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This paper studies an online optimization problem with a finite prediction window of cost functions and additional switching costs on decisions. We propose two gradient-based online algorithms: Receding Horizon Gradient Descent (RHGD), and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Yingying Li , Guannan Qu , Na Li

Most bandit algorithm designs are purely theoretical. Therefore, they have strong regret guarantees, but also are often too conservative in practice. In this work, we pioneer the idea of algorithm design by minimizing the empirical Bayes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-12 Chih-Wei Hsu , Branislav Kveton , Ofer Meshi , Martin Mladenov , Csaba Szepesvari

Large language model (LLM) generation often requires balancing output quality against inference cost, especially when using multiple generations. We introduce a new framework for inference-time optimization based on the classical Pandora's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Yusuf Kalayci , Vinod Raman , Shaddin Dughmi

We consider the classical problems of estimating the mean of an $n$-dimensional normally (with identity covariance matrix) or Poisson distributed vector under the squared loss. In a Bayesian setting the optimal estimator is given by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Yury Polyanskiy , Yihong Wu

In several applications of automatic diagnosis and active learning a central problem is the evaluation of a discrete function by adaptively querying the values of its variables until the values read uniquely determine the value of the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Ferdinando Cicalese , Eduardo Laber , Aline Medeiros Saettler

Bayesian optimization (BO) based on Gaussian process models is a powerful paradigm to optimize black-box functions that are expensive to evaluate. While several BO algorithms provably converge to the global optimum of the unknown function,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-03 Felix Berkenkamp , Angela P. Schoellig , Andreas Krause

We develop a new framework for designing online policies given access to an oracle providing statistical information about an offline benchmark. Having access to such prediction oracles enables simple and natural Bayesian selection…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-02-28 Alberto Vera , Siddhartha Banerjee

This work introduces a novel blackbox optimization algorithm for computationally expensive constrained multi-fidelity problems. When applying a direct search method to such problems, the scarcity of feasible points may lead to numerous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Stéphane Alarie , Charles Audet , Miguel Diago , Sébastien Le Digabel , Xavier Lebeuf

We study algorithms for average-cost reinforcement learning problems with value function approximation. Our starting point is the recently proposed POLITEX algorithm, a version of policy iteration where the policy produced in each iteration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-29 Yasin Abbasi-Yadkori , Nevena Lazic , Csaba Szepesvari , Gellert Weisz

Regret is the cost of uncertainty in algorithmic decision-making. Quantifying regret typically requires computationally expensive simulation via Sample Average Approximation (SAA), with complexity $\mathcal{O}(Bn^{2}d^{3})$ in the number of…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-15 Irene Aldridge

Bayesian optimisation (BO) algorithms have shown remarkable success in applications involving expensive black-box functions. Traditionally BO has been set as a sequential decision-making process which estimates the utility of query points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Rafael Oliveira , Louis Tiao , Fabio Ramos

Bayesian optimization is an approach to optimizing objective functions that take a long time (minutes or hours) to evaluate. It is best-suited for optimization over continuous domains of less than 20 dimensions, and tolerates stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-10 Peter I. Frazier

In online marketing, the advertisers aim to balance achieving high volumes and high profitability. The companies' business units address this tradeoff by maximizing the volumes while guaranteeing a minimum Return On Investment (ROI) level.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Matteo Castiglioni , Alessandro Nuara , Giulia Romano , Giorgio Spadaro , Francesco Trovò , Nicola Gatti

This paper considers the use of a simple posterior sampling algorithm to balance between exploration and exploitation when learning to optimize actions such as in multi-armed bandit problems. The algorithm, also known as Thompson Sampling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-04 Daniel Russo , Benjamin Van Roy

This paper derives an optimal control strategy for a simple stochastic dynamical system with constant drift and an additive control input. Motivated by the example of a physical system with an unexpected change in its dynamics, we take the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-09 Daniel Gurevich , Debdipta Goswami , Charles L. Fefferman , Clarence W. Rowley

Policy design in non-stationary Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) is inherently challenging due to the complexities introduced by time-varying system transition and reward, which make it difficult for learners to determine the optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Ziyi Zhang , Yorie Nakahira , Guannan Qu

We study the problem of evaluating a discrete function by adaptively querying the values of its variables until the values read uniquely determine the value of the function. Reading the value of a variable is done at the expense of some…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Aline Saettler , Eduardo Laber , Ferdinando Cicalese

Bayesian optimization is a powerful optimization tool for problems where native first-order derivatives are unavailable. Recently, constrained Bayesian optimization (CBO) has been applied to many engineering applications where constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-21 J. Wang , C. G. Petra , J. L. Peterson

Smoothed online combinatorial optimization considers a learner who repeatedly chooses a combinatorial decision to minimize an unknown changing cost function with a penalty on switching decisions in consecutive rounds. We study smoothed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Kai Wang , Zhao Song , Georgios Theocharous , Sridhar Mahadevan

In sequential search, alternatives are tested until the true class is found. Standard proper scoring rules like log loss are local, ignoring the ranking of competitors and misaligning model evaluation with search utility. We show that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Gerardo A. Flores , Yash Deshpande , Jannis R. Brea , Ashia C. Wilson
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