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This paper proposes a flexible framework for inferring large-scale time-varying and time-lagged correlation networks from multivariate or high-dimensional non-stationary time series with piecewise smooth trends. Built on a novel and unified…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Switching dynamical systems provide a powerful, interpretable modeling framework for inference in time-series data in, e.g., the natural sciences or engineering applications. Since many areas, such as biology or discrete-event systems, are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-30 Lukas Köhs , Bastian Alt , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper we derive a Probably Approxilmately Correct(PAC)-Bayesian error bound for linear time-invariant (LTI) stochastic dynamical systems with inputs. Such bounds are widespread in machine learning, and they are useful for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-30 Deividas Eringis , John Leth , Zheng-Hua Tan , Rafael Wisniewski , Mihaly Petreczky

Latent space models (LSMs) are often used to analyze dynamic (time-varying) networks that evolve in continuous time. Existing approaches to Bayesian inference for these models rely on Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms, which cannot handle…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Joshua Daniel Loyal

Many physical systems are inherently time-varying in nature. When these systems are linearized around a trajectory, generally, the resulting system is Linear Time-Varying (LTV). LTV systems describe an important class of linear systems and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-25 Shahzad Ahmed , Hafiz Zeeshan Iqbal Khan , Jamshed Riaz

In biological and engineering systems, structure, function and dynamics are highly coupled. Such interactions can be naturally and compactly captured via tensor based state space dynamic representations. However, such representations are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-30 Can Chen , Amit Surana , Anthony Bloch , Indika Rajapakse

We address the problem of inferring descriptions of system behavior using Linear Temporal Logic (LTL) from a finite set of positive and negative examples. Most of the existing approaches for solving such a task rely on predefined templates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-28 Jean-Raphaël Gaglione , Daniel Neider , Rajarshi Roy , Ufuk Topcu , Zhe Xu

We present a learning theory for the training of a linear system operator having an input compositional variable and propose a Bayesian inversion method for inferring the unknown variable from an output of a noisy linear system. We assume…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-03 Se Un Park

The irreversibility of trajectories in stochastic dynamical systems is linked to the structure of their causal representation in terms of Bayesian networks. We consider stochastic maps resulting from a time discretization with interval \tau…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-03-15 Andrea Auconi , Andrea Giansanti , Edda Klipp

In this note, a novel methodology that can extract a number of analysis results for linear time-invariant systems (LTI) given only a single trajectory of the considered system is proposed. The superiority of the proposed technique relies on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-22 Hassan Abdelraouf , Fahad Albalawi , Eric Feron

Modeling nonstationary processes is of paramount importance to many scientific disciplines including environmental science, ecology, and finance, among others. Consequently, flexible methodology that provides accurate estimation across a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-13 Wen-Hsi Yang , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

This paper deals with the problem of finding a low-complexity estimate of the impulse response of a linear time-invariant discrete-time dynamic system from noise-corrupted input-output data. To this purpose, we introduce an identification…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-23 Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Carlo Novara , Michele Taragna

Based on the Fundamental Lemma by Willems et al., the entire behaviour of a Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) system can be characterised by a single data sequence of the system as long the input is persistently exciting. This is an essential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-02 Chris Verhoek , Roland Tóth , Sofie Haesaert , Anne Koch

We present a framework for learning of modeling uncertainties in Linear Time Invariant (LTI) systems. We propose a methodology to extend the dynamics of an LTI (without uncertainty) with an uncertainty model, based on measured data, to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-01 Farhad Ghanipoor , Carlos Murguia , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Nathan van de Wouw

We propose a pointwise inference algorithm for high-dimensional linear models with time-varying coefficients. The method is based on a novel combination of the nonparametric kernel smoothing technique and a Lasso bias-corrected ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Xiaohui Chen , Yifeng He

The vector space of all input-output trajectories of a discrete-time linear time-invariant (LTI) system is spanned by time-shifts of a single measured trajectory, given that the respective input signal is persistently exciting. This fact,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Julian Berberich , Frank Allgöwer

The impulse response of a flame to acoustic velocity perturbations is a key quantity for predicting thermoacoustic stability, but its identification from sparse, noisy observations requires solving an ill-posed inverse convolution problem.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-03-02 Matthew Yoko , Wolfgang Polifke

This paper considers the problem of linear time-invariant (LTI) system identification using input/output data. Recent work has provided non-asymptotic results on partially observed LTI system identification using a single trajectory but is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Yang Zheng , Na Li

Real-time nonlinear Bayesian filtering algorithms are overwhelmed by data volume, velocity and increasing complexity of computational models. In this paper, we propose a novel ensemble based nonlinear Bayesian filtering approach which only…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Gabriel Terejanu