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Related papers: FARS: Factor Augmented Regression Scenarios in R

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Many applications of generalised linear models (GLMs) can be improved by applying constraints that impose assumptions on the associations or improve consistency of the estimators. Yet, there are still barriers to the implementation and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Pierre Masselot , Devon Nenon , Jacopo Vanoli , Zaid Chalabi , Antonio Gasparrini

In the social sciences, it is often necessary to debias studies and surveys before valid conclusions can be drawn. Debiasing algorithms enable the computational removal of bias using sample weights. However, an issue arises when only a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Tony Hauptmann , Stefan Kramer

Accurate computation of robust estimates for extremal quantiles of empirical distributions is an essential task for a wide range of applicative fields, including economic policymaking and the financial industry. Such estimates are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-04 Pietro Bogani , Matteo Fontana , Luca Neri , Simone Vantini

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across various industries, where accurate extraction of complex periodic and trend components can significantly enhance prediction performance. However, existing models often struggle to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Yulong Wang , Yushuo Liu , Xiaoyi Duan , Kai Wang

Generalized additive models (GAMs) play an important role in modeling and understanding complex relationships in modern applied statistics. They allow for flexible, data-driven estimation of covariate effects. Yet researchers often have a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-11-10 Benjamin Hofner , Thomas Kneib , Torsten Hothorn

In this paper, we propose an invariant quantile regression (IQR) framework specifically designed for multi-environment datasets, which captures the invariance across different environments. This framework is closely related to transfer…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Bo Fu , Dandan Jiang

We develop Probabilistic Targeted Factor Analysis (PTFA), a likelihood-based framework for constructing latent factors that are explicitly targeted to variables of economic interest. PTFA provides a probabilistic foundation for Partial…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-12 Miguel C. Herculano , Santiago Montoya-Blandón

Package spar for R builds ensembles of predictive generalized linear models with high-dimensional predictors. It employs an algorithm utilizing variable screening and random projection tools to efficiently handle the computational…

Computation · Statistics 2024-11-28 Roman Parzer , Laura Vana-Gür , Peter Filzmoser

Researchers are often interested in using longitudinal data to estimate the causal effects of hypothetical time-varying treatment interventions on the mean or risk of a future outcome. Standard regression/conditioning methods for…

We propose an extensive framework for additive regression models for correlated functional responses, allowing for multiple partially nested or crossed functional random effects with flexible correlation structures for, e.g., spatial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-26 Fabian Scheipl , Ana-Maria Staicu , Sonja Greven

In many applications, particularly in the natural sciences, the available high-dimensional set of features may contain variables that are not correlated with the response under consideration. Such irrelevant features can, in certain cases,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-28 Gianluca Finocchio , Tatyana Krivobokova

This work proposes a novel technique Augmented Reinforcement Learning framework for the improvement of decision-making capabilities of machine learning models. The introduction of agents as external overseers checks on model decisions. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Sandesh Kumar Singh

Forward marginal effects have recently been introduced as a versatile and effective model-agnostic interpretation method particularly suited for non-linear and non-parametric prediction models. They provide comprehensible model explanations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-13 Holger Löwe , Christian A. Scholbeck , Christian Heumann , Bernd Bischl , Giuseppe Casalicchio

The numerical availability of statistical inference methods for a modern and robust analysis of longitudinal- and multivariate data in factorial experiments is an essential element in research and education. While existing approaches that…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-25 Sarah Friedrich , Frank Konietschke , Markus Pauly

Financial markets are notoriously complex environments, presenting vast amounts of noisy, yet potentially informative data. We consider the problem of forecasting financial time series from a wide range of information sources using online…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-12 Sid Ghoshal , Stephen Roberts

Causal inference in multivariate time series is challenging due to the fact that the sampling rate may not be as fast as the timescale of the causal interactions. In this context, we can view our observed series as a subsampled version of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-11 Alex Tank , Emily B. Fox , Ali Shojaie

This paper introduces a new kind of seasonal fractional autoregressive process (SFAR) driven by fractional Gaussian noise (fGn). The new model includes a standard seasonal AR model and fGn. {The estimation of the parameters of this new…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-01 Chunhao Cai , Yiwu Shang

Generalized additive models (GAMs) are flexible non-linear regression models, which can be fitted efficiently using the approximate Bayesian methods provided by the mgcv R package. While the GAM methods provided by mgcv are based on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-08 Matteo Fasiolo , Simon N. Wood , Margaux Zaffran , Raphaël Nedellec , Yannig Goude

We present the R-package mgm for the estimation of k-order Mixed Graphical Models (MGMs) and mixed Vector Autoregressive (mVAR) models in high-dimensional data. These are a useful extensions of graphical models for only one variable type,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-13 Jonas M. B. Haslbeck , Lourens J. Waldorp

Distribution-as-response regression problems are gaining wider attention, especially within biomedical settings where observation-rich patient specific data sets are available, such as feature densities in CT scans (Petersen et al., 2021)…

Computation · Statistics 2025-12-22 Alexander Coulter , Rebecca Lee , Irina Gaynanova