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Predicting counterfactual distributions in complex dynamical systems is essential for scientific modeling and decision-making in domains such as public health and medicine. However, existing methods often rely on point estimates or purely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Wenhao Mu , Zhi Cao , Mehmed Uludag , Alexander Rodríguez

Deep generative models offer a natural foundation for out-of-distribution (OOD) detection, yet prior work has shown that their assigned likelihoods are notoriously unreliable indicators for in- vs out-of-distribution data. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Philipp Bomatter , Jack Geary , Henry Gouk

We present a weak formulation and discretization of the system discovery problem from noisy measurement data. This method of learning differential equations from data fits into a new class of algorithms that replace pointwise derivative…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Daniel A. Messenger , David M. Bortz

End-to-end learning of dynamical systems with black-box models, such as neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provides a flexible framework for learning dynamics from data without prescribing a mathematical model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Paidamoyo Chapfuwa , Sherri Rose , Lawrence Carin , Edward Meeds , Ricardo Henao

We investigate statistical properties of a likelihood approach to nonparametric estimation of a singular distribution using deep generative models. More specifically, a deep generative model is used to model high-dimensional data that are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-29 Minwoo Chae , Dongha Kim , Yongdai Kim , Lizhen Lin

The availability of empirical data that capture the structure and behavior of complex networked systems has been greatly increased in recent years, however a versatile computational toolbox for unveiling a complex system's nodal and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-28 Ting-Ting Gao , Gang Yan

Stochastic simulation models effectively capture complex system dynamics but are often too slow for real-time decision-making. Traditional metamodeling techniques learn relationships between simulator inputs and a single output summary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 L. Jeff Hong , Yanxi Hou , Qingkai Zhang , Xiaowei Zhang

Modern autonomous navigation for unmanned ground vehicles relies on different estimators to fuse inertial sensors and GNSS measurements. However, the constant noise covariance matrices often struggle to account for dynamic real-world…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Gal Versano , Itzik Klein

We present a novel method for training score-based generative models which uses nonlinear noising dynamics to improve learning of structured distributions. Generalizing to a nonlinear drift allows for additional structure to be incorporated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Jeremiah Birrell , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Luc Rey-Bellet , Benjamin J. Zhang , Wei Zhu

Memory units have been widely used to enrich the capabilities of deep networks on capturing long-term dependencies in reasoning and prediction tasks, but little investigation exists on deep generative models (DGMs) which are good at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-31 Chongxuan Li , Jun Zhu , Bo Zhang

We propose a probabilistic framework for developing computational models of biological neural systems. In this framework, physiological recordings are viewed as discrete-time partial observations of an underlying continuous-time stochastic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-10 Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Score-based generative modeling (SGM) has grown to be a hugely successful method for learning to generate samples from complex data distributions such as that of images and audio. It is based on evolving an SDE that transforms white noise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Holden Lee , Jianfeng Lu , Yixin Tan

Thanks to novel, powerful brain activity recording techniques, we can create data-driven models from thousands of recording channels and large portions of the cortex, which can improve our understanding of brain-states neuromodulation and…

Recent advances in the theory of Neural Operators (NOs) have enabled fast and accurate computation of the solutions to complex systems described by partial differential equations (PDEs). Despite their great success, current NO-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Ashutosh Singh , Ricardo Augusto Borsoi , Deniz Erdogmus , Tales Imbiriba

We develop a framework for estimating unknown partial differential equations from noisy data, using a deep learning approach. Given noisy samples of a solution to an unknown PDE, our method interpolates the samples using a neural network,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Ali Hasan , João M. Pereira , Robert Ravier , Sina Farsiu , Vahid Tarokh

We present a computational technique for modeling the evolution of dynamical systems in a reduced basis, with a focus on the challenging problem of modeling partially-observed partial differential equations (PDEs) on high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-25 Victor Churchill

We propose an efficient framework for amortized conditional inference by leveraging exact conditional score-guided diffusion models to train a non-reversible neural network as a conditional generative model. Traditional normalizing flow…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Zezhong Zhang , Caroline Tatsuoka , Dongbin Xiu , Guannan Zhang

The Koopman operator framework can be used to identify a data-driven model of a nonlinear system. Unfortunately, when the data is corrupted by noise, the identified model can be biased. Additionally, depending on the choice of lifting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-02 Louis Lortie , James Richard Forbes

Accurate models are essential for design, performance prediction, control, and diagnostics in complex engineering systems. Physics-based models excel during the design phase but often become outdated during system deployment due to changing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Zihan Liu , Prashant N. Kambali , C. Nataraj
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