordings of dynamical processes are often characterized by a much smaller set of effective variables, evolving on low-dimensional manifolds. Identifying these latent dynamics requires solving two intertwined problems:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Manuel Hinz , Maximilian Mauel , Patrick Seifner , David Berghaus , Kostadin Cvejoski , Ramses J. Sanchez

Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events. Current neural network approaches to MTPP inference rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 David Berghaus , Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , César Ojeda , Ramsés J. Sánchez

MRI entails a great amount of cost, time and effort for the generation of all the modalities that are recommended for efficient diagnosis and treatment planning. Recent advancements in deep learning research show that generative models have…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-22 Jaya Chandra Raju , Kompella Subha Gayatri , Keerthi Ram , Rajeswaran Rangasami , Rajoo Ramachandran , Mohansankar Sivaprakasam

Neural time-series analysis has traditionally focused on modeling data in the time domain, often with some approaches incorporating equivalent Fourier domain representations as auxiliary spectral features. In this work, we shift the main…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Minjung Kim , Yusuke Hioka , Michael Witbrock

Autoregressive models (ARMs), which predict subsequent tokens one-by-one ``from left to right,'' have achieved significant success across a wide range of sequence generation tasks. However, they struggle to accurately represent sequences…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Dhruvesh Patel , Aishwarya Sahoo , Avinash Amballa , Tahira Naseem , Tim G. J. Rudner , Andrew McCallum