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As variable renewable energy increases and more demand is electrified, we expect price formation in wholesale electricity markets to transition from being dominated by fossil fuel generators to being dominated by the opportunity costs of…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-01 Julian Geis , Fabian Neumann , Michael Lindner , Philipp Härtel , Tom Brown

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process can be seen as a paradigm of a finite-variance and statistically stationary rough random walk. Furthermore, it is defined as the unique solution of a Markovian stochastic dynamics and shares the same local…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Laurent Chevillard , Marc Lagoin , Stephane G. Roux

In this paper we introduce the well-balanced L\'{e}vy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process as a moving average process of the form $X_t=\int \exp(-\lambda |t-u|)dL_u$. In contrast to L\'{e}vy driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-08 Alexander Schnurr , Jeannette H. C. Woerner

In this paper, we consider option pricing in a framework of the fractional Heston-type model with $H>1/2$. As it is impossible to obtain an explicit formula for the expectation $\mathbb E f(S_T)$ in this case, where $S_T$ is the asset price…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-04 Yuliya Mishura , Anton Yurchenko-Tytarenko

We consider the asymptotic behavior of the fluctuations for the empirical measures of interacting particle systems with singular kernels. We prove that the sequence of fluctuation processes converges in distribution to a generalized…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Zhenfu Wang , Xianliang Zhao , Rongchan Zhu

We study the problem of dynamically trading multiple futures whose underlying asset price follows a multiscale central tendency Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (MCTOU) model. Under this model, we derive the closed-form no-arbitrage prices for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-26 Tim Leung , Yang Zhou

The paper Borovkova et al. [4] uses moment matching method to obtain closed form formulas for spread and basket call option prices under log normal models. In this note, we also use moment matching method to obtain semi-closed form formulas…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-02 Dongdong Hu , Hasanjan Sayit , Svetlozar T. Rachev

This study proposes a fast exact simulation scheme for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck driven stochastic volatility model. With the Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansions, the stochastic volatility path (Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process) is expressed as a sine…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-06 Jaehyuk Choi

An important revenue stream for electric battery operators is often arbitraging the hourly price spreads in the day-ahead auction. The optimal approach to this is challenging if risk is a consideration as this requires the estimation of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-01 Ekaterina Abramova , Derek Bunn

We price European and American exchange options where the underlying asset prices are modelled using a Merton (1976) jump-diffusion with a common Heston (1993) stochastic volatility process. Pricing is performed under an equivalent…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-25 Len Patrick Dominic M. Garces , Gerald H. L. Cheang

Electricity is traded on various markets with different time horizons and regulations. Short-term intraday trading becomes increasingly important due to the higher penetration of renewables. In Germany, the intraday electricity price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-13 Eike Cramer , Dirk Witthaut , Alexander Mitsos , Manuel Dahmen

The article is devoted to models of financial markets with stochastic volatility, which is defined by a functional of Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process or Cox-Ingersoll-Ross process. We study the question of exact price of European option. The…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-02 S. Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Y. Mishura , Y. Munchak

We prove the transfer principle for fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, i.e., we construct a Brownian motion that has the same filtration as the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process and then represent the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-03 Tommi Sottinen , Lauri Viitasaari

The paper builds a Variance-Gamma (VG) model with five parameters: location ($\mu$), symmetry ($\delta$), volatility ($\sigma$), shape ($\alpha$), and scale ($\theta$); and studies its application to the pricing of European options. The…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-18 A. H. Nzokem

The correlated stochastic volatility models constitute a natural extension of the Black and Scholes-Merton framework: here the volatility is not a constant, but a stochastic process correlated with the price log-return one. At present,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 E. Cisana , L. Fermi , G. Montagna , O. Nicrosini

The duality principle in option pricing aims at simplifying valuation problems that depend on several variables by associating them to the corresponding dual option pricing problem. Here, we analyze the duality principle for options that…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-11-05 Ernst Eberlein , Antonis Papapantoleon , Albert N. Shiryaev

We introduce a natural generalization of the forward-starting options, first discussed by M. Rubinstein. The main feature of the contract presented here is that the strike-determination time is not fixed ex-ante, but allowed to be random,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-15 Fabio Antonelli , Alessandro Ramponi , Sergio Scarlatti

We introduce a variant of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility model where the non Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process describes some measure of trading intensity like trading volume or number of trades instead of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Friedrich Hubalek , Petra Posedel

We propose a new model for electricity pricing based on the price cap principle. The particularity of the model is that the asset price is an exponential functional of a jump L\'evy process. This model can capture both mean reversion and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-27 Martin Kegnenlezom , Patrice Takam Soh , Antoine-Marie Bogso , Yves Emvudu Wono

We propose a new structural model that can compute the electricity spot and forward prices in two coupled markets with limited interconnection and multiple fuels. We choose a structural approach in order to represent some key…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-21 Clemence Alasseur , Olivier Feron
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