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Conformal prediction (CP) is a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning models, offering reliable predictions with finite-sample coverage guarantees. When applied to classification, CP produces a prediction set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Floris den Hengst , Inès Blin , Majid Mohammadi , Syed Ihtesham Hussain Shah , Taraneh Younesian

Uncertain dynamic obstacles, such as pedestrians or vehicles, pose a major challenge for optimal robot navigation with safety guarantees. Previous work on motion planning has followed two main strategies to provide a safe bound on an…

Accurate and robust trajectory prediction of neighboring agents is critical for autonomous vehicles traversing in complex scenes. Most methods proposed in recent years are deep learning-based due to their strength in encoding complex…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-03-27 Yujun Jiao , Mingze Miao , Zhishuai Yin , Chunyuan Lei , Xu Zhu , Linzhen Nie , Bo Tao

Autonomous driving decision-making at unsignalized intersections is highly challenging due to complex dynamic interactions and high conflict risks. To achieve proactive safety control, this paper proposes a deep reinforcement learning (DRL)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Chengyang Dong , Nan Guo

We propose a Model Predictive Control (MPC) for collision avoidance between an autonomous agent and dynamic obstacles with uncertain predictions. The collision avoidance constraints are imposed by enforcing positive distance between convex…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Siddharth H. Nair , Eric H. Tseng , Francesco Borrelli

Safe motion planning algorithms are necessary for deploying autonomous robots in unstructured environments. Motion plans must be safe to ensure that the robot does not harm humans or damage any nearby objects. Generating these motion plans…

Collision-free navigation in cluttered environments with static and dynamic obstacles is essential for many multi-robot tasks. Dynamic obstacles may also be interactive, i.e., their behavior varies based on the behavior of other entities.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Baskın Şenbaşlar , Gaurav S. Sukhatme

We investigate the problem of safe control synthesis for systems operating in environments with uncontrollable agents whose dynamics are unknown but coupled with those of the controlled system. This scenario naturally arises in various…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-28 Shuqi Wang , Siqi Wang , Shaoyuan Li , Xiang Yin

Reliable uncertainty quantification at unobserved spatial locations, especially in the presence of complex and heterogeneous datasets, remains a core challenge in spatial statistics. Traditional approaches like Kriging rely heavily on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-18 Hanyang Jiang , Yao Xie

It is a challenging task for ground robots to autonomously navigate in harsh environments due to the presence of non-trivial obstacles and uneven terrain. This requires trajectory planning that balances safety and efficiency. The primary…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Wei Zhang , Yinchuan Wang , Wangtao Lu , Pengyu Zhang , Xiang Zhang , Yue Wang , Chaoqun Wang

The safe trajectory planning of intelligent and connected vehicles is a key component in autonomous driving technology. Modeling the environment risk information by field is a promising and effective approach for safe trajectory planning.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Zeyu Han , Mengchi Cai , Chaoyi Chen , Qingwen Meng , Guangwei Wang , Ying Liu , Qing Xu , Jianqiang Wang , Keqiang Li

To provide real-time parking information, existing studies focus on predicting parking availability, which seems an indirect approach to saving drivers' cruising time. In this paper, we first time propose an on-street parking recommendation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Hanyu Sun , Xiao Huang , Wei Ma

We consider the problem of computationally-efficient prediction from high dimensional and highly correlated predictors in challenging settings where accurate variable selection is effectively impossible. Direct application of penalization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-08 Minerva Mukhopadhyay , David B. Dunson

Path planning in dynamic environments is essential to high-risk applications such as unmanned aerial vehicles, self-driving cars, and autonomous underwater vehicles. In this paper, we generate collision-free trajectories for a robot within…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Sourav Dutta , Tuan Tran , Banafsheh Rekabdar , Chinwe Ekenna

Conformal prediction (CP) is a general framework to quantify the predictive uncertainty of machine learning models that uses a set prediction to include the true label with a valid probability. To align the uncertainty measured by CP,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Xuesong Jia , Yuanjie Shi , Ziquan Liu , Yi Xu , Yan Yan

Advanced collision avoidance and driver hand-off systems can benefit from the ability to accurately predict, in real time, the probability a vehicle will be involved in a collision within an intermediate horizon of 10 to 20 seconds. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-06 Blake Wulfe , Sunil Chintakindi , Sou-Cheng T. Choi , Rory Hartong-Redden , Anuradha Kodali , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Predictive planning is a key capability for robots to efficiently and safely navigate populated environments. Particularly in densely crowded scenes, with uncertain human motion predictions, predictive path planning, and control can become…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Till Hielscher , Lukas Heuer , Frederik Wulle , Luigi Palmieri

Safe trajectory planning for high-performance automated vehicles in an environment with both static and moving obstacles is a challenging problem. Part of the challenge is developing a formulation that can be solved in real-time while…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-29 Huckleberry Febbo , Paramsothy Jayakumar , Jeffrey L. Stein , Tulga Ersal

In order to model risk aversion in reinforcement learning, an emerging line of research adapts familiar algorithms to optimize coherent risk functionals, a class that includes conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). Because optimizing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Audrey Huang , Liu Leqi , Zachary C. Lipton , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli

We propose \textbf{Temporal Conformal Prediction (TCP)}, a distribution-free framework for constructing well-calibrated prediction intervals in nonstationary time series. TCP couples a modern quantile forecaster with a rolling…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-26 Agnideep Aich , Ashit Baran Aich , Dipak C. Jain
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