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Pattern-forming systems can exhibit a diverse array of complex behaviors as external parameters are varied, enabling a variety of useful functions in biological and engineered systems. First-principles derivations of the underlying…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2023-11-20 Zachary G. Nicolaou , Guanyu Huo , Yihui Chen , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Forecasting surgical instrument trajectories and predicting the next surgical action recently started to attract attention from the research community. Both these tasks are crucial for automation and assistance in endoscopy surgery. Given…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Sara Sangalli , Gary Sarwin , Ertunc Erdil , Alessandro Carretta , Victor Staartjes , Carlo Serra , Ender Konukoglu

Data-driven discovery of governing equations from data remains a fundamental challenge in nonlinear dynamics. Although sparse regression techniques have advanced system identification, they struggle with rational functions and noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Zitong Zhang , Hao Sun

We evaluate the robustness of a probabilistic formulation of system identification (ID) to sparse, noisy, and indirect data. Specifically, we compare estimators of future system behavior derived from the Bayesian posterior of a learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Nicholas Galioto , Alex Gorodetsky

In applications of nonlinear and complex dynamical systems, a common situation is that the system can be measured but its structure and the detailed rules of dynamical evolution are unknown. The inverse problem is to determine the system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Ying-Cheng Lai

The quantitative formulation of evolution equations is the backbone for prediction, control, and understanding of dynamical systems across diverse scientific fields. Besides deriving differential equations for dynamical systems based on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-01-06 Tim W. Kroll , Oliver Kamps

Discovering the governing equations of a dynamical system from observed trajectories provides deeper insight into its structure than mere prediction of future states. We present a data-driven approach to model discovery based on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Martin Brückmann , Babette Dellen , Uwe Jaekel

Uncertainty quantification in time series prediction is challenging due to the temporal dependence and distribution shift on sequential data. Conformal inference provides a pivotal and flexible instrument for assessing the uncertainty of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-09 Junxi Wu , Dongjian Hu , Yajie Bao , Shu-Tao Xia , Changliang Zou

System identification (SysID) is critical for modeling dynamical systems from experimental data, yet traditional approaches often fail to capture nonlinear behaviors. While deep learning offers powerful tools for modeling such dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Mehmet Ali Ferah , Tufan Kumbasar

Inferring physical laws from data is a central challenge in science and engineering, including but not limited to healthcare, physical sciences, biosciences, social sciences, sustainability, climate, and robotics. Deep networks offer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Christopher E. Mower , Haitham Bou-Ammar

In this work, we study the problem of learning a nonlinear dynamical system by parameterizing its dynamics using basis functions. We assume that disturbances occur at each time step with an arbitrary probability $p$, which models the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Haixiang Zhang , Baturalp Yalcin , Javad Lavaei , Eduardo D. Sontag

The control of complex dynamical systems remains a fundamental challenge in science and engineering, where strong nonlinearities, the presence of noise, and computational constraints often pose significant obstacles in traditional control…

Discovering nonlinear differential equations that describe system dynamics from empirical data is a fundamental challenge in contemporary science. Here, we propose a methodology to identify dynamical laws by integrating denoising techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Kevin Egan , Weizhen Li , Rui Carvalho

While the identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is a fundamental building block of model-based reinforcement learning and feedback control, its sample complexity is only understood for systems that either have discrete states and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-19 Horia Mania , Michael I. Jordan , Benjamin Recht

Real-world multivariate time series, particularly in critical infrastructure such as electrical power grids, are often corrupted by noise and anomalies that degrade the performance of downstream tasks. Standard data cleaning approaches…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-13 David Baumgartner , Helge Langseth , Heri Ramampiaro

In recent years there has been a push to discover the governing equations dynamical systems directly from measurements of the state, often motivated by systems that are too complex to directly model. Although there has been substantial work…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Jeffrey M. Hokanson , Gianluca Iaccarino , Alireza Doostan

In this study, we investigate the performance of the sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) algorithm and the neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs) in identification of the underlying mechanisms of open ocean Lagrangian…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-11 Cihan Bayindir , Fatih Ozaydin , Azmi Ali Altintas , Tayyibe Eristi , Ali Riza Alan

Black-box machine learning models are now routinely used in high-risk settings, like medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model failures. Conformal prediction is a user-friendly paradigm for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates

We address the problem of learning the dynamics of an unknown non-parametric system linking a target and a feature time series. The feature time series is measured on a sparse and irregular grid, while we have access to only a few points of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Linus Bleistein , Adeline Fermanian , Anne-Sophie Jannot , Agathe Guilloux

This paper focuses on the system identification of an important class of nonlinear systems: linearly parameterized nonlinear systems, which enjoys wide applications in robotics and other mechanical systems. We consider two system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-22 Negin Musavi , Ziyao Guo , Geir Dullerud , Yingying Li