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Related papers: Data Synchronization at High Frequencies

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Estimating time-varying correlation matrices is challenging because existing methods may adapt slowly to structural changes, impose insufficient regularization, or produce diffuse posterior uncertainty. In moderate dimensions, an additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Daniel Andrew Coulson , David S. Matteson , Martin T. Wells

In the field of quantitative trading, it is common practice to transform raw historical stock data into indicative signals for the market trend. Such signals are called alpha factors. Alphas in formula forms are more interpretable and thus…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-23 Shuo Yu , Hongyan Xue , Xiang Ao , Feiyang Pan , Jia He , Dandan Tu , Qing He

Deep Learning models have become dominant in tackling financial time-series analysis problems, overturning conventional machine learning and statistical methods. Most often, a model trained for one market or security cannot be directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Mostafa Shabani , Dat Thanh Tran , Juho Kanniainen , Alexandros Iosifidis

Robust optimization provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, with broad applications in finance, engineering, and operations research. In portfolio optimization, uncertainty in expected returns and covariances…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-15 Daniel Cunha Oliveira , Grover Guzman , Nick Firoozye

We examine the dynamics of informational efficiency in a market with asymmetrically informed, boundedly rational traders who adaptively learn optimal strategies using simple multiarmed bandit (MAB) algorithms. The strategies available to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-11-11 Aleksei Pastushkov

Time-varying volatility is an inherent feature of most economic time-series, which causes standard correlation estimators to be inconsistent. The quadrant correlation estimator is consistent but very inefficient. We propose a novel…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-11-01 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Yiyao Luo

This paper investigates a continuous-time portfolio optimization problem with the following features: (i) a no-short selling constraint; (ii) a leverage constraint, that is, an upper limit for the sum of portfolio weights; and (iii) a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-08 Masashi Ieda

We introduce a framework for the control of discrete-time switched stochastic systems with uncertain distributions. In particular, we consider stochastic dynamics with additive noise whose distribution lies in an ambiguity set of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-21 Ibon Gracia , Dimitris Boskos , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti , Manuel Mazo

Stock price forecasting is an important issue for investors since extreme accuracy in forecasting can bring about high profits. Fuzzy Time Series (FTS) and Longest Common/Repeated Sub-sequence (LCS/LRS) are two important issues for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-06-23 He-Wen Chen , Zih-Ci Wang , Shu-Yu Kuo , Yao-Hsin Chou

Stochastic clocks represent a class of time change methods for incorporating trading activity into continuous-time financial models, with the ability to deal with typical asymmetrical and tail risks in financial returns. In this paper we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-20 Zhe Fei , Weixuan Xia

The stock market, as a cornerstone of the financial markets, places forecasting stock price movements at the forefront of challenges in quantitative finance. Emerging learning-based approaches have made significant progress in capturing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Sida Lin , Yankai Chen , Yiyan Qi , Chenhao Ma , Bokai Cao , Yifei Zhang , Xue Liu , Jian Guo

Stochastic matching is the stochastic version of the well-known matching problem, which consists in maximizing the rewards of a matching under a set of probability distributions associated with the nodes and edges. In most stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-01 Yuya Hikima , Yasunori Akagi , Hideaki Kim

In this research, we introduce a novel methodology for the index tracking problem with sparse portfolios by leveraging topological data analysis (TDA). Utilizing persistence homology to measure the riskiness of assets, we introduce a…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Anubha Goel , Puneet Pasricha , Juho Kanniainen

Contemporary deep learning based solution methods used to compute approximate equilibria of high-dimensional dynamic stochastic economic models are often faced with two pain points. The first problem is that the loss function typically…

General Economics · Economics 2023-03-28 Marlon Azinovic , Jan Žemlička

We extend the classical mean-variance (MV) framework and propose a robust and sparse portfolio selection model incorporating an ellipsoidal uncertainty set to reduce the impact of estimation errors and fixed transaction costs to penalize…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-30 J. Chen , S. D. Ahipaşaoğlu , N. Zhang , Y. Yang

Deep Learning is evolving fast and integrates into various domains. Finance is a challenging field for deep learning, especially in the case of interpretable artificial intelligence (AI). Although classical approaches perform very well with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Kasymkhan Khubiev , Mikhail Semenov , Irina Podlipnova , Dinara Khubieva

The integrity and precision of nuclear data are crucial for a broad spectrum of applications, from national security and nuclear reactor design to medical diagnostics, where the associated uncertainties can significantly impact outcomes. A…

We investigate the emergence of synchronization in a network of coupled chaotic macroeconomic systems. Each node represents an economy characterized by three key variables savings, gross domestic product (GDP), and foreign capital inflows.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-05-26 Thierry Njougouo , Fernando Fagundes Ferreira , Diego Garlaschelli

Spatial data are central to applications such as environmental monitoring and urban planning, but are often distributed across devices where privacy and communication constraints limit direct sharing. Federated modeling offers a practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Jianwei Shi , Sameh Abdulah , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton

This paper proposes a new method for financial portfolio optimization based on reducing simultaneous asset shocks across a collection of assets. This may be understood as an alternative approach to risk reduction in a portfolio based on a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-10 Nick James , Max Menzies , Jennifer Chan