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We consider the filtering of continuous-time finite-state hidden Markov models, where the rate and observation matrices depend on unknown time-dependent parameters, for which no prior or stochastic model is available. We quantify and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-03-17 Andrew L. Allan

This paper presents a new robust fault and state estimation based on recursive least square filter for linear stochastic systems with unknown disturbances. The novel elements of the algorithm are : a simple, easily implementable, square…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-06-20 Bessaoudi Talel , Ben Hmida Fayçal

In porous media physics, calibrating model parameters through experiments is a challenge. This process is plagued with errors that come from modelling, measurement and computation of the macroscopic observables through random homogenization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-02-06 F. Legoll , W. Minvielle , A. Obliger , M. Simon

Differential equations and numerical methods are extensively used to model various real-world phenomena in science and engineering. With modern developments, we aim to find the underlying differential equation from a single observation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Roy Y. He , Hao Liu , Wenjing Liao , Sung Ha Kang

This chapter considers the computational and statistical aspects of learning linear thresholds in presence of noise. When there is no noise, several algorithms exist that efficiently learn near-optimal linear thresholds using a small amount…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-16 Maria-Florina Balcan , Nika Haghtalab

We address the issue of how to identify the equations of a largely unknown chaotic system from knowledge about its state evolution. The technique can be applied to the estimation of parameters that drift slowly with time. To accomplish…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-09-17 Francesco Sorrentino , Edward Ott

Available methods for identification of stochastic dynamical systems from input-output data generally impose restricting structural assumptions on either the noise structure in the data-generating system or the possible state probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-02 Gerben I. Beintema , Maarten Schoukens , Roland Tóth

The ability to quantify stochastic fluctuations present in biochemical and other systems is becoming increasing important. Analytical descriptions of these fluctuations are attractive, as stochastic simulations are computationally…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-02-07 Joseph D. Challenger , Alan J. McKane , Jürgen Pahle

The identification of a nonlinear dynamic model is an open topic in control theory, especially from sparse input-output measurements. A fundamental challenge of this problem is that very few to zero prior knowledge is available on both the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-13 Steeven Janny , Quentin Possamai , Laurent Bako , Madiha Nadri , Christian Wolf

Variational quantum algorithms are tailored to perform within the constraints of current quantum devices, yet they are limited by performance-degrading errors. In this study, we consider a noise model that reflects realistic gate errors…

Clinical decision requires reasoning in the presence of imperfect data. DTs are a well-known decision support tool, owing to their interpretability, fundamental in safety-critical contexts such as medical diagnosis. However, learning DTs…

Reliable state estimation hinges on accurate specification of sensor noise covariances, which weigh heterogeneous measurements. In practice, these covariances are difficult to identify due to environmental variability, front-end…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Haoying Li , Yifan Peng , Xinghan Li , Junfeng Wu

We study the sample complexity of stochastic convex optimization when problem parameters, e.g., the distance to optimality, are unknown. We pursue two strategies. First, we develop a reliable model selection method that avoids overfitting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Jared Lawrence , Ari Kalinsky , Hannah Bradfield , Yair Carmon , Oliver Hinder

Inference on unknown quantities in dynamical systems via observational data is essential for providing meaningful insight, furnishing accurate predictions, enabling robust control, and establishing appropriate designs for future…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-06 M. Chung , M. Binois , R. B. Gramacy , D. J. Moquin , A. P. Smith , A. M. Smith

The modelling of small-scale processes is a major source of error in climate models, hindering the accuracy of low-cost models which must approximate such processes through parameterization. Red noise is essential to many operational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Raghul Parthipan , Hannah M. Christensen , J. Scott Hosking , Damon J. Wischik

An efficient policy search algorithm should estimate the local gradient of the objective function, with respect to the policy parameters, from as few trials as possible. Whereas most policy search methods estimate this gradient by observing…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Gregory Lawrence , Stuart Russell

New technologies for recording the activity of large neural populations during complex behavior provide exciting opportunities for investigating the neural computations that underlie perception, cognition, and decision-making. Nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-30 Yuan Zhao , Il Memming Park

In engineering design, one often wishes to calculate the probability that the performance of a system is satisfactory under uncertainty. State of the art algorithms exist to solve this problem using active learning with Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Jonathan Sadeghi , Romain Mueller , John Redford

In this study, we introduce a sensitivity analysis methodology for stochastic systems in chemistry, where dynamics are often governed by random processes. Our approach is based on gradient estimation via finite differences, averaging…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-12 Erika M. Herrera Machado , Jakob L. Andersen , Rolf Fagerberg , Daniel Merkle

Machine-learning technologies for learning dynamical systems from data play an important role in engineering design. This research focuses on learning continuous linear models from data. Stability, a key feature of dynamic systems, is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-25 Pawan Goyal , Igor Pontes Duff , Peter Benner