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Vector autogressions (VARs) are widely applied when it comes to modeling and forecasting macroeconomic variables. In high dimensions, however, they are prone to overfitting. Bayesian methods, more concretely shrinkage priors, have shown to…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-27 Luis Gruber , Gregor Kastner

Statistical modeling of high-dimensional matrix-valued data motivates the use of a low-rank representation that simultaneously summarizes key characteristics of the data and enables dimension reduction. Low-rank representations commonly…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-27 Joshua S. North , Mark D. Risser , F. Jay Breidt

Reinforcement Learning from Verifier Rewards (RLVR) has emerged as a widely used approach for post-training large language models on reasoning tasks, with group-based methods such as GRPO and its variants gaining broad adoption. These…

Machine learning-aided clinical decision support has the potential to significantly improve patient care. However, existing efforts in this domain for principled quantification of uncertainty have largely been limited to applications of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-05 L. Julian Lechuga Lopez , Tim G. J. Rudner , Farah E. Shamout

Pixel-wise classification, where each pixel is assigned to a predefined class, is one of the most important procedures in hyperspectral image (HSI) analysis. By representing a test pixel as a linear combination of a small subset of labeled…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-01-17 Xiaoxia Sun , Qing Qu , Nasser M. Nasrabadi , Trac D. Tran

Reduced-Rank (RR) regression is a powerful dimensionality reduction technique but it overlooks any possible group configuration among the responses by assuming a low-rank structure on the entire coefficient matrix. Moreover, the temporal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-22 Maria F. Pintado , Matteo Iacopini , Luca Rossini , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

We develop a Bayesian methodology aimed at simultaneously estimating low-rank and row-sparse matrices in a high-dimensional multiple-response linear regression model. We consider a carefully devised shrinkage prior on the matrix of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Antik Chakraborty , Anirban Bhattacharya , Bani K. Mallick

This paper extends the idea of decoupling shrinkage and sparsity for continuous priors to Bayesian Quantile Regression (BQR). The procedure follows two steps: In the first step, we shrink the quantile regression posterior through state of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-20 David Kohns , Tibor Szendrei

Factor analysis is a widely used technique for dimension reduction in high-dimensional data. However, a key challenge in factor models lies in the interpretability of the latent factors. One intuitive way to interpret these factors is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Xin Wang , Xialu Liu

We investigate shrinkage priors for constructing Bayesian predictive distributions. It is shown that there exist shrinkage predictive distributions asymptotically dominating Bayesian predictive distributions based on the Jeffreys prior or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Fumiyasu Komaki

We consider the problem of distribution-free conformal prediction and the criterion of group conditional validity. This criterion is motivated by many practical scenarios including hidden stratification and group fairness. Existing methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Samuel Deng , Navid Ardeshir , Daniel Hsu

This paper is about how to partition decision variables while decomposing a large-scale optimization problem for the best performance of distributed solution methods. Solving a large-scale optimization problem sequen- tially can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-26 Yuchen Zheng , Ilbin Lee , Nicoleta Serban

Blind face restoration usually synthesizes degraded low-quality data with a pre-defined degradation model for training, while more complex cases could happen in the real world. This gap between the assumed and actual degradation hurts the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Zhixin Wang , Xiaoyun Zhang , Ziying Zhang , Huangjie Zheng , Mingyuan Zhou , Ya Zhang , Yanfeng Wang

It is a relatively well-known fact that in problems of Bayesian model selection improper priors should, in general, be avoided. In this paper we derive a proper and parsimonious uniform prior for regression coefficients. We then use this…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-07 H. R. N. van Erp , R. O. Linger , P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder

The horseshoe prior has proven to be a noteworthy alternative for sparse Bayesian estimation, but has previously suffered from two problems. First, there has been no systematic way of specifying a prior for the global shrinkage…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

Autoregressive models have emerged as a powerful paradigm for visual content creation, but often overlook the intrinsic structural properties of visual data. Our prior work, IAR, initiated a direction to address this by reorganizing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Ran Yi , Teng Hu , Zihan Su , Jiangning Zhang , Lizhuang Ma

We study random series priors for estimating a functional parameter (f\in L^2[0,1]). We show that with a series prior with random truncation, Gaussian coefficients, and inverse gamma multiplicative scaling, it is possible to achieve…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-06-15 Jan van Waaij , Harry van Zanten

In the era of big data, large-scale, multi-source, multi-modality datasets are increasingly ubiquitous, offering unprecedented opportunities for predictive modeling and scientific discovery. However, these datasets often exhibit complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Qi Xu , Annie Qu

Large Bayesian VARs are now widely used in empirical macroeconomics. One popular shrinkage prior in this setting is the natural conjugate prior as it facilitates posterior simulation and leads to a range of useful analytical results. This…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-11-16 Joshua C. C. Chan

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-06 Nate Strawn , Artin Armagan , Rayan Saab , Lawrence Carin , David Dunson