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Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes (PDMPs) offer a powerful stochastic modeling framework that combines deterministic trajectories with random perturbations at random times. Estimating their local characteristics (particularly the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Romain Azaïs , Solune Denis

In this paper we provide an expansion formula for Hawkes processes which involves the addition of jumps at deterministic times to the Hawkes process in the spirit of the well-known integration by parts formula (or more precisely the Mecke…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Caroline Hillairet , Anthony Reveillac , Mathieu Rosenbaum

The stochastic $H_2/H_\infty$ control problem for continuous-time mean-field stochastic differential equations with Poisson jumps over finite horizon is investigated in this paper. Continuous and jump diffusion terms in the system depend…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-12 Huimin Han , Shaolin Ji , Weihai Zhang

The molecular evolution in a gene regulatory network is classically modeled by Markov jump processes. However, the direct simulation of such models is extremely time consuming. Indeed, even the simplest Markovian model, such as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-30 Aurélie Muller-Gueudin

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

We consider a model of interacting neurons where the membrane potentials of the neurons are described by a multidimensional piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP) with values in ${\mathbb R}^N, $ where $ N$ is the number of neurons…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Pierre Hodara , Nathalie Krell , Eva Löcherbach

The goal of this work is to formally abstract a Markov process evolving in discrete time over a general state space as a finite-state Markov chain, with the objective of precisely approximating its state probability distribution in time,…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Alessandro Abate

This paper introduces a jump-diffusion pricing model specifically designed for algorithmic trading and high-frequency trading (HFT). The model incorporates independent jump and diffusion processes, providing a more precise representation of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-05 Luca Lalor , Anatoliy Swishchuk

We provide probabilistic and computational results on Markovian multivariate Hawkes processes and induced population processes. By applying the Markov property, we characterize in closed form a joint transform, bijective to the probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 R. S. Karim , R. J. A. Laeven , M , M. Mandjes

The purpose of this paper is to study optimal control of conditional McKean-Vlasov (mean-field) stochastic differential equations with jumps (conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions, for short). To this end, we first prove a stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-10 Nacira Agram , Bernt Oksendal

We examine the stability and qualitative dynamics of stochastic neuronal networks specified as multivariate nonlinear Hawkes processes and related point-process generalized linear models that incorporate both auto- and cross-history…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-12-13 Dmitrii Todorov , Wilson Truccolo

Our motivation comes from the large population approximation of individual based models in population dynamics and population genetics. We propose a general method to investigate scaling limits of finite dimensional population size Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Vincent Bansaye , Maria-Emilia Caballero , Sylvie Méléard

In this paper, we are interested in conditional McKean-Vlasov jump diffusions, which are also termed as McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations with jump idiosyncratic noise and jump common noise. As far as conditional McKean-Vlasov…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Jianhai Bao , Yao Liu , Jian Wang

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

In this paper we study an asymptotic expansion for the distribution of a random motion of a particle driven by a Markov process in diffusion approximation. We show that the singularly perturbed equation of a Markovian random motion can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-21 A. Pogorui

This work focuses on a self-exciting point process defined by a Hawkes-like intensity and a switching mechanism based on a hidden Markov chain. Previous works in such a setting assume constant intensities between consecutive events. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Timothée Fabre , Ioane Muni Toke

We give a general Gaussian bound for the first chaos (or innovation) of point processes with stochastic intensity constructed by embedding in a bivariate Poisson process. We apply the general result to nonlinear Hawkes processes, providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Giovanni Luca Torrisi

Multi-agent systems can be successfully described by kinetic models, which allow one to explore the large scale aggregate trends resulting from elementary microscopic interactions. The latter may be formalised as collision-like rules, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-06 Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

Markov Chain Monte Carlo approach is frequently used within Bayesian framework to sample the target posterior distribution. Its efficiency strongly depends on the proposal used to build the chain. The best jump proposal is the one that…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-01 Mikel Falxa , Stanislav Babak , Maude Le Jeune

In this paper, we propose a stochastic version of the Hawking-Penrose black hole model. We describe the dynamics of the stochastic model as a continuous-time Markov jump process of quanta out and in the black hole. The average of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-02 E. Pechersky , S. Pirogov , A. Yambartsev