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Global Forecasting Models (GFM) that are trained across a set of multiple time series have shown superior results in many forecasting competitions and real-world applications compared with univariate forecasting approaches. One aspect of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-16 Dilini Rajapaksha , Christoph Bergmeir , Rob J Hyndman

Distribution feeder long-term load forecast (LTLF) is a critical task many electric utility companies perform on an annual basis. The goal of this task is to forecast the annual load of distribution feeders. The previous top-down and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Ming Dong , L. S. Grumbach

Forecasting groups of time series is of increasing practical importance, e.g. forecasting the demand for multiple products offered by a retailer or server loads within a data center. The local approach to this problem considers each time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Pablo Montero-Manso , Rob J Hyndman

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

This paper analyzes the role of time-series clustering in traffic matrix (TM) prediction. Traffic flows within a TM often exhibit heterogeneous behavior, which can reduce the effectiveness of global forecasting models that predict all flows…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Martha Cash , Charlotte Fowler , Alexander M. Wyglinski

Geographic distribution shift arises when the distribution of locations on Earth in a training dataset is different from what is seen at inference time. Using standard empirical risk minimization (ERM) in this setting can lead to uneven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Ruth Crasto , Esther Rolf

Due to the limitation of data availability, traditional power load forecasting methods focus more on studying the load variation pattern and the influence of only a few factors such as temperature and holidays, which fail to reveal the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Pan Zeng , Md Fazla Elahe , Junlin Xu , Min Jin

Short-term load forecasting is one of the crucial sections in smart grid. Precise forecasting enables system operators to make reliable unit commitment and power dispatching decisions. With the advent of big data, a number of artificial…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-09-27 Tiantian Li , Bo Wang , Min Zhou , Junzo Watada

Accurate electrical load forecasting is of great importance for the efficient operation and control of modern power systems. In this work, a hybrid long short-term memory (LSTM)-based model with online correction is developed for day-ahead…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-07 Nan Lu , Quan Ouyang , Yang Li , Changfu Zou

Time series forecasting has played a pivotal role across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Due to the abundant seasonal information they contain, timestamps possess the potential to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jinming Wu , Jianxin Liao

Recent years have seen a rich literature of data-driven approaches designed for power grid applications. However, insufficient consideration of domain knowledge can impose a high risk to the practicality of the methods. Specifically,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-06-02 Shimiao Li , Jan Drgona , Shrirang Abhyankar , Larry Pileggi

By significant improvements in modern electrical systems, planning for unit commitment and power dispatching of them are two big concerns between the researchers. Short-term load forecasting plays a significant role in planning and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-01 Kasun Chandrarathna , Arman Edalati , AhmadReza Fourozan tabar

Accurate and efficient multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is essential for applications such as traffic management and weather prediction, which depend on capturing long-range temporal dependencies and interactions between entities.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Yiming Niu , Jinliang Deng , Lulu Zhang , Zimu Zhou , Yongxin Tong

Extreme weather variations and the increasing unpredictability of load behavior make it difficult to determine power grid dispatches that are robust to uncertainties. While machine learning (ML) methods have improved the ability to model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-21 Aayushya Agarwal , Larry Pileggi

Multi-task and few-shot time series forecasting tasks are commonly encountered in scenarios such as the launch of new products in different cities. However, traditional time series forecasting methods suffer from insufficient historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Pengpeng Ouyang , Dong Chen , Tong Yang , Shuo Feng , Zhao Jin , Mingliang Xu

With the growing popularity of electric vehicles as a means of addressing climate change, concerns have emerged regarding their impact on electric grid management. As a result, predicting EV charging demand has become a timely and important…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Iason Kyriakopoulos , Yannis Theodoridis

Energy (load, wind, photovoltaic) forecasting is significant in the power industry as it can provide a reference for subsequent tasks such as power grid dispatch, thus bringing huge economic benefits. However, there are many differences…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Zhixian Wang , Qingsong Wen , Chaoli Zhang , Liang Sun , Leandro Von Krannichfeldt , Shirui Pan , Yi Wang

Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is a critical task across diverse domains. Despite significant advancements in LTSF research, we identify a performance bottleneck in existing LTSF methods caused by the inadequate modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Qi Xiong , Kai Tang , Minbo Ma , Ji Zhang , Jie Xu , Tianrui Li

Accurate load forecasting is critical for reliable and efficient planning and operation of electric power grids. In this paper, we propose a unifying deep learning framework for load forecasting, which includes time-varying feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-10 Jing Xiong , Yu Zhang

Time series forecasting is a critical task across domains such as energy, finance, and meteorology, where accurate predictions enable informed decision-making. While transformer-based and large-parameter models have recently achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Julien Guité-Vinet , Alexandre Blondin Massé , Éric Beaudry